Nacional vs Cerro Largo Prediction 24 March 2026
🔥 The upcoming clash between Nacional Montevideo and Cerro Largo promises to be a tense battle. Both teams are eager to climb the standings, where they currently occupy adjacent spots. Nacional sit in 10th place, while Cerro Largo hold the 11th position. Both sides have delivered average performances in recent matches, yet they showcase different playing styles: the hosts focus on ball possession, whereas the visitors rely on counter-attacks.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams ended in a 1-1 draw. Here's a comparative breakdown from that encounter (with Nacional Montevideo as the home side):
- possession: 57% vs 43%;
- corners: 9 vs 3;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 4.
📊Statistical preview of official encounters between Nacional Montevideo and Cerro Largo:
- 18 matches played;
- home victories - 8, away victories - 2, draws - 8;
- goals scored - 25 for Nacional, 13 for Cerro Largo;
- average total goals in the first half - 0.89, in the second half - 1.22;
- average total goals per match - 2.11.
Head-to-head statistics Nacional - Cerro Largo
Club Nacional Montevideo Team Overview
The last official match was held in the Primera tournament with Defensor Sporting as the home team and Nacional Montevideo as the visitors. The match concluded with a 2-1 scoreline.
The game statistics were as follows (Nacional Montevideo vs Defensor Sporting):
- possession: 51% vs 49%;
- corners: 6 vs 4;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 1;
- shots on target: 1 vs 3.
Nacional Montevideo have shown inconsistent form recently, with three wins and two losses in their last five matches. The team averages about one goal per game but concedes just as many. At home, they typically focus on defense, aiming to minimize the number of corners against them. Their current standing in the league demands extra effort to secure a spot above mid-table.
Match Results: Club Nacional Montevideo
Cerro Largo Team Overview
The visitors recently played their last official match in the Primera tournament, with Cerro Largo as the home team and Deportivo Maldonado as the visitors. The match concluded with a 3-1 scoreline.
Here are the match statistics (Cerro Largo vs Deportivo Maldonado):
- possession percentage: 50% vs 50%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 3;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 3;
- shots on target: 5 vs 4.
Cerro Largo, on the other hand, are riding a two-match winning streak following a run of three defeats. The team averages just over one goal per game while conceding nearly the same amount. When playing away, they tend to adopt a more aggressive style, leading to frequent set-piece opportunities at both ends of the pitch, as evidenced by their corner kick trends. Their current form indicates some progress, which could be crucial for success against a formidable opponent like Nacional.
Match Results: Cerro Largo
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 18;
- home team wins - 8, away team wins - 2, draws - 8.
Statistics: Club Nacional Montevideo vs Cerro Largo
- matches played in the tournament: 7 vs 7;
- wins: 3 vs 2;
- win percentage: 50% vs 33%;
- losses: 2 vs 4;
- draws: 1 vs 0.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 4 vs 5;
- losses: 5 vs 5;
- draws: 1 vs 0.
- Cerro Largo won with a +1.5 handicap in 20 of last 21 away games.
- Cerro Largo won with a +1.5 handicap in 18 of last 19 away games (Primera Division).
- Cerro Largo won with a +1.5 handicap in 14 of last 15 games.
- Cerro Largo won with a +1.5 handicap in 12 of last 13 games (Primera Division).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.39, the guests - 0.72;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.11;
- both teams scored: overall - 8; at the home team's field - 4.
Statistics: Club Nacional Montevideo vs Cerro Largo
- average total in the tournament: 2.17 vs 2;
- average total goals scored: 1.17 vs 0.83;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.5 vs 0.33;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.67 vs 0.5;
- Club Nacional Montevideo: average total at home in the tournament - 1;
- Cerro Largo: average total away in the tournament - 1;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1 (home - 1) vs 1.4 (away - 1.33).
- Club Nacional Montevideo have scored under 2.5 goals in last 16 games.
- Club Nacional Montevideo have scored under 2.5 goals in last 12 games (Primera Division).
Prediction on corners
H2H
- average Over/Under corners in H2H matches - 9.89 (6.5 - for home team and 3.39 - for away team);
- average Over/Under corners at home team's field - 9.85 (7.14 - for home team and 2.71 - for away team).
Club Nacional Montevideo: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.67; at home field - 5;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.9; at home field - 5.4.
Cerro Largo: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.67, away - 5.5;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5; away - 5.5.
- Club Nacional Montevideo have taken under 6.5 corners in last 5 games (Primera Division).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 18;
- both teams scored all-time - 8 times;
- on the home team’s field - 4 times.
Statistics: Club Nacional Montevideo vs Cerro Largo
- number of matches played in the tournament: 7 vs 7;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 3 vs 2;
- number of BTTS matches for Club Nacional Montevideo at home - 1 (33%);
- number of BTTS matches for Cerro Largo away - 1 (25%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 6 vs 5;
- BTTS matches for Club Nacional Montevideo at home - 3 (60%);
- BTTS matches for Cerro Largo away - 3 (50%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 0:1 (13/49, 26.5%);
- Club Nacional Montevideo at home most often finish matches: 0:1 , 1:1 , 2:0 (1/3, 33.3%);
- Cerro Largo away most often play: 0:1 , 1:0 , 1:3 , 2:0 (1/4, 25%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:0 - 15.67% (odds 5.4)
2:0 - 11.33% (odds 5.6)
1:1 - 11.25% (odds 7.2)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Considering the current form of the teams and the prevailing trends, a bet on Cerro Largo +1.5 handicap seems the most reasonable. This team often covers this spread on the road due to their attacking approach, even against stronger opponents. Taking into account past game statistics and the visitors' resilience when playing away, the likelihood of them losing by more than one goal appears low. A 1-0 scoreline is possible.No comments
Betting Tips: Club Nacional Montevideo - Cerro Largo
in 18 of last 19 home games (Primera Division).in 17 of last 19 home games.
in 11 of last 12 Club Nacional Montevideo games.in 7 of last 8 Club Nacional Montevideo games (Primera Division).in 15 of last 16 Cerro Largo away games.in 12 of last 13 Cerro Largo away games (Primera Division).in 9 of last 10 games (Primera Division).in 8 of last 9 home games.in 8 of last 9 games.in last 16 games.in last 12 games (Primera Division).
Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
