Arsenal vs Chelsea Prediction 24 March 2026

    📢 The Women's Champions League quarter-finals feature an exciting London derby between Arsenal and Chelsea. This fierce rivalry between two of England's top clubs shifts to the European stage, promising high intensity and uncompromising competition. The first leg takes place at Arsenal's ground. What will be the outcome? Check out the prediction below.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official match between the teams ended with a 0-2 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of that encounter (Chelsea Women as the home side):

    • possession: 46% vs 54%;
    • corners: 9 vs 5;
    • fouls: 7 vs 2;
    • yellow cards: 0 vs 1;
    • shots on target: 1 vs 8.

    📊Analytical review of previous official encounters between Arsenal Women and Chelsea Women:

    • 36 matches played;
    • home victories - 11, away victories - 18, draws - 7;
    • goals scored (home/away) - 47 to 58;
    • average total goals per match - 2.92.

    Head-to-head statistics Arsenal - Chelsea

    31%
    12 Wins
    18%
    7 Draws
    51%
    20 Wins
    Total games
    39
    Total Goals Avg
    2.85
    Both teams scored
    56%
    1.28
    Total average
    1.56
    Last matches
    27.09.26
    The FA Women's Super League
    Chelsea (W)
    Chelsea (W)
    Arsenal (W)
    Arsenal (W)
    -
    -
    3
    4
    9
    9
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    3
    4
    9
    9
    2
    0
    01.04.26
    UEFA Champions League Women
    Chelsea (W)
    Chelsea (W)
    1
    Arsenal (W)
    Arsenal (W)
    2.52
    1.81
    6
    3
    9
    9
    2
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    2.52
    1.81
    6
    3
    9
    9
    2
    1
    24.03.26
    UEFA Champions League Women
    Arsenal (W)
    Arsenal (W)
    Chelsea (W)
    Chelsea (W)
    1.41
    1.47
    5
    8
    7
    14
    1
    1
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1.41
    1.47
    5
    8
    7
    14
    1
    1
    24.01.26
    The FA Women's Super League
    Chelsea (W)
    Chelsea (W)
    Arsenal (W)
    Arsenal (W)
    -
    -
    9
    5
    7
    2
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    -
    -
    9
    5
    7
    2
    0
    1
    08.11.25
    The FA Women's Super League
    Arsenal (W)
    Arsenal (W)
    Chelsea (W)
    Chelsea (W)
    0.99
    2.2
    6
    2
    7
    3
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    0.99
    2.2
    6
    2
    7
    3
    1
    0
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Arsenal (W) Team Overview

    The most recent official match took place in the Women's Super League, featuring Arsenal Women as the home team and West Ham Women as the visitors. The match concluded with a 5-0 victory for Arsenal.

    Here are the match statistics (Arsenal Women vs West Ham Women):

    • possession percentage: 65% vs 35%;
    • corner kicks: 4 vs 1;
    • fouls: 5 vs 10;
    • yellow cards: 0 vs 3;
    • shots on target: 11 vs 1.

    Arsenal advocate a style of play characterized by swift ball movement and active use of the flanks. The team boasts an impressive lineup in their attacking front, allowing them to apply constant pressure on any opponent's defense. In the current tournament campaign, the Londoners secured fifth place in the overall stage. Due to their position in the standings, the capital club had to compete in the Round of 16, where they confidently overcame Belgian side Oud-Heverlee Leuven.

    Match Results: Arsenal (W)

    Last matches
    27.09.26
    The FA Women's Super League
    Chelsea (W)
    Chelsea (W)
    Arsenal (W)
    Arsenal (W)
    -
    -
    3
    4
    9
    9
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    3
    4
    9
    9
    2
    0
    L
    22.09.26
    uwcl
    Arsenal (W)
    Arsenal (W)
    HB Koege (W)
    HB Koege (W)
    -
    -
    10
    1
    4
    16
    0
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    10
    1
    4
    16
    0
    1
    W
    19.09.26
    The FA Women's Super League
    Arsenal (W)
    Arsenal (W)
    Manchester United (W)
    Manchester United (W)
    -
    -
    12
    0
    7
    9
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    12
    0
    7
    9
    1
    0
    D
    13.09.26
    The FA Women's Super League
    Arsenal (W)
    Arsenal (W)
    Crystal Palace (W)
    Crystal Palace (W)
    -
    -
    13
    1
    9
    13
    0
    3
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    13
    1
    9
    13
    0
    3
    D
    06.09.26
    The FA Women's Super League
    Brighton (W)
    Brighton (W)
    Arsenal (W)
    Arsenal (W)
    -
    -
    3
    7
    8
    13
    2
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    3
    7
    8
    13
    2
    2
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Chelsea (W) Team Overview

    The most recent official match for the current visitors took place in the Women's Super League, with London City Lionesses hosting Chelsea Women. The match ended in a 1-1 draw.

    Here are the game statistics (Chelsea Women vs London City Lionesses):

    • possession: 58% vs 42%;
    • corner kicks: 6 vs 10;
    • fouls: 3 vs 10;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
    • shots on target: 5 vs 7.

    Chelsea exemplify tactical discipline and pragmatism, expertly constructing defensive fortresses against the most formidable attacking teams. The Blues are renowned for their efficiency in transitioning from defense to attack and their remarkable ability to convert chances into goals, even with limited opportunities. Throughout the Champions League group stage, the team consistently delivered high-level performances, rightfully securing a third-place finish in the standings. Thanks to their strong ranking, Chelsea earned a direct spot in the quarterfinals, bypassing the Round of 16 and conserving energy for the decisive matches ahead.

    Match Results: Chelsea (W)

    Last matches
    27.09.26
    The FA Women's Super League
    Chelsea (W)
    Chelsea (W)
    Arsenal (W)
    Arsenal (W)
    -
    -
    3
    4
    9
    9
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    3
    4
    9
    9
    2
    0
    W
    23.09.26
    uwcl
    Chelsea (W)
    Chelsea (W)
    Austria Wien (W)
    Austria Wien (W)
    -
    -
    4
    9
    12
    15
    1
    1
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    4
    9
    12
    15
    1
    1
    W
    19.09.26
    The FA Women's Super League
    Chelsea (W)
    Chelsea (W)
    Birmingham City (W)
    Birmingham City (W)
    -
    -
    12
    1
    10
    4
    1
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    12
    1
    10
    4
    1
    0
    W
    13.09.26
    The FA Women's Super League
    Manchester United (W)
    Manchester United (W)
    Chelsea (W)
    Chelsea (W)
    -
    -
    1
    6
    4
    7
    1
    1
    0
    5
    0
    2
    0
    3
    -
    -
    1
    6
    4
    7
    1
    1
    W
    05.09.26
    The FA Women's Super League
    Chelsea (W)
    Chelsea (W)
    Aston Villa (W)
    Aston Villa (W)
    -
    -
    13
    0
    2
    5
    0
    2
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    13
    0
    2
    5
    0
    2
    D
    Empty
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    Prediction for the 1st half

    First Half Statistics: Arsenal (W) (Home) vs Chelsea (W) (Away)

    • Number of matches played in the tournament: 4 vs 3;
    • Number of wins: 1 (25%) vs 1 (33.33%);
    • Number of losses: 2 (50%) vs 0 (0%);
    • Number of draws: 1 (25%) vs 2 (66.67%);
    • Average total goals scored: 1.75 vs 1.33;
    • Average total goals conceded: 1 vs 0.33.

    Last 10 Matches (Overall):

    • Number of wins: 6 vs 7;
    • Number of losses: 1 vs 1;
    • Number of draws: 3 vs 2;
    • Average first half total: 1.5 (scored - 1.2, conceded - 0.3) vs 1.3 (scored - 1, conceded - 0.3).
    Trends
    • Arsenal (W) scored in the 1st half in last 8 games.
    • Arsenal (W) scored in the 1st half in last 5 home games.
    👉Prediction: 1st half, Arsenal (W) to score goal(odds: 1.82)

    Outcome Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Played - 36;
    • Home wins - 11, Away wins - 18, Draws - 7.

    Statistics: Arsenal (W) vs Chelsea (W)

    • Matches in tournament: 6 vs 6;
    • Wins: 6 vs 4;
    • Win percentage: 75% vs 67%;
    • Losses: 2 vs 0;
    • Draws: 0 vs 2.

    Last 10 Matches:

    • Wins: 9 vs 7;
    • Losses: 1 vs 2;
    • Draws: 0 vs 1.
    Trends
    • Chelsea (W) cover a +1.5 handicap on the road in 15 of the last 16 head-to-head meetings.
    • Chelsea (W) cover a +1.5 handicap away in 9 of their last 10 matches.
    • Chelsea (W) cover a +1.5 handicap in 6 consecutive matches (UEFA Women's Champions League).
    👉Prediction: Chelsea (W) Handicap (+1,5)(Odds: 1.26)

    Total Goals Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches (Average Total):

    • Home team - 1.31, Away team - 1.61;
    • In head-to-head matches - 2.92;
    • Both teams scored: Overall - 21 times; At home team's ground - 12 times.

    Average Total Statistics: Arsenal (W) vs Chelsea (W)

    • In tournament: 3.13 vs 3.83;
    • Goals scored: 2.25 vs 3.33;
    • First half: 1.13 vs 1.5;
    • Second half: 1.13 vs 1.83;
    • Arsenal (W): At home in tournament - 1.75;
    • Chelsea (W): Away in tournament - 3;
    • Last 10 matches: 2.9 (home - 3) vs 1.8 (away - 1.25).
    Trends
    • Arsenal (W) score less than 1.5 goals at home in 6 of the last 7 head-to-head meetings.
    👉Prediction: Arsenal (W) Total goals Under (1,5)(Odds: 1.73)

    Both Teams to Score Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Played - 36;
    • Both teams scored overall - 21 times;
    • At home team's ground - 12 times.

    Statistics: Arsenal (W) vs Chelsea (W)

    • Played in tournament: 6 vs 6;
    • Season matches with both teams scoring (BTTS): 4 vs 3;
    • Arsenal (W): BTTS at home - 3 (75%);
    • Chelsea (W): BTTS away - 2 (67%).

    Last 10 Matches:

    • BTTS matches: 2 vs 4;
    • Arsenal (W): BTTS at home - 2 (29%);
    • Chelsea (W): BTTS away - 2 (50%).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams to Score – (No)(Odds: 2.1)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    The first leg of this quarter-final clash is likely to be a cautious and tightly contested affair, given the high stakes of a London derby at this stage. Both teams are well aware of each other's strengths, so the focus will be on minimizing risks and maintaining a solid defensive setup. Chelsea are traditionally adept at keeping games tight against top clubs, while Arsenal are unlikely to go all out from the start, wary of their opponent's lethal counterattacks. Betting on under 3.5 goals seems quite reasonable. A 1-0 scoreline is possible.

    Total goals Under (3,5)
    Odds-250
    Published: 23/03/2026, 10:06

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    Betting Tips: Arsenal (W) - Chelsea (W)

    Arsenal (W) have won:
    arsenal-lfcin last 9 games.
    arsenal-lfcin last 5 games (UEFA Champions League Women).
    Arsenal (W) to Win
    Everygame
    -105
    Arsenal (W) have not lost:
    arsenal-lfcin 18 of last 19 games.
    arsenal-lfcin 12 of last 13 home games.
    Arsenal (W) will not lose
    Everygame
    -323
    Chelsea (W) have not lost:
    chelsea-lfcin 9 of last 10 away games.
    chelsea-lfcin last 6 games (UEFA Champions League Women).
    Chelsea (W) will not lose
    Everygame
    -133
    Over 1.5 goals scored:
    arsenal-lfcchelsea-lfcin 16 of last 17 Arsenal (W) home games against Chelsea (W).
    arsenal-lfcin 8 of last 9 Arsenal (W) games.
    arsenal-lfcin 7 of last 8 Arsenal (W) games (UEFA Champions League Women).
    chelsea-lfcin 14 of last 15 Chelsea (W) games.
    chelsea-lfcin last 10 Chelsea (W) games (UEFA Champions League Women).
    chelsea-lfcin last 5 Chelsea (W) away games (UEFA Champions League Women).
    in last 9 Ionela Alina Pesu games.
    Total goals Over (1,5)
    -400
    View more facts

    Arsenal - Chelsea Table position

    UEFA Champions League Women 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    2.
    OL Lyonnes (W)
    OL Lyonnes (W)
    651018-516
    3.
    Chelsea (W)
    Chelsea (W)
    642020-314
    4.
    Bayern Munich (W)
    Bayern Munich (W)
    641114-1313
    5.
    Arsenal (W)
    Arsenal (W)
    640211-612
    6.
    Manchester United (W)
    Manchester United (W)
    64027-912

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    5 - Wins
    3 - Draws
    2 - Loses
    Wins - 8
    Draw - 1
    Lose - 1
    10 matches
    Scored - 12
    Conceded - 7
    +5
    +15
    22 - Scored
    7 - Conceded
    5
    Wins
    8
    3
    Draws
    1
    2
    Loses
    1
    Goal difference
    12
    Scored
    22
    7
    Conceded
    7
    1.9
    Match goals average
    2.9
    1.2
    Goals scored per match on average
    2.2
    0.7
    Goals conceded per match on average
    0.7
    4
    Both teams scored
    4
    75'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    42'
    View all stats