Rayo Vallecano vs Osasuna Prediction

Details
The main thing

    🔊 What will be the outcome of the clash between these table neighbors? The opening fixture of Saturday's La Liga schedule features a showdown between Rayo Vallecano and Osasuna at the “Campo de Vallecas.” Both clubs have yet to secure a comfortable cushion above the relegation zone, with only a 3-point gap. While "the Bees" find themselves in a bit of a slump, "the Reds" are still adapting to Alessio Lisci's tactical ideas. The home advantage has been pivotal for bookmakers, who favor Iñigo Pérez's side with double the odds.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 This season, the teams faced off at "El Sadar," where Osasuna secured a hard-fought 2-0 victory. Their effective transitional play and solid defensive line were key factors in this win. Let's take note of the average scoring rate for each side over their last 10 head-to-head encounters: the "Bees" average 1 goal, while the "Reds" average 1.4. Whether Alessio Lisci's squad can replicate their September success will be revealed soon.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    28%
    8 Wins
    31%
    9 Draws
    41%
    12 Wins
    Total games
    29
    Total Goals Avg
    2.34
    Both teams scored
    52%
    1.1
    Total average
    1.24
    1.34
    Yellow cards
    1.48
    Last matches
    24.01.26
    La Liga
    Rayo Vallecano
    Rayo Vallecano
    Osasuna
    Osasuna
    0.65
    1.28
    4
    3
    12
    15
    2
    2
    1
    3
    0
    1
    1
    2
    0.65
    1.28
    4
    3
    12
    15
    2
    2
    14.09.25
    La Liga
    Osasuna
    Osasuna
    Rayo Vallecano
    Rayo Vallecano
    1.4
    0.98
    3
    6
    13
    7
    3
    2
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1.4
    0.98
    3
    6
    13
    7
    3
    2
    19.01.25
    PRI
    CA Osasuna
    CA Osasuna
    Rayo Vallecano
    Rayo Vallecano
    0.66
    0.8
    6
    3
    9
    13
    3
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    0.66
    0.8
    6
    3
    9
    13
    3
    2
    16.09.24
    La Liga
    Rayo Vallecano
    Rayo Vallecano
    Osasuna
    Osasuna
    -
    -
    7
    4
    5
    9
    3
    2
    3
    1
    0
    1
    3
    0
    -
    -
    7
    4
    5
    9
    3
    2
    20.04.24
    La Liga
    Rayo Vallecano
    Rayo Vallecano
    Osasuna
    Osasuna
    -
    -
    5
    1
    8
    14
    4
    1
    2
    1
    0
    1
    2
    0
    -
    -
    5
    1
    8
    14
    4
    1
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    Rayo Vallecano Team Overview

    ⚪ The "Bees" are showing a stark contrast in their performances compared to last season. The persistence and intensity that characterized Iñigo Pérez's squad seem to have vanished, and their participation in European competitions has only complicated the club's domestic league objectives. Currently, Rayo Vallecano sit in 13th place in the standings, with 22 points from 20 games. Their scoring statistics are disheartening, averaging just 0.8 goals per match, ranking them 18th in the league. However, "Campo de Vallecas" remains a significant factor - the Bees have suffered only one defeat at home this season (against Sevilla - 0:1).

    🔴 In the last round of the national championship, Rayo Vallecano left "Balaídos" in disgrace after a heavy defeat to local side Celta Vigo (0:3). Poor finishing and overly passive pressing made it easier for their opponents to secure the desired result. The capital club has failed to score in their last two matches across all competitions. Jorge de Frutos remains Rayo Vallecano's top scorer in La Liga with 6 goals and 1 assist in 18 appearances. Recently, Iñigo Pérez has been experimenting with formations. In their last match, the Bees lined up in a 4-3-3 formation to enhance their pressing effectiveness - though it didn’t pay off.

    Match Results: Rayo Vallecano

    Last matches
    27.05.26
    Conference League
    Crystal Palace
    Crystal Palace
    Rayo Vallecano
    Rayo Vallecano
    1.85
    0.76
    4
    1
    16
    15
    3
    6
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1.85
    0.76
    4
    1
    16
    15
    3
    6
    L
    23.05.26
    La Liga
    Deportivo Alaves
    Deportivo Alaves
    Rayo Vallecano
    Rayo Vallecano
    2.13
    1.23
    10
    5
    13
    14
    3
    3
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    2
    2.13
    1.23
    10
    5
    13
    14
    3
    3
    W
    17.05.26
    La Liga
    Rayo Vallecano
    Rayo Vallecano
    Villarreal
    Villarreal
    1.61
    1.16
    1
    9
    12
    10
    2
    1
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1.61
    1.16
    1
    9
    12
    10
    2
    1
    W
    14.05.26
    La Liga
    Valencia
    Valencia
    Rayo Vallecano
    Rayo Vallecano
    0.79
    1.16
    5
    1
    9
    20
    1
    1
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0.79
    1.16
    5
    1
    9
    20
    1
    1
    D
    11.05.26
    La Liga
    Rayo Vallecano
    Rayo Vallecano
    Girona
    Girona
    1.47
    1.01
    9
    5
    10
    9
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    1.47
    1.01
    9
    5
    10
    9
    1
    1
    D
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    Osasuna Team Overview

    🔴 The team from Pamplona continues to teeter between mid-table security and the relegation zone. Currently, Osasuna have amassed 22 points from 20 matches, which sees them sitting in 12th place. Particularly concerning are Alessio Lisci's side's away performances, with no wins in 10 games. Looking at their average statistics this season, Osasuna score 1.05 goals per game while conceding 1.2. Alessio Lisci's tactical approach is characterized by a patient style of play, searching for open spaces. The speed and skill of the wingers are crucial in their attacking strategy.

    📌 Last weekend, Osasuna secured a hard-fought comeback victory against Real Oviedo, winning 3-2. The standout performer was Ante Budimir, who netted a brace. The 34-year-old Croatian striker now has eight goals in 19 appearances. In the recent match, Osasuna lined up in a formation resembling 4-3-2-1, utilizing inverted wingers. This decision made sense as Budimir excelled in aerial duels and link-up play, allowing Garcia and Munoz to frequently receive the ball in the opponent's penalty area. Osasuna players made an impressive 30 touches inside the "Carbayones" box.

    Match Results: Osasuna

    Last matches
    23.05.26
    La Liga
    Getafe
    Getafe
    Osasuna
    Osasuna
    0.23
    0.42
    2
    4
    17
    20
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0.23
    0.42
    2
    4
    17
    20
    1
    2
    L
    17.05.26
    La Liga
    Osasuna
    Osasuna
    Espanyol Barcelona
    Espanyol Barcelona
    2.36
    0.78
    9
    2
    10
    13
    1
    2
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1
    2.36
    0.78
    9
    2
    10
    13
    1
    2
    L
    12.05.26
    La Liga
    Osasuna
    Osasuna
    Atletico Madrid
    Atletico Madrid
    1
    2.18
    1.47
    8
    4
    15
    12
    6
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1
    2.18
    1.47
    8
    4
    15
    12
    6
    3
    L
    08.05.26
    La Liga
    Levante UD
    Levante UD
    Osasuna
    Osasuna
    1
    3.25
    0.35
    15
    1
    11
    13
    2
    0
    3
    2
    2
    2
    1
    0
    3.25
    0.35
    15
    1
    11
    13
    2
    0
    L
    02.05.26
    La Liga
    Osasuna
    Osasuna
    Barcelona
    Barcelona
    0.89
    1.71
    3
    7
    9
    10
    2
    2
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1
    2
    0.89
    1.71
    3
    7
    9
    10
    2
    2
    L
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Latest news

    Rayo Vallecano

    🎤 Following a heavy 0-3 defeat to Celta, Iñigo Pérez faced the media: “It was an utterly disheartening performance - there are no words to justify it. We were outplayed and failed to capitalize on our strengths. Nonetheless, I am convinced that we must stay strong and continue to work hard to overcome this crisis. I have a group of fantastic players capable of maintaining a consistently high level of play. It is my responsibility to develop an effective and well-founded tactical plan. I apologize to our fans and promise that we will perform better in our next home game.”

    ❌ Rayo Vallecano's injury list includes Abdul Mumin (knee injury) and Sergio Camello (ankle injury).

    Osasuna

    🎤 Osasuna's head coach Alessio Lisci spoke about the significance of their recent victory: "This is a very important win. Today, I told the team they had to achieve this themselves because last time they deserved more, and on other days - like in Girona - they also deserved more. In the end, they earned this moment of joy. The way we won - obviously, by scoring in the last minute - always gives a much bigger boost. I'm happy for the players and, of course, for the fans, who were, as always, fantastic, supporting us and cheering us on until the very last minute. It was incredible. When both teams are constantly pressing, you get a match like this. When you break the press, it immediately leads to a counterattack that turns into a scoring chance. That's why both sides had so many opportunities."

    ❌ Among Osasuna's unavailable players, only Iker Benito stands out as he continues to recover from a cruciate ligament rupture.

    ⚽ Goal Prediction

    Let's note that the head-to-head encounters between Rayo Vallecano and Osasuna are traditionally marked by dynamic action. In 5 of their last 7 meetings, both teams have found the back of the net. Moreover, in 5 of Rayo's last 7 matches this season, there have been at least 3 goals scored. We suggest considering the following bet - both teams to score (yes).

    🚩 Corner Prediction

    Osasuna are among the league's lower performers in terms of average corners earned per game, with around 3.1. In comparison, Rayo Vallecano average 6.1 corners. In their head-to-head matchups, the capital club also holds a slight edge in this statistic: 5 to 4.5. Considering the home-field advantage as well, we propose the following bet - Rayo Vallecano to win on corners with a -1.5 handicap.

    Editorial Prediction

    This season, Rayo Vallecano have been exemplary at home, suffering just one defeat across all competitions. Meanwhile, Osasuna are yet to secure an away victory in the current La Liga campaign. The "Bees" display slightly more tactical flexibility, and the support from the "Campo de Vallecas" crowd will be a crucial factor in their quest for victory. We predict a final score of 2-1 in favor of Rayo Vallecano, with the key bet being Rayo Vallecano to win with a handicap (0).

    Our choice
    Rayo Vallecano Handicap (0) at odds of -189*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (22 January 2026, 18:57)

    Betting Tips: Rayo Vallecano - Osasuna

    Rayo Vallecano have not won
    rayo-vallecano-1in 9 of last 10 games (La Liga).
    Osasuna will not lose
    Everygame
    -161
    Rayo Vallecano have not lost
    rayo-vallecano-1ca-osasunain 7 of last 8 home games against Osasuna (La Liga).
    rayo-vallecano-1in 16 of last 17 home games.
    rayo-vallecano-1in 12 of last 13 home games (La Liga).
    Osasuna have not won
    ca-osasunain 21 of last 22 away games (La Liga).
    Rayo Vallecano will not lose
    MyBookie
    +105
    Over 1.5 goals scored
    rayo-vallecano-1ca-osasunain 7 of last 8 Rayo Vallecano games against Osasuna (La Liga).
    rayo-vallecano-1in last 7 Rayo Vallecano games.
    ca-osasunain 10 of last 11 Osasuna games.
    ca-osasunain 7 of last 8 Osasuna games (La Liga).
    in 8 of last 9 Miguel Sesma Espinosa games.
    in last 6 Miguel Sesma Espinosa games (in the La Liga).
    Total goals Over (1.5)
    Everygame
    -222
    Osasuna have conceded
    ca-osasunain 14 of last 15 away games (La Liga).
    Rayo Vallecano will score goal
    MyBookie
    -154
    View more facts

    Rayo Vallecano - Osasuna Table position

    LaLiga 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    7.
    Getafe
    Getafe
    381561732-3851
    8.
    Rayo Vallecano
    Rayo Vallecano
    3812141241-4450
    9.
    Valencia
    Valencia
    3813101546-5549
    16.
    Levante UD
    Levante UD
    381191847-6142
    17.
    Osasuna
    Osasuna
    381191844-5042
    18.
    Mallorca
    Mallorca
    381191847-5742

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    6 - Wins
    3 - Draws
    1 - Lose
    Wins - 2
    Draws - 2
    Loses - 6
    10 matches
    Scored - 14
    Conceded - 7
    +7
    -4
    11 - Scored
    15 - Conceded
    6
    Wins
    2
    3
    Draws
    2
    1
    Loses
    6
    Goal difference
    14
    Scored
    11
    7
    Conceded
    15
    2.1
    Match goals average
    2.6
    1.4
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.1
    0.7
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.5
    4
    Both teams scored
    7
    64'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    82'
    View all stats