Penybont vs Caernarfon Prediction

    📣How will an early goal change the strategy of both teams? If it happens, we will see an interesting development in the confrontation between the teams Penybont and Caernarfon. Recall that the meeting is scheduled for 14:30 24 January. The tournament match will take place at the Bryntirion Park stadium in the city of Bridgend. Note the odds - bookmakers offer to bet on the victory of the side for and , respectively.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official match between the teams took place on 25 October 2025 and ended with a score of 0:2. Let's compare the statistics from that encounter (home team - Penybont):

    • ball possession percentage: 56% vs 44%;
    • corner kicks: 6 vs 1;
    • yellow cards: 3 vs 4.

    📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Penybont and Caernarfon:

    • played 22 matches;
    • number of wins for the home team - 11, for the away team - 6, draws - 5;
    • number of goals - 45 against 28;
    • average total in the 1st half - 1.36, in the 2nd half - 1.95;
    • average total goals in the match - 3.32.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    46%
    11 Wins
    25%
    6 Draws
    29%
    7 Wins
    Total games
    24
    Total Goals Avg
    3.13
    Both teams scored
    54%
    1.88
    Total average
    1.25
    0.58
    Yellow cards
    0.75
    Last matches
    18.04.26
    Premier League
    Caernarfon
    Caernarfon
    Penybont
    Penybont
    1
    -
    -
    5
    5
    -
    -
    2
    1
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    5
    5
    -
    -
    2
    1
    24.01.26
    Premier League
    Penybont
    Penybont
    Caernarfon
    Caernarfon
    -
    -
    3
    6
    -
    -
    2
    3
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    3
    6
    -
    -
    2
    3
    25.10.25
    Premier League
    Penybont
    Penybont
    Caernarfon
    Caernarfon
    -
    -
    6
    1
    -
    -
    3
    4
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    -
    -
    6
    1
    -
    -
    3
    4
    20.09.25
    Premier League
    Caernarfon
    Caernarfon
    Penybont
    Penybont
    -
    -
    3
    8
    -
    -
    2
    3
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1
    2
    -
    -
    3
    8
    -
    -
    2
    3
    13.04.25
    Premier League
    Penybont
    Penybont
    Caernarfon
    Caernarfon
    -
    -
    8
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    3
    1
    1
    1
    2
    0
    -
    -
    8
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    Empty
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    Penybont Team Overview

    The team's last official match took place on 13 January 2026 as part of the Premier League tournament (home team - Penybont, away team - Cardiff Metropolitan University). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:1.

    Here are the game statistics (Penybont vs Cardiff Metropolitan University):

    • ball possession: 67% vs 33%;
    • corner kicks: 4 vs 4;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
    • shots on target: 6 vs 3.
    🏆Throughout the Premier League season, the team Penybont has engaged in 22 fixtures, resulting in:
    • 11 wins,
    • 6 losses,
    • 5 draws.

    📈Currently, Penybont stands at a mid-tier position within the Premier League standings, with a win percentage of 50% and a loss percentage of 27%.

    ⚽️Penybont has scored a total of 36 goals. On the defensive end, Penybont has allowed 31 goals over the season.

    Match Results: Penybont

    Last matches
    02.05.26
    Premier League
    Penybont
    Penybont
    Haverfordwest
    Haverfordwest
    -
    -
    1
    4
    -
    -
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    1
    4
    -
    -
    3
    1
    W
    25.04.26
    Premier League
    Colwyn Bay
    Colwyn Bay
    Penybont
    Penybont
    -
    -
    5
    3
    -
    -
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    3
    5
    -
    -
    5
    3
    -
    -
    0
    0
    W
    18.04.26
    Premier League
    Caernarfon
    Caernarfon
    Penybont
    Penybont
    1
    -
    -
    5
    5
    -
    -
    2
    1
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    5
    5
    -
    -
    2
    1
    L
    03.04.26
    Premier League
    Penybont
    Penybont
    Barry Town United
    Barry Town United
    -
    -
    3
    5
    -
    -
    3
    2
    0
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    -
    -
    3
    5
    -
    -
    3
    2
    L
    28.03.26
    Premier League
    Penybont
    Penybont
    Colwyn Bay
    Colwyn Bay
    -
    -
    1
    6
    -
    -
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    1
    6
    -
    -
    0
    0
    D
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    Caernarfon Team Overview

    The away team played their last official match on 13 January 2026 as part of the Premier League tournament (home team - Caernarfon, away - Gap Connahs Quay). The match ended with a score of 2:2.

    Here are the game statistics (Caernarfon vs Gap Connahs Quay):

    • ball possession: 48% vs 52%;
    • corner kicks: 3 vs 4;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 0;
    • shots on target: 6 vs 7.
    🏆Throughout the Premier League season, the team Caernarfon has engaged in 22 fixtures, resulting in:
    • 9 wins,
    • 6 losses,
    • 7 draws.

    📈Currently, Caernarfon stands at a mid-tier position within the Premier League standings, with a win percentage of 41% and a loss percentage of 27%.

    ⚽Caernarfon has scored a total of 44 goals. On the defensive end has allowed 32 goals over the season.

    Match Results: Caernarfon

    Last matches
    18.04.26
    Premier League
    Caernarfon
    Caernarfon
    Penybont
    Penybont
    1
    -
    -
    5
    5
    -
    -
    2
    1
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    5
    5
    -
    -
    2
    1
    W
    12.04.26
    Welsh Cup
    Caernarfon
    Caernarfon
    Flint United
    Flint United
    -
    -
    10
    5
    -
    -
    2
    0
    3
    0
    3
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    10
    5
    -
    -
    2
    0
    W
    03.04.26
    Premier League
    Colwyn Bay
    Colwyn Bay
    Caernarfon
    Caernarfon
    -
    -
    7
    6
    -
    -
    2
    1
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    -
    -
    7
    6
    -
    -
    2
    1
    W
    27.03.26
    Premier League
    Caernarfon
    Caernarfon
    The New Saints
    The New Saints
    -
    -
    2
    6
    -
    -
    1
    1
    0
    4
    0
    2
    0
    2
    -
    -
    2
    6
    -
    -
    1
    1
    L
    21.03.26
    Premier League
    Barry Town United
    Barry Town United
    Caernarfon
    Caernarfon
    -
    -
    5
    4
    -
    -
    1
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    2
    1
    -
    -
    5
    4
    -
    -
    1
    1
    L
    Empty
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    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 22;
    • home team wins - 11, away team wins - 6, draws - 5.

    Statistics: Penybont vs Caernarfon

    • matches played in the tournament: 22 vs 22;
    • wins: 11 vs 9;
    • win percentage: 50% vs 41%;
    • losses: 6 vs 6;
    • draws: 5 vs 7.

    Last 10 matches:

    • wins: 4 vs 3;
    • losses: 3 vs 3;
    • draws: 3 vs 4.
    Trends
    • Penybont have not lost in 9 of last 10 home games.
    • Penybont have not lost in 7 of last 8 games.
    👉Prediction: Penybont will not lose (odds: 1.4)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 2.05, the guests - 1.27;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.32;
    • both teams scored: overall - 13; at the home team's field - 4.

    Statistics: Penybont vs Caernarfon

    • average total in the tournament: 3.05 vs 3.45;
    • average total goals scored: 1.64 vs 2;
    • average total in the 1st half: 0.55 vs 0.64;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 1.09 vs 1.36;
    • Penybont: average total at home in the tournament -  1.36;
    • Caernarfon: average total away in the tournament - 1.91;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 1.7 (home - 1) vs 1.6 (away - 1.2).
    Trends
    • Penybont have scored under 1.5 goals in last 5 games.
    👉Prediction: Penybont Total goals Under (1.5) (odds: 1.5)

    Prediction on corners

    Penybont: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.18; at home field - 4.45;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.1; at home field - 4.

    Caernarfon: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.77, away - 4.09;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.3; away - 4.
    Trends
    • Over 8.5 corners in 6 of last 7 Caernarfon games (Premier League).
    👉Prediction: Corners - Total Over (8.5) (odds: 1.89)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 22;
    • both teams scored all-time - 13 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 4 times.

    Statistics: Penybont vs Caernarfon

    • number of matches played in the tournament: 22 vs 22;
    • number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 10 vs 16;
    • number of BTTS matches for Penybont at home - 5 (45%);
    • number of BTTS matches for Caernarfon away - 7 (64%).

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of BTTS matches: 7 vs 6;
    • BTTS matches for Penybont at home - 4 (80%);
    • BTTS matches for Caernarfon away - 2 (40%).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (Yes) (odds: 1.63)

    Correct score prediction

    Statistics of frequent results (current season):

    • most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (13/132, 9.8%);
    • Penybont at home most often finish matches: 1:1 (3/11, 27.3%);
    • Caernarfon away most often play: 1:1 , 2:2 , 2:5 (2/11, 18.2%).

    Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:

    1:1 - 12.45% (odds 5.75)
    1:0 - 9.4% (odds 7.7)
    2:1 - 8.94% (odds 8.1)

    Trends
    • Penybont drew 1:1 in 3 of last 4 games (Premier League).

    Editorial Prediction

    Key statistics:
    • Under 2.5 goals scored in last 5 Penybont games.

    Our choice
    Total goals Under (2.5) at odds of -105*
    Bovada
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (22 January 2026, 15:25)

    Betting Tips: Penybont - Caernarfon

    Penybont have drawn
    penybontin last 4 home games.
    Draw
    Everygame
    +230
    Penybont have not lost
    penybontin 9 of last 10 home games.
    penybontin 7 of last 8 games.
    Penybont will not lose
    Everygame
    -217
    Over 1.5 goals scored
    penybontin 12 of last 14 Penybont games.
    penybontin 10 of last 11 Penybont games (Premier League).
    penybontin 6 of last 7 Penybont home games.
    caernarfon-townin 18 of last 20 Caernarfon away games (Premier League).
    caernarfon-townin 14 of last 15 Caernarfon games.
    caernarfon-townin 10 of last 11 Caernarfon games (Premier League).
    caernarfon-townin 7 of last 8 Caernarfon away games.
    Total goals Over (1.5)
    Everygame
    -357
    Penybont have conceded
    penybontin 10 of last 11 games (Premier League).
    penybontin last 6 home games (Premier League).
    Caernarfon have scored
    caernarfon-townin 10 of last 11 games (Premier League).
    caernarfon-townin 8 of last 9 games.
    Caernarfon will score goal
    Everygame
    -357
    View more facts

    Penybont - Caernarfon Table position

    Premier League 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    1.
    The New Saints
    The New Saints
    22172359-1953
    2.
    Gap Connahs Quay
    Gap Connahs Quay
    22145348-2547
    3.
    Penybont
    Penybont
    22115636-3138
    4.
    Caernarfon
    Caernarfon
    2297644-3234
    5.
    Barry Town United
    Barry Town United
    2279633-2530
    6.
    Colwyn Bay
    Colwyn Bay
    2286829-2530

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    2 - Wins
    2 - Draws
    6 - Loses
    Wins - 5
    Draws - 0
    Loses - 5
    10 matches
    Scored - 5
    Conceded - 12
    -7
    +1
    16 - Scored
    15 - Conceded
    2
    Wins
    5
    2
    Draws
    0
    6
    Loses
    5
    Goal difference
    5
    Scored
    16
    12
    Conceded
    15
    1.7
    Match goals average
    3.1
    0.5
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.6
    1.2
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.5
    3
    Both teams scored
    4
    186'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    56'
    View all stats