Motherwell vs Kilmarnock Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 24 January 2026
🔊 In the upcoming clash, Motherwell host Kilmarnock in what promises to be a thrilling encounter full of intrigue. Motherwell sit fourth in the table and show strong form at home, winning 6 of their last 7 matches. The team is also known for their solid defense, having kept clean sheets in seven consecutive home games. Meanwhile, Kilmarnock fight for survival and aim to improve their standing after a series of setbacks. Both teams boast nearly full-strength squads, adding even more excitement to this matchup.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 22 November 2025, ending in a 1-3 defeat. Here's a breakdown of the comparative statistics from that encounter (Kilmarnock were the home side):
- possession: 41% vs 59%;
- corners: 3 vs 3;
- fouls: 15 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 5;
- shots on target: 6 vs 5.
📊 Statistical preview of the official encounters between Motherwell and Kilmarnock:
- 47 matches played;
- home victories - 20, away victories - 15, draws - 12;
- goals scored - 55 for the hosts, 50 for the visitors;
- average goals in the first half - 1.02, in the second half - 1.21;
- average total goals per match - 2.23.
Head-to-head statistics Motherwell - Kilmarnock
Motherwell Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in the Scottish Cup Round of 16, with Motherwell hosting Ross County. The match concluded with a 1-0 victory.
Here are the game statistics (Motherwell vs Ross County):
- possession: 62% vs 38%;
- corners: 11 vs 3;
- fouls: 6 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 5;
- shots on target: 6 vs 4.
🔴 Motherwell are in impressive form with their recent performances: following a three-match unbeaten streak in the Premier League, the Steelmen advanced to the last 16 of the national cup by defeating Ross County at home (1-0). Their style of play is built on ball control and solid defense, conceding an average of just 0.77 goals per match. Their home form is even more formidable-they secure victories at home with enviable consistency and often keep clean sheets.
Match Results: Motherwell
Kilmarnock Team Overview
The visitors' last official match took place on in the Scottish Cup Round of 16, where Kilmarnock hosted Dundee. The match concluded with a 1-2 scoreline.
Here are the match statistics (Kilmarnock vs Dundee):
- possession: 31% vs 69%;
- corners: 2 vs 9;
- fouls: 15 vs 8;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 4;
- shots on target: 3 vs 9.
🔵 Kilmarnock are struggling this season, sitting in 11th place in the league standings. "Killie" also participated in the Scottish Cup Round of 16 but were knocked out after a home defeat to Dundee (1-2). In the Premiership, their last victory came on October 4th. Since then, they've suffered 11 losses and managed four draws. On November 22nd, their head-to-head clash with Motherwell ended in a 1-3 home defeat.
Match Results: Kilmarnock
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head:
- Total encounters - 47;
- Home wins - 20, Away wins - 15, Draws - 12.
Statistics: Motherwell vs Kilmarnock
- Matches played in the tournament: 22 vs 22;
- Wins: 9 vs 2;
- Win percentage: 41% vs 9%;
- Losses: 3 vs 12;
- Draws: 10 vs 8.
Last 10 Matches:
- Wins: 5 vs 0;
- Losses: 1 vs 6;
- Draws: 4 vs 4.
- Kilmarnock win with a +1.5 handicap in 6 of their last 7 matches.
- Kilmarnock win with a +1.5 handicap in 5 consecutive away matches (Premier League).
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head:
- Today's home side average goals - 1.17, visitors - 1.06;
- Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 2.23;
- Both teams scored: overall - 22 times; at the home team's ground - 12 times.
Statistics: Motherwell vs Kilmarnock
- Average total in the tournament: 2.18 vs 2.68;
- Average goals scored: 1.41 vs 0.91;
- Average first-half total: 0.59 vs 0.5;
- Average second-half total: 0.82 vs 0.41;
- Motherwell's average home total in the tournament - 1.64;
- Kilmarnock's average away total in the tournament - 1.09;
- Last 10 matches (average total): 1 (home - 1.5) vs 0.7 (away - 0.8).
- Total under 2.5 goals occurred in 9 of Motherwell's last 10 matches (Premier League).
- Total under 2.5 goals occurred in Motherwell's last 7 matches consecutively.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head:
- Total encounters - 47;
- Both teams scored overall - 22 times;
- At the home team's ground - 12 times.
Statistics: Motherwell vs Kilmarnock
- Total matches played in the tournament: 22 vs 22;
- Matches with both teams scoring this season (BTTS): 10 vs 13;
- Motherwell's BTTS at home - 3 (27%);
- Kilmarnock's BTTS away - 8 (73%).
Last 10 Matches:
- Matches with BTTS: 1 vs 7;
- Motherwell's BTTS at home - 0 (0%);
- Kilmarnock's BTTS away - 4 (80%).
Exact Score Prediction
Frequent Results Statistics (current season):
- The most common scoreline in the tournament: 1-1 (17/132, 12.9%);
- Motherwell most frequently finishes home matches: 2-0 (5/11, 45.5%);
- Kilmarnock's frequent away results: 1-1, 2-1, 2-2, 3-1 (2/11, 18.2%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top-3 outcomes:
1-0 - 17.41% (odds: 6.5)
2-0 - 13.55% (odds: 7)
1-1 - 9.45% (odds: 7.5)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Motherwell are maintaining consistent form, particularly at home, as evidenced by their winning streak. They average 1.41 goals per match and showcase a solid defense with minimal goals conceded. Kilmarnock, on the other hand, are going through a tough period and find themselves in the relegation zone. Considering their away record, we opt for Kilmarnock to win with a +1.5 handicap, a bet that has hit in their last 5 away matches.No comments
Betting Tips: Motherwell - Kilmarnock
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