Heidenheim vs Leipzig Prediction 24 January 2026
🔊 Have Leipzig bounced back after yet another thrashing by Bayern? Ole Werner's side faces a challenging away game against Heidenheim-a venue where the "Red Bulls" traditionally struggle. The hosts are desperate for three points to at least hold onto 16th place, so playing for a goalless draw is not an option. Leipzig have slipped out of the top four, losing three of their last four matches, and the clash at the Voith-Arena will be a significant test for the visitors, despite their noticeable advantage in the bookmakers' odds.
Head-to-Head
📊 In the first round, Leipzig defeated Heidenheim 2-0 at home. After a goalless first half, goals from Christoph Baumgartner and Romulo secured the "Red Bulls" their first three points of the season.
Head-to-head statistics Heidenheim - Leipzig
Heidenheim Team Overview
🔴 Heidenheim were just ten minutes away from securing three points in Wolfsburg, but ultimately left Lower Saxony with a draw. Adrian Beck scored his first goal of the season, but in the 80th minute, the red-blue-and-whites' defense faltered on a corner delivery, resulting in a 1-1 draw.
🔵 This match marked the fifth consecutive game without a win for Frank Schmidt's side, with two draws and three losses. Nevertheless, the draw allowed the team to re-enter the playoff zone for league survival, thanks to defeats by direct competitors St. Pauli and Mainz. The gap to safety is just three points, which seems quite surmountable.
⚪ Looking at the broader picture, Heidenheim's situation has significantly improved in recent weeks. Consecutive wins over Union Berlin (2-1) and Freiburg (2-1) at the end of last year were timely, and draws against Cologne (2-2) and Wolfsburg only highlighted the team's progress.
Match Results: Heidenheim
Leipzig Team Overview
🐂 Despite a commanding first-half performance, Leipzig suffered another painful defeat to Bayern in the 18th round, losing 1-5. At the Red Bull Arena, Romulo opened the scoring, but after the break, the Munich side completely turned the game around.
🔴 This marks their third defeat in four matches, yet Ole Werner's team remains just one point shy of the top four, with a game in hand-a trip to St. Pauli on January 27. However, their defensive play is a major concern; excluding their 2-0 victory over Freiburg in the 17th round, the "Red Bulls" have conceded at least three goals in each of their other encounters.
⚪ The upcoming away match also promises to be intense. Since Heidenheim's promotion to the Bundesliga in 2023, Leipzig have played twice at the Voith-Arena, with both games being decided by just a single goal.
Match Results: Leipzig
Latest news
Heidenheim
🎙 Frank Schmidt reflected on the match in Wolfsburg: "In the first half, both teams played very compactly, which was our plan. We didn't want to press aggressively but rather sit a bit deeper. This didn't lead to many chances, but it aligned with our objectives. Except for two or three instances where Wolfsburg found space behind our defense, we were well-organized. Yes, we had to cover a lot of ground to reach their goal, so clear chances were few. But we scored at the perfect moment-right before halftime. In the second half, the pressure increased, yet I felt the team remained confident. Had we capitalized on one or two counterattacks better, a win could have been within reach. Ultimately, a set-piece decided it, and Wolfsburg equalized. Overall, I think the result was fair."
📝 Heidenheim have loaned out backup goalkeeper Kevin Müller to 2. Bundesliga leaders Schalke until the end of the season. Since the arrival of Diant Ramaj, the 34-year-old keeper hasn't made an appearance for the Red-Blue-Whites.
❌ No new injuries for the hosts. Leart Paqarada, Budu Zivzivadze, and Frank Feller continue their recovery.
Leipzig
🎙 Ole Werner on the upcoming match: "Heidenheim are always a tough opponent. They're a physically strong team with a clear structure, making good use of set-pieces and counterattacks. Ultimately, it comes down to playing our own game-that's exactly what I expect from my team. Only then can we achieve success."
👋 Just before the match against Bayern, a special atmosphere filled the stadium as Kevin Kampl bid farewell to fans at the Red Bull Arena, marking the end of his professional career. The midfielder joined Leipzig from Bayer Leverkusen in the summer of 2017 and became a key figure in the club's history. He was instrumental in their run to the Champions League semi-finals in 2020 and their German Cup victories in 2022 and 2023. Kampl made 283 appearances for Leipzig, scoring 10 goals and providing 23 assists.
📝 Additionally, the club completed the signing of 19-year-old winger Suleiman Sani from Slovakian side Trencin. The contract runs until June 30, 2031, and he will wear the number 18 shirt. In his previous club, he played 59 official matches, scoring 16 goals and providing 7 assists.
❌ Castello Lukeba has suffered a knee injury and will miss Saturday's game. Suleiman Sani is ready to participate after returning to training with the first team. Johan Bakayoko is expected to return to training next week and will not feature against Heidenheim. Assan Ouedraogo and Viggo Gebel also remain sidelined.
🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards
The appointed referee for the match is Tobias Stieler. In his previous match featuring Hamburg and Eintracht, he didn't issue a single card. Over his last 10 games, he averages 3.8 yellow cards per match. Heidenheim players typically receive 1.7 yellow cards per game, while Leipzig averages 1.5. In their five head-to-head Bundesliga encounters, the total has exceeded 3.5 yellow cards, and we are leaning towards this outcome.
⚽ Goal Prediction
Leipzig have been struggling with scoring in recent rounds, and Heidenheim have netted just 17 goals all season-only St. Pauli have scored fewer (16). Based on their head-to-head statistics, we predict a total of under 3.5 goals, which has occurred in 4 out of their 5 Bundesliga meetings.
🚩 Corner Prediction
Leipzig rank second only to Bayern in average corners per match with 5.9, while Heidenheim sit ninth with 4.8. We opt for Leipzig's individual total of under 6.5 corners, a scenario that has played out in 6 of the Red Bulls' last 7 matches.
Editorial Prediction
Despite suffering three defeats in their last four matches, Leipzig remain clear favorites even on the road. However, we don't foresee an easy win for the "Red Bulls," as Heidenheim are in desperate need of points.
At their home ground, the Voith-Arena, Frank Schmidt's side have a genuine chance to at least secure a draw, though even that might not be sufficient for the hosts. Leipzig have scored 33 goals in 17 matches-a figure that is far from the best in the league, with five teams having scored more.
Our pick is Leipzig's individual total under 2.5 goals. This outcome has occurred in five consecutive head-to-head meetings and in seven of Leipzig's last eight Bundesliga games. Nevertheless, we still allow for the possibility that Leipzig's individual quality could see them edge a victory-2-1.
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Betting Tips: Heidenheim - Leipzig
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