Birmingham vs Stoke City Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 24 January 2026
🔊 The Championship clash between Birmingham City and Stoke City promises to be an intriguing contest. Both teams have been in decent form and are aiming for the playoff spots, focusing on similar objectives in the standings. While both sides favor a cautious style with an emphasis on defense, their recent encounters have been fairly high-scoring. The main question is whether the Blues can live up to their favorites' tag with the backing of their home crowd.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 13 September 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 1:0. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Stoke City):
- ball possession percentage: 44% vs 56%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 2;
- fouls: 11 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 0;
- shots on target: 3 vs 0.
📊Analytical review of previous official games between the teams Birmingham City and Stoke City:
- played 29 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 14, for the away team - 7, draws - 8;
- number of goals (home/away) - 42 against 26;
- average total goals in the match - 2.34.
Head-to-head statistics Birmingham - Stoke City

Birmingham City Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Championship tournament (home team - Sheffield Wednesday, away team - Birmingham City). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:2.
Here's the game statistics (Birmingham City vs Sheffield Wednesday):
- ball possession: 50% vs 50%;
- corner kicks: 11 vs 3;
- fouls: 10 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 7 vs 1.
Birmingham City currently sit 13th in the Championship standings, delivering solid performances. Over their last five matches, they have secured three victories and suffered just one defeat, indicating a strong run of form. However, the Blues face defensive challenges, conceding in nearly every game. The team relies on a passing style of play, aiming to control possession in the midfield.
Match Results: Birmingham City

Stoke City Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Championship tournament (home team - Stoke City, away - Middlesbrough). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:2.
Here are the match stats (Stoke City vs Middlesbrough):
- ball possession: 40% vs 60%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 4;
- fouls: 11 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 4 vs 7.
Stoke City are holding onto the eighth spot in the league standings, vying for a playoff position. Their form appears stable, with three wins in their last five matches fueling their hopes for success. Defense remains a crucial factor in the Potters' achievements, as they concede an average of just 0.7 goals per match.
Match Results: Stoke City
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 29;
- home team wins - 14, away team wins - 7, draws - 8.
Statistics: Birmingham City vs Stoke City
- matches played in the tournament: 28 vs 28;
- wins: 10 vs 12;
- win percentage: 36% vs 43%;
- losses: 10 vs 11;
- draws: 8 vs 5.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 3 vs 4;
- losses: 3 vs 4;
- draws: 4 vs 2.
- Stoke City won with a +1.5 handicap in last 7 games against Birmingham City (Championship).
- Stoke City won with a +1.5 handicap in 17 of last 18 games.
- Stoke City won with a +1.5 handicap in 16 of last 17 games (Championship).
- Stoke City won with a +1.5 handicap in 7 of last 8 away games (Championship).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.45, the guests - 0.9;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.34;
- both teams scored: overall - 12; at the home team's field - 6.
Statistics: Birmingham City vs Stoke City
- average total in the tournament: 2.68 vs 2.07;
- average total goals scored: 1.36 vs 1.18;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.57 vs 0.54;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.79 vs 0.64;
- Birmingham City: average total at home in the tournament - 2.08;
- Stoke City: average total away in the tournament - 1;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.3 (home - 1.5) vs 0.8 (away - 0.75).
- Birmingham City have conceded in 14 of last 15 games.
- Birmingham City have conceded in 13 of last 14 games (Championship).
- Birmingham City have conceded in last 6 home games (Championship).
Prediction on corners
Birmingham City: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.43; at home field - 5.92;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.3; at home field - 6.5.
Stoke City: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.79, away - 5.43;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.8; away - 4.5.
- Birmingham City have taken under 5.5 corners in last 6 games against Stoke City (Championship).
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 1.8 (0.9 for home team and 0.9 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 2.14 (0.71 for home team and 1.43 for away team).
Birmingham City: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.11; at home - 2.23;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.9; at home - 2.75.
Stoke City: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.11, away - 2.14;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.4; away - 2.
- Under 4.5 yellow cards in last 6 Birmingham City games.
- Under 4.5 yellow cards in last 5 Birmingham City games (Championship).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 29;
- both teams scored all-time - 12 times;
- on the home team’s field - 6 times.
Statistics: Birmingham City vs Stoke City
- number of matches played in the tournament: 28 vs 28;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 16 vs 10;
- number of BTTS matches for Birmingham City at home - 9 (69%);
- number of BTTS matches for Stoke City away - 3 (21%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 7 vs 3;
- BTTS matches for Birmingham City at home - 4 (100%);
- BTTS matches for Stoke City away - 0 (0%).
- Birmingham City have scored and conceded in last 6 home games (Championship).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (52/331, 15.7%);
- Birmingham City at home most often finish matches: 1:1 (4/13, 30.8%);
- Stoke City away most often play: 1:0 (3/14, 21.4%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:0 - 13.25% (odds 6.5)
1:1 - 11.63% (odds 7)
2:1 - 9.32% (odds 8.5)
- Birmingham City drew 1:1 in 3 of last 4 home games (Championship).