Lille vs Paris Prediction 23 November 2025
🔊 How will the final match of the 13th round of the French football championship conclude? We're in for a thrilling showdown between Lille and Paris, teams currently sitting mid-table but with high ambitions for this season. You'll find a detailed analysis of this matchup and a prediction for the outcome in our coverage.
Head-to-Head
📊 These teams have never faced each other before; they are preparing for their first head-to-head match.
Head-to-head statistics Lille - Paris
Lille Team Overview
🔵 Lille were initially seen as strong contenders for the championship title. For a significant period, the team held their position among the leaders, but over the past month, they've slipped and dropped a notable number of points. Currently, the "Dogs" sit in fifth place, trailing the top three by two points and first place by eight.
🔴 In their last three league matches, Lille suffered two defeats: against Nice (0-2) and Strasbourg (0-2). Simultaneously, Bruno Génésio's squad fell to Red Star Belgrade in the Europa League with a 0-1 scoreline. Their only victory in this stretch came against Angers (1-0). In total, Lille managed to score just one goal across four matches!
Match Results: Lille
Paris Team Overview
🔵 Paris FC are a solid mid-table team in the league, ready to fight for a spot in European competitions, despite making their debut in the top division. Over the past month, the capital club has shown a wide range of results, with three matches ending in completely different outcomes. Currently, Stéphane Gilli's squad sits 11th in the standings.
⚫ Following an impressive away victory over Monaco in the 11th round (1-0), Paris FC stumbled at home against Rennes, losing 0-1. It's worth highlighting the team's low scoring output in these fixtures-just one goal across two matches-which indicates issues in their attacking line.
Match Results: Paris
Latest news
Lille
🟥 Indonesian defender Calvin Verdonk will miss the upcoming match against Paris due to suspension. In the last round, he received a straight red card in the 90+5th minute and was sent off. Midfielder Benjamin André will also be unavailable due to an accumulation of yellow cards.
❌ Lille have several players sidelined with injuries: Ousmane Touré (knee injury), Marc-Aurèle Caillard (leg injury), and Alexsandro (thigh injury).
Paris
🟥 Paris will be without Brazilian defender Otavio due to an accumulation of yellow cards. This is a significant blow for the capital club as he is one of the key players in their defense.
❌ Paris also have several injured players who won't be able to assist the team in the upcoming match: Sofiane Alakouch, Pierre-Yves Hamel, and Nanitamo Ikone.
🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards
The upcoming match will be officiated by Benoit Millot. Over the span of 100 matches, he averages 3.89 yellow cards per game with 26 fouls. In 12 Ligue 1 games, the yellow card stats for the teams are as follows: Lille average 2.4 per game, while Paris average 2. Both teams frequently receive cautions this season, so a bet on total yellow cards over 3.5 seems promising.
⚽️ Goal Prediction
Lille's average individual total in Ligue 1 is 1.9 goals per match, while Lorient's is 1.5. The scoring averages for matches involving these teams are 3.2 for the hosts and 3.3 for the visitors. Considering these statistics, we suggest looking at a bet on total match goals under 3.5.
🚩 Corner Prediction
In the last twelve Ligue 1 games, Lille have averaged 6.9 corners per match, while Paris have averaged 4.9 in the same period. Both teams frequently earn set pieces from the corner, so we recommend betting on total corners over 8.5.
Editor's Prediction
The international break proved necessary for both teams, as they had started to show a decline in both performance and results overall. Lille remain in the top five but need points to continue their fight for a Champions League spot. The "Dogs" boast a strong lineup and currently appear more balanced than Paris, leading us to predict a home win with a score of 2-0. For this match, we've opted for a total under 3.5 bet, as both teams have struggled to find the net in recent rounds.
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Betting Tips: Lille - Paris
in 11 of last 12 home games (Ligue 1).
in 24 of last 25 home games.in 17 of last 18 home games (Ligue 1).in 11 of last 12 away games.in 7 of last 8 Lille home games (Ligue 1).in 9 of last 10 Paris away games.in 6 of last 7 Paris games (Ligue 1).in 10 of last 11 games (Ligue 1).in 8 of last 9 away games.
Comparison of Teams Stats
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