Bohemians vs Shelbourne Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 23 October 2026
🔊 This north Dublin derby falls at a crucial stage of the season, with Bohemians still in contention for first place while Shelbourne have hit a run of form and could disrupt their neighbours' plans. The hosts have returned to winning ways, but their last match showed that the result does not always reflect the quality of chances created. Shelbourne, by contrast, come into the derby on the back of two consecutive important wins, including a victory away at one of their direct rivals.
A derby where draws are the usual outcome
📊 In June, Bohemians thrashed Shelbourne 3-0 away, but the previous meeting at Bohemians' ground ended 2-2, and the March fixture at Shelbourne's stadium finished goalless. These results reflect the nature of this rivalry: even when one side has a clear advantage, the next match often plays out very differently. Given Shelbourne's current form and Bohemians' position in the table, expecting a repeat of June's heavy defeat would be premature.
Head-to-head statistics Bohemians - Shelbourne
Bohemians: three points don’t hide their finishing woes
In the previous round, Bohemians beat Waterford 2-1 through goals from Sam Todd and Ryan Burke. The match statistics, however, did not flatter the winners: Waterford created chances worth 1.22 expected goals to Bohemians' 0.47, and even missed a penalty. Alan Reynolds' side got the most out of what they had, but that kind of performance may not be enough to come through a derby against opponents who have been making much better use of their attacking chances lately.
That said, Bohemians remain the league's top scorers - 60 goals in 34 matches. The hosts have reason to expect a goal, particularly with home advantage and the need to keep up the chase for the leaders. But they cannot afford to confuse possession with genuine control: if they again allow their opponents to create the more dangerous chances, the result could be less favourable.
Match Results: Bohemians Dublin
Shelbourne are hitting their stride at just the right time
Shelbourne beat St Patrick's Athletic away from home 2-1, and before that thrashed Sligo Rovers 5-1. Back-to-back wins have noticeably boosted the team's confidence, with the victory over St Patrick's particularly significant - Shelbourne not only picked up points but stopped a side challenging at the top of the table. With 49 goals scored, they carry enough of an attacking threat to cause problems for the Bohemian defence.
At the same time, the visitors' defence is far from watertight: Shelbourne have conceded 47 goals in 34 matches, and their games tend to be open affairs. A bet on both teams to score therefore looks more logical than picking a winner in the derby. Bohemian need to play for a result, but Shelbourne's current form suggests the visitors can find their moments even under the pressure of a home crowd.
Match Results: Shelbourne
🟨 Yellow Cards Prediction
In their last ten matches, Shelbourne have averaged 3.1 yellow cards per game, while Bohemians' figure stands at 1.6. That gap is down not only to the derby nature of the fixture but also to the fact that Shelbourne frequently have to do a lot of work without the ball and stop opposition attacks. Given what is at stake in the table, plenty of physical duels are expected. Prediction: Total Cards - Over 3.5.
⚽ Goals Prediction
Both teams score fairly regularly, and Shelbourne's recent results suggest their attack is in good shape. Bohemians at home rarely sit back either, especially in a match where a draw may not be enough to stay in the title race. Both defences also make mistakes, so both teams scoring looks a better option than backing either side's individual total. Prediction: Both Teams to Score - Yes at 1.64*.
🚩 Corner Prediction
Bohemians have averaged 6.6 corners per match over their last ten games, while Shelbourne have averaged 5.1. These figures suggest both sides are capable of regularly working attacks into the penalty area and creating situations where the ball goes behind. Even if the derby doesn't produce many goals, the territorial battle could generate the required number of set pieces. Prediction: Total Corners - Over 8.5.
*Odds are indicative and may vary depending on the bookmaker.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Shelbourne come into this derby in good form, but Bohemians are at home and cannot afford to drop points in the title race. I expect an even contest in which both sides will create chances to score, with the outcome potentially depending on how a few key moments are taken. Final bet: Both Teams to Score - Yes. Correct score prediction: 1-1.
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Betting Tips: Bohemians Dublin - Shelbourne
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