Al Gharraf vs Al Naft Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 22 October 2026
🔊 Al-Gharraf go into this match in a difficult position, sitting close to the danger zone and showing poor form at the start of the season. Al-Naft, by contrast, are second in the table and in the hunt for top spot, just three points off first place. The gap in current form between the two sides is stark - the hosts cannot find any consistency while the visitors have been producing strong results. The league positions and motivations of both teams set the scene for what lies ahead.
Head-to-Head
📊 Al-Naft beat Al-Gharraf 1-0 at home in an Iraqi League match 09 April 2026. The visitors had 65% possession and created more dangerous attacks - 42 to 28 - but were outshot on target 3-5.
In the two head-to-head meetings, each side has won once - both times at home and without conceding. Al-Gharraf have scored two goals across those matches, Al-Naft one; in both games the first half ended 0-0.
Head-to-head statistics Al Gharraf - Al Naft
Al Gharraf Team Overview
Al-Gharraf's 2-1 away win over Karbala in their last Iraq League match stands out for the contrast in shots: the winners had 9 to the hosts' 22, while shots on target were 6 against 7.
Al-Gharraf are going through a difficult run: just one win from their last five matches, with three defeats and a draw. Their average output is low at 0.6 goals scored per game, while their defence is conceding 1.3 goals per match on average. Their proximity to the relegation zone demands maximum focus and forces the team to fight for every point even at this early stage of the season. Yet so far the attack has been struggling to deliver even against sides in the lower half of the table.
Match Results: Al Gharraf
Al Naft Team Overview
In their previous Iraqi League match on , Al-Naft beat Zakho 2-0 at home. Both goals came in the second half after a goalless first half.
Al-Naft are showing confident form - four consecutive wins and just one defeat in their last five league rounds have kept them among the leaders. In attack, the visitors are averaging 1.3 goals per game, while their defence has been very solid, conceding just 0.5 per match on average. Their objective is to close the gap on first place.
Match Results: Al Naft
Total Goals Prediction
Al-Naft have scored under 1.5 goals in 11 of their last 12 away matches, pointing to a consistent pattern of low scoring on the road. Their average of 0.8 goals per away match this season supports that trend. The data are consistent with one another and contain no significant contradictions, so the bet on Al-Naft Team Total - Under 1.5 Goals looks justified at odds of 1.37.
Corners Prediction
Total Corners - Under 8.5 has landed in six consecutive away matches for Al-Naft, pointing to a clear tendency towards low corner counts in their away fixtures. Al-Gharraf, however, show the opposite trend: Total Corners - Over 7.5 has come in in 9 of their last 10 matches. There is some contradiction between the two teams' styles, but a bet on Total Corners - Under 8.5 remains reasonable given Al-Naft's pronounced away trend and the odds of 1.52.
High-Risk Bet
A bet on Total Goals - Over 2.5 goes against the general low-scoring pattern, but can be considered as a risky option. Al-Naft average 1.3 goals per match this season, while Al-Gharraf concede 1.3, which leaves some chance of a high-scoring outcome. However, both sides frequently play out low-scoring games, and most of the trends point to few goals. The bet therefore remains risky, but the odds of 2.43 offer some justification.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm, the most likely scorelines are 0-0 (19.66%), 0-1 (19.24%) and 1-0 (14.2%). All three are fairly close in probability, with a goalless draw coming out on top. This reflects the generally low-scoring expectations for the match.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
The visitors are in superb form, having won four matches in a row. They are also fighting for the league lead - and that kind of motivation tends to drive a team to give everything even away from home. Given that Al-Gharraf have failed to win at home in 9 of their last 10 league matches, the cautious option looks the right call: Al-Naft - Draw No Bet (Handicap 0).
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Betting Tips: Al Gharraf - Al Naft
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