Libertad vs Sportivo Ameliano Prediction 19 September 2026
🔊 Libertad are a Paraguayan giant and multiple national champions. Sportivo Ameliano are a modest club from Asunción, but they have character and bite. There is one notable detail, though. Ameliano know how to beat Libertad. In March this year, Ameliano beat the giants at home 2-0. In October last year, they won 2-1 away. Twice in the past year, Ameliano have come out on top. Libertad have the history, the titles and the squad. Ameliano have the motivation and the knowledge of how to beat this particular opponent.
Head-to-Head
📊 In official matches between Libertad and Sportivo Ameliano, the two sides have met 20 times. The hosts have won 12, the visitors 4, with 4 draws. Libertad have scored 33 goals in total compared to 15 for Sportivo Ameliano. On average, 1.25 goals are scored in the first half and 1.15 in the second, giving an average match total of 2.4 goals.
Head-to-head statistics Libertad - Sportivo Ameliano
Libertad Team Overview
Libertad stand out for their strong home form, winning six of their last seven matches at home. Across their last ten games, they have won seven, lost two and drawn one, averaging 1.7 goals scored and just 1.1 conceded per match. In their last five matches, Libertad have won three, drawn one and lost one, which points to decent short-term form. Their motivation is high, with a need to stay top of the table making it important not to drop points at home.
Match Results: Libertad
Sportivo Ameliano Team Overview
Sportivo Ameliano have been solid away from home: they have gone unbeaten in twelve of their last fourteen away matches. Their attacking output is modest - averaging just 1.22 goals per game this season - though their defensive record is equally consistent, conceding at the same average rate. Across their previous ten matches they have won four, drawn three and lost three; their current five-match run shows three wins, one draw and one defeat, which mirrors their opponents' recent form exactly. Their league position means they have nothing to lose, so they are likely to take risks.
Match Results: Sportivo Ameliano
Match Result Prediction
Libertad have won 6 of their last 7 home matches, and across the full season they have 10 home wins against just 2 defeats. They are a strong side on their own ground, though there is a certain tension here: Sportivo Ameliano have gone unbeaten away from home in 12 of their last 14 matches, which speaks to their solidity as a visiting side. That said, Libertad's home record makes a bet on Libertad to win a reasonable one at 1.76*.
Total Goals Prediction
In 8 of Libertad's last 9 matches, the total has stayed under 3.5 goals. The seasonal averages are also modest: Libertad score 2 goals per home game, while Sportivo Ameliano average 1.13 per away game, and both sides concede around 1 goal on average. All of this points to a match with no more than three goals looking quite likely. We're backing Total Goals - Under 3.5 at odds of 1.31*.
Risky Bet
Libertad have been in strong form at home, winning 6 of their last 7 matches on their own ground and averaging 2.75 goals per game across their last 10 home fixtures. However, Sportivo Ameliano very rarely lose heavily away from home, which adds risk. That said, the hosts' attacking potential makes Libertad to win with a -1 handicap worth considering at odds of 2.39*.
Reliable Bet
In 8 of Libertad's last 9 matches, the total goals have gone over 1.5, which is supported by the average figures for both teams. Even in low-scoring games, both sides regularly score and concede, which increases the likelihood of at least two goals. The reliable pick here is Total Goals - Over 1.5 at odds of 1.27*.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the most likely outcomes for this match are: 1:0 (11.2%), 1:1 (11%), 2:1 (9.7%). The first option has a slightly higher probability, but the difference between the figures is small, which points to a fairly tight distribution across the most likely outcomes.
*Odds are indicative and may vary depending on the bookmaker.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
The trends highlight the attacking potential of both sides: Sportivo Ameliano regularly score and concede away from home (in 12 of 13 cases), while Libertad at home frequently win on the back of a reliable attack and decent defence. The consistent form of both teams suggests an even exchange of chances - defences tend to come unstuck even with the overall seasonal balance looking reasonable. The editor's main prediction is Both Teams to Score - Yes.
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Betting Tips: Libertad - Sportivo Ameliano
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