Burnley vs Cardiff City Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 23 September 2025
🔊 In this League Cup clash, Burnley and Cardiff go head-to-head in what promises to be a tense encounter. Both teams are in solid form: the hosts have won 6 of their last 10 matches, while the visitors have secured victory in 7 games over the same stretch. Cardiff have consistently found the back of the net in nine consecutive matches, making their attack particularly threatening. However, Burnley have kept a clean sheet at home in their last four meetings against the Welsh side. The intrigue lies in whether the hosts' defense can halt the visitors' offensive prowess.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between these teams took place on 04 March 2025, ending in a 1-2 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of the stats from that match (Cardiff were the home side):
- possession: 52% vs 48%;
- corners: 5 vs 6;
- fouls: 9 vs 7;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 3;
- shots on target: 2 vs 5.
📊Statistical preview of the official encounters between Burnley and Cardiff:
- 26 matches played;
- home victories - 7, away victories - 8, draws - 11;
- goals scored - 34 to 35;
- average total goals in the first half - 1.08, in the second half - 1.58;
- average total goals per match - 2.65.
Head-to-head statistics Burnley - Cardiff City
Burnley Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in the Premier League, with Burnley hosting Nottingham Forest. The match ended in a 1-1 draw.
Here are the match stats (Burnley vs Nottingham Forest):
- possession: 37% vs 63%;
- corners: 4 vs 5;
- fouls: 12 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 5 vs 8.
Burnley are putting on a confident display at home, consistently delivering solid performances. The team has won their last two matches and suffered just one defeat in their previous five outings. On average, they score two goals per game while conceding only one. Their strength lies in the balance between offense and defense, allowing them to control the game even against more aggressive opponents. Their recent encounter with Cardiff ended in a 2-1 victory, and the Clarets are currently riding high, ready to outplay their upcoming opponent once again.
Match Results: Burnley
Cardiff Team Overview
The visitors played their last official match on in the League 1 competition (Cardiff hosted Bradford City). The match ended with a scoreline of 1-3.
Here are the match statistics (Cardiff vs Bradford City):
- possession: 61% vs 39%;
- corners: 4 vs 7;
- fouls: 15 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 4;
- shots on target: 5 vs 6.
Cardiff are in excellent form, having secured three consecutive wins in their last five matches. Over the past ten games, they have averaged nearly two goals per match while conceding very few. The team relies on rapid counter-attacks and high pressing, which have proven effective both at home and away. However, they should remain cautious-trends indicate a tendency toward low-scoring encounters when playing away from their home ground.
Match Results: Cardiff
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head:
- Total encounters - 26;
- First-half wins at home - 6; away - 1; draws - 5;
- Average first-half total: 1.08;
- Today's home team averages 0.54 goals, visitors - 0.54.
First-half Stats: Burnley (home) vs Cardiff (away)
- Matches played in the tournament: 1 vs 0;
- Wins: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%);
- Losses: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%);
- Draws: 1 (100%) vs 0 (0%);
- Average goals scored: 2 vs 0;
- Average goals conceded: 1 vs 0.
Last 10 Matches (overall):
- Wins: 2 vs 4;
- Losses: 2 vs 2;
- Draws: 6 vs 4;
- Average first-half total: 1.6 (scored - 0.9, conceded - 0.7) vs 1 (scored - 0.7, conceded - 0.3).
- Burnley have drawn the first half at home in their last 5 matches.
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 26;
- Home victories - 7, Away victories - 8, Draws - 11.
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Today's hosts average 1.31 goals, visitors average 1.35;
- Average total goals in head-to-heads - 2.65;
- Both teams scored: overall - 13 times; at the home team's ground - 6 times.
Statistics: Burnley vs Cardiff
- Average tournament total: 3 vs 3;
- Average goals scored: 2 vs 2.5;
- Average first-half total: 1 vs 2;
- Average second-half total: 1 vs 0.5;
- Burnley: Average home total in tournament - 2;
- Cardiff: Average away total in tournament - 0;
- Last 10 matches (average total): 1.9 (home - 1.67) vs 1.7 (away - 0.8).
- Total under 2.5 goals has hit in Cardiff's last 5 away matches.
Corners Prediction
Burnley: Statistics
- Season: Average tournament total - 5; at home - 5;
- Last 10 matches: Average total - 3.7; at home - 4.
Cardiff: Statistics
- Season: Average tournament total - 9.5, away - 0;
- Last 10 matches: Average total - 6.3; away - 5.6.
Cards Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches
- Average yellow cards in head-to-heads - 3.24 (1.62 for the hosts and 1.62 for the visitors);
- Average yellow cards at the host's ground - 2.75 (1.42 for the hosts and 1.33 for the visitors).
Burnley: Statistics
- Season: Average tournament total - 1; at home - 1;
- Last 10 matches: Average total - 1.6; at home - 0.83.
Cardiff: Statistics
- Season: Average tournament total - 1.5, away - 0;
- Last 10 matches: Average total - 2; away - 1.6.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 26;
- Both teams scored overall - 13 times;
- At the home team's ground - 6 times.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Given that both teams are in excellent form and showcasing quality play both at home and away, we can anticipate a closely contested match with few goals. Trends indicate that the total under 2.5 goals has been a common outcome in many of Cardiff's recent away games. This is further supported by Burnley's solid defense at home against this team in previous head-to-head encounters. Therefore, betting on total under 2.5 goals seems like a well-founded choice for this match. We are confident that the game will follow a defensive script and end with a low scoreline, such as 1-0.
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Betting Tips: Burnley - Cardiff
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in last 12 home games against Cardiff.in last 9 games against Cardiff.in 24 of last 25 home games.Comparison of Teams Stats
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