Leones Del Norte vs Independiente del Valle Prediction 22 August 2026
🔊 In an Ecuadorian football championship match, Leones del Norte will play against Independiente del Valle. The visitors are the undisputed leaders of the championship, who dominate in almost every match. That is why the hosts could have particularly serious problems in attack. The match is unlikely to produce a high number of goals.
Head-to-Head
📊 The only previous match between these opponents took place on 25 April. Independiente won 2-1.
Head-to-head statistics Leones Del Norte - Independiente del Valle
Leones Del Norte Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Serie A tournament (home team - Manta, away team - Leones Del Norte). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:2.
Here's the game statistics (Leones Del Norte vs Manta):
- ball possession: 46% vs 54%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 6;
- fouls: 17 vs 8;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- shots on target: 4 vs 3.
Leones are 7th in the table. They are a solid mid-table side who beat Mantu (2:0) in the previous round. Their recent form is consistent with their mid-table status: two wins, two draws and one defeat in 5 matches. The players are in good spirits and can put up a fight at home. But this is unlikely to involve attacking football. Their home scoring record is not particularly impressive: 1.25 goals per match. Against a top side, the situation will obviously be worse. However, Leones deserve credit for their defensive work at home: the team concedes just 0.75 per match, which is the 3rd best record in the league. It is their tight, defensive football that should give them at least some hope.
Match Results: Leones Del Norte
Independiente del Valle Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Copa Libertadores tournament (home team - Tolima, away - Independiente del Valle). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:1.
Here are the match stats (Independiente del Valle vs Tolima):
- ball possession: 32% vs 68%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 5;
- fouls: 6 vs 18;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 2 vs 5.
Independiente sit comfortably at the top of the table. The team has built a massive gap. But even with falling motivation, the squad has won 5 matches in a row. Last week, at home, they beat Delfín 3:2. The coaching staff often brings on players from the bench and even the reserve squad. And this doesn't stop the team from being the best in terms of attacking play. Including away from home - averaging 2.5 goals scored. However, against a highly defensive Leones side, the situation will probably not be as favourable and straightforward. As for their own defence, the level of concentration away from home needs to be higher. On average, they concede one goal per match.
Match Results: Independiente del Valle
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 1;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 0; for visitors away - 0; number of draws - 0;
- Average first-half total: 2;
- Today's home team scores on average 1, while the visitors net 1.
First-Half Stats: Leones Del Norte (home) vs Independiente del Valle (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 11 vs 12;
- wins: 5 (45.45%) vs 7 (58.33%);
- losses: 1 (9.09%) vs 2 (16.67%);
- draws: 5 (45.45%) vs 3 (25%);
- Average goals scored: 1.18 vs 1.5;
- Average goals conceded: 0.36 vs 0.42.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 5 vs 8;
- losses: 3 vs 0;
- draws: 2 vs 2;
- Average first-half total: 1.7 (scored - 0.7, conceded - 1) vs 1.5 (scored - 1.4, conceded - 0.1).
- Independiente del Valle have won the 1st half in 9 of last 10 games (Serie A).
- Independiente del Valle have won the 1st half in last 7 away games (Serie A).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1, the guests - 2;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3;
- both teams scored: overall - 1; at the home team's field - 0.
Statistics: Leones Del Norte vs Independiente del Valle
- average total in the tournament: 2.04 vs 3.4;
- average total goals scored: 1.04 vs 2.44;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.56 vs 1.16;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.48 vs 1.28;
- Leones Del Norte: average total at home in the tournament - 1.36;
- Independiente del Valle: average total away in the tournament - 2.5;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.1 (home - 1) vs 2.7 (away - 2.6).
- Under 2.5 goals scored in last 5 Leones Del Norte home games (Serie A).
Prediction on corners
Leones Del Norte: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.08; at home field - 4.55;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.2; at home field - 5.75.
Independiente del Valle: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 6.12, away - 4.33;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.8; away - 3.6.
- Independiente del Valle have taken under 4.5 corners in 6 of last 7 away games.
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:0 (32/200, 16%);
- Leones Del Norte at home most often finish matches: 1:1 (5/11, 45.5%);
- Independiente del Valle away most often play: 2:3 (3/12, 25%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
0:1 - 15.67% (odds 3.25)
1:1 - 10.55% (odds 7)
0:2 - 9.58% (odds 7)
⭐ Editor's Pick
In this match, the away side are considered the clear favourites. Independiente have a much stronger squad. But the team sometimes underestimates their opponents - as they did in the previous round, for example. Leones can situationally put up a serious fight. Especially if the team drops back into their own half and operates purely from a defensive standpoint. The hosts have the resources for that. Yes, the league leaders should be the ones closer to winning. However, our editorial team is expecting a "low-scoring" scenario. We're playing the bet on total under 2.5 goals.
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Betting Tips: Leones Del Norte - Independiente del Valle
in 9 of last 10 games (Serie A).in last 7 away games (Serie A).
in 15 of last 16 games (Serie A).in last 14 games.in last 10 away games (Serie A).in last 9 away games.in 15 of last 16 games (Serie A).in last 14 games.in last 10 away games (Serie A).in 20 of last 21 home games.in 9 of last 10 games (Serie A).in last 8 home games (Serie A).
Comparison of Teams Stats
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