Estoril Praia vs Rio Ave Prediction 22 August 2026
🔊 In the third round of the Primeira Liga, Estoril take on Rio Ave. Both sides are sitting in the lower half of the table, and neither has looked particularly solid defensively. That could make for a fairly open match with plenty of chances at both ends. A high-scoring game looks the more likely outcome.
Head-to-Head
📊 The last meeting between these two sides took place in late March this year, with Rio Ave winning 2-1 away from home. Worth noting that the last four head-to-head matches have all gone over 2.5 goals.
Head-to-head statistics Estoril Praia - Rio Ave

Estoril Praia Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Primeira Liga tournament (home team - Nacional de Madeir, away team - Estoril Praia). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:0.
Here's the game statistics (Estoril Praia vs Nacional de Madeir):
- ball possession: 41% vs 59%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 7;
- fouls: 13 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 5 vs 3.
Estoril have had little to show for themselves so far this season. They opened with a 1-1 draw against Famalicão - a result that owed something to good fortune at home - before losing 0-2 away in Madeira. Problems at both ends of the pitch. That said, playing in front of their own fans against a side of comparable quality, things could start to improve. Estoril also know how to break down Rio Ave's defence.
Match Results: Estoril Praia

Rio Ave Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Primeira Liga tournament (home team - Rio Ave, away - Porto). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:2.
Here are the match stats (Rio Ave vs Porto):
- ball possession: 48% vs 52%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 6;
- fouls: 1 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 0;
- shots on target: 1 vs 6.
Rio Ave have yet to score this season. They lost to Gil Vicente (0-1) and then to Porto (0-2). In the opening round, their attacking output was dire - just 0.18 xG. Things have started to improve, though. Even against one of the country's top clubs, they generated around 0.78 xG, which is a noticeable step forward. Given that Estoril are not the kind of side that tends to dominate, there is reason to think Rio Ave can make something happen here. It is time for them to open their account for the season.
Match Results: Rio Ave
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- the home team scores on average - 1.27, the guests - 1.57;
- average over/under goals in head-to-head matches - 2.83;
- both teams scored: overall - 16; at the home team's field - 8.
- Estoril Praia have conceded in 17 of last 19 games against Rio Ave.
- Estoril Praia have conceded in 9 of last 10 home games against Rio Ave (Primeira Liga).
- Estoril Praia have conceded in last 10 games (Primeira Liga).
- Estoril Praia have conceded in 9 of last 10 home games (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 30;
- both teams scored all-time - 16 times;
- on the home team’s field - 8 times.
Statistics: Estoril Praia vs Rio Ave
- number of matches played in the tournament: 2 vs 2;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 1 vs 0;
- number of BTTS matches for Estoril Praia at home - 1 (100%);
- number of BTTS matches for Rio Ave away - 0 (0%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 7 vs 5;
- BTTS matches for Estoril Praia at home - 4 (80%);
- BTTS matches for Rio Ave away - 2 (40%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 2:2 (5/17, 29.4%);
- Estoril Praia at home most often finish matches: 1:1 (1/1, 100%);
- Rio Ave away most often play: 1:0 (1/1, 100%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:0 - 15.32% (odds 8)
1:1 - 12.27% (odds 6.5)
0:0 - 11.71% (odds 12)
⭐ Editor's Pick
Home advantage matters enormously in this fixture, and it's largely why the bookmakers have Estoril as favourites. That said, the visitors have something to offer as well. They've been gradually improving in attack, and given that the hosts' defence is far from solid, there's a reasonable case for goals. We think the attacking quality on both sides will outweigh the defensive, and we're backing Total Goals - Over 2.5.