Southampton vs Stoke City Prediction 23 August 2025
🔊 The clash between Southampton and Stoke City promises to be intriguing. Southampton sit mid-table, striving for consistency. Stoke City, on the other hand, lead the league after two rounds. The Potters showcase impressive performances in both attack and defense, making them formidable opponents even away from home. However, bookmakers still favor the hosts, who have recently dropped down from the Premier League.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 29 October 2024 and ended with a scoreline of 3:2. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Southampton):
- ball possession percentage: 79% vs 21%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 1;
- fouls: 5 vs 8;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- shots on target: 5 vs 3.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Southampton and Stoke City:
- played 22 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 9, for the away team - 7, draws - 6;
- number of goals - 30 against 27;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.5, in the 2nd half - 1.09;
- average total goals in the match - 2.59.
Head-to-head statistics Southampton - Stoke City
Southampton Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Championship tournament (home team - Ipswich Town, away team - Southampton). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:1.
Here's the game statistics (Southampton vs Ipswich Town):
- ball possession: 48% vs 52%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 4;
- fouls: 20 vs 7;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 3 vs 1.
Southampton continue their quest for higher positions in the Championship. The team struggles with consistency, having won only two of their last seven matches. The Saints rely on ball control and aim to dominate through possession, yet their main issue is a lack of cutting edge in attack. In the previous round, Will Still's protégés managed to take points away from Ipswich on the road, which can be considered a decent result. However, they didn't even generate an expected goal (xG) worth a single goal.
Match Results: Southampton
Stoke City Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Championship tournament (home team - Sheffield Wednesday, away - Stoke City). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:3.
Here are the match stats (Stoke City vs Sheffield Wednesday):
- ball possession: 46% vs 54%;
- corner kicks: 7 vs 6;
- fouls: 10 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 0;
- shots on target: 6 vs 5.
Stoke City have been impressive this season, sitting at the top of the league table thanks to a strong start. They've won four consecutive matches, including one victory via penalties. The Potters favor a counter-attacking style, patiently waiting for opponents' mistakes to launch quick breaks. Among their standout players is Sorba Thomas, who has contributed four goal involvements in just two matches.
Match Results: Stoke City
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 22;
- home team wins - 9, away team wins - 7, draws - 6.
Statistics: Southampton vs Stoke City
- matches played in the tournament: 2 vs 2;
- wins: 1 vs 2;
- win percentage: 50% vs 100%;
- losses: 0 vs 0;
- draws: 1 vs 0.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 2 vs 5;
- losses: 5 vs 2;
- draws: 3 vs 3.
- Stoke City won with a +1.5 handicap in last 10 away games against Southampton.
- Stoke City won with a +1.5 handicap in 13 of last 15 games.
- Stoke City won with a +1.5 handicap in 12 of last 14 games (Championship).
- Stoke City won with a +1.5 handicap in 6 of last 7 away games (Championship).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.36, the guests - 1.23;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.59;
- both teams scored: overall - 13; at the home team's field - 4.
Statistics: Southampton vs Stoke City
- average total in the tournament: 2.5 vs 3.5;
- average total goals scored: 1.5 vs 3;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.5 vs 0.5;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1 vs 2.5;
- Southampton: average total at home in the tournament - 2;
- Stoke City: average total away in the tournament - 3;
- last 10 matches (average total): 0.7 (home - 0.8) vs 1.1 (away - 1).
- Southampton have scored under 1.5 goals in 6 of last 7 games against Stoke City.
Prediction on corners
Southampton: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 6; at home field - 7;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.5; at home field - 3.
Stoke City: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 7, away - 7;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.9; away - 4.8.
- Stoke City have taken over 3.5 corners in last 5 games.
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 3.1 (1.55 for home team and 1.55 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 3.54 (1.18 for home team and 2.36 for away team).
Southampton: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2; at home - 2;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.9; at home - 1.6.
Stoke City: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2, away - 3;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2; away - 2.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 22;
- both teams scored all-time - 13 times;
- on the home team’s field - 4 times.
Statistics: Southampton vs Stoke City
- number of matches played in the tournament: 2 vs 2;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 2 vs 1;
- number of BTTS matches for Southampton at home - 1 (100%);
- number of BTTS matches for Stoke City away - 0 (0%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 3;
- BTTS matches for Southampton at home - 3 (60%);
- BTTS matches for Stoke City away - 1 (20%).
Editor's Prediction
Looking at the recent match statistics, it's clear: Southampton are struggling to convert chances, while Stoke's defense is rock-solid. In this scenario, expecting a goal fest from the home side seems unrealistic. The trend in their recent games suggests Southampton rarely score more than one goal. Therefore, betting on Southampton's individual total under 1.5 goals appears to be a well-founded prediction with a strong chance of success.
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Betting Tips: Southampton - Stoke City
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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