Al Nassr vs Al-Ahli Prediction
🔊 Could the Saudi Super Cup be Cristiano Ronaldo's first significant trophy with Al-Nassr? Ahead lies the winner of the Asian Champions League. Behind them, the champions of the Saudi Pro League, whom they overcame despite a red card. It seems as if all the stars are aligning for Ronaldo to add another continent to his list of conquered titles at the "Hong Kong" stadium. But what can Al-Ahli offer in response to this ambition? In our prediction, we analyze whether Al-Ahli's successful international run will continue, or if a victorious streak for Al-Nassr is about to begin.
Head-to-Head
📊 In this decade, the teams have clashed 9 times in the Saudi Pro League, and once each in the AFC Champions League and King Cup. Across these 11 encounters, there have been 3 draws and 8 victories for Al-Nassr. The most frequent scoreline has been 2-1, occurring in 5 matches.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Al Nasr Riyadh Team Overview
🟡 The semifinal clash with Al-Ittihad kicked off energetically with sharp chances on both ends. However, it was the nominal visitors who first had to retrieve the ball from their net as Sadio Mané found the back of the net in the 10th minute, courtesy of a pass from Marcelo Brozović. After scoring, Jorge Jesus' side slightly eased off until a red card changed the dynamics-15 minutes later, Mané was sent off for stepping on the opposing goalkeeper. Interestingly, Al-Nassr didn't retreat; instead, they seemed to attack even more dangerously, exploiting the open spaces left by Al-Ittihad, who were trying to play a high-possession game. In the second half, this led to a 2-on-1 break, with Cristiano Ronaldo setting up new signing João Félix for an easy finish. After a lengthy VAR review for offside, the goal stood. The scoreline could have been even larger-Félix netted a brace, but his next goal was ruled out for offside by the officials.
🔵 Alongside former Chelsea player João Félix, another new signing took the field from the start-ex-Bayern star Kingsley Coman. He played 80 minutes but didn't register any decisive actions. The real stars of the semifinal were the Portuguese duo in attack and midfielder Marcelo Brozović, who provided the assist for the opening goal and was named man of the match.
Match Results: Al Nasr Riyadh
Al Ahli Jeddah Team Overview
🟢 The reigning AFC Champions League holders faced off against Al-Qadisiyah in the Super Cup semifinal. Al-Qadisiyah, in their debut top-flight season, had already surpassed Al-Ahli in the league standings. The game began with their dominance, as the visitors settled in the opponent's penalty area and scored from a cross in the 8th minute. However, the club from Jeddah quickly seized control, and four minutes later, after a long throw-in and some chaos in the box, Franck Kessié found the back of the net. From there, it was all Al-Ahli, who extended their lead to an almost embarrassing 3-1 by halftime under Matthias Jaissle's guidance. Al-Qadisiyah's newcomer Christopher Bonsu Ba was sent off just before the break, and after halftime, the Jeddah side completed the rout with a 5-1 victory.
⚪ Enzo Millot, a former Stuttgart player and current German Cup holder, made his debut for Al-Ahli. He marked his first appearance with a goal from a Riyad Mahrez cross. The Algerian was instrumental, providing two assists during the match; besides setting up the French newcomer, he also assisted Franck Kessié's second goal, giving the Ivorian midfielder a brace. Despite his defensive position, Kessié has been prolific for Al-Ahli, tallying 14 goals and 9 assists over the previous two seasons since his move from Barcelona.
Match Results: Al Ahli Jeddah
Latest news
Al Nasr Riyadh
📝 Cristiano Ronaldo took on the role of negotiator not only in the transfer of João Félix but also in the recent acquisition of Kingsley Coman. According to Bild, the legendary Portuguese supported the candidacy of the French winger, admired his qualities, and expressed a desire to play alongside him. This ultimately convinced Al-Nassr's management to complete the transfer.
Al Ahli Jeddah
🎙 Ahead of the upcoming final, Al-Ahli goalkeeper Edouard Mendy shared his thoughts: “When I left Chelsea in 2023, I initially said I was joining a team where I could win everything, something that was no longer possible at Chelsea. Some people are quick to assume that money was the only reason. But at Al-Ahli, I felt I played a crucial role. We won the Asian Champions League for the first time in the club's history. That validated my decision. I hope this current tournament will further confirm it.”
⚽️ Goal Prediction
The total goals in the last 10 matches involving Al-Nassr are significantly higher than their opponents, averaging 4.4 compared to 3.6. Notably, there's a clear skew towards the second half in Riyadh's games: 2.5 against 1.9 in the first half. This trend is also evident in their head-to-head clashes: the "royal club" both scored and conceded in the second half in 6 out of their last 7 encounters with Al-Ahli. Based on this, we believe that the second half will be more productive than the first.
🚩 Corner Prediction
In Al-Nassr's last 10 official matches, an average of 8.1 corner kicks were recorded. While not the highest figure, it's important to consider the level of opposition. The "yellow-blues" typically achieved these numbers through their own efforts, averaging 6.3 corners per match over the same 10-game span. In contrast, Al-Ahli are less focused on set-pieces from the corner flags, as shown by their individual total (4.1) and overall (7.3) over a stretch of 10 games. Our prediction is Al-Nassr to win on corners.
Editorial Prediction
The odds for the final are quite close, with a slight edge to Al-Nassr. Jorge Jesus's squad displayed resilience with a hard-fought victory over Al-Ittihad, earning extra respect by achieving this while a man down. It was evident that the high-priced newcomers and established stars weren't just going through the motions for their hefty paychecks, as such a result would have been hard to achieve otherwise. Al-Ahli's key players also proved their worth; their performance before the opponent's sending-off was impressive, laying the groundwork for success early on.
We anticipate a clash of two potent attacks, as reflected in the clubs' head-to-head history-goals were exchanged in eight of their last nine encounters. Both teams have strengthened their offensive lineups, so we expect an equally thrilling and attacking game, with a minimum scoreline of 1-1 in regular time. Given these circumstances, betting on both teams to score seems like the most logical choice.
Betting Tips: Al Nasr Riyadh - Al Ahli Jeddah
in 12 of last 13 games against Al Ahli Jeddah.in 8 of last 9 games against Al Ahli Jeddah.in last 27 games.in 18 of last 20 Al Nasr Riyadh games against Al Ahli Jeddah.in last 11 games against Al Ahli Jeddah.in last 15 games.Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
