Stjarnan vs Ilves Prediction 23 July 2026
🔊 Icelandic side Stjarnan and Finnish club Ilves meet in the first leg of the Conference League qualifying. Both teams are in good shape, with their domestic seasons still running. Stjarnan tend to go direct and attack-minded, while the visitors will look to use their strengths in possession and quick transitions.
Head-to-Head
📊 The upcoming match will be the first encounter between Stjarnan and Ilves.
Head-to-head statistics Stjarnan - Ilves
Stjarnan Gardabae Team Overview
Stjärnan made it through to the second round by beating Faroese side Vikingur. But they arrive at this match on the back of a heavy league defeat to KR Reykjavik - 0:5. That kind of result leaves a mark, and it could affect the mood in the camp. Even so, the hosts aren't planning to change their approach. They'll push forward and play their usual game.
The team works the flanks hard and keeps up consistent pressure in the opposition half. The match against Hafnarfjördur is a good example - Stjärnan earned 17 corners that day. Jóhann-Árni Gunnarsson is central to how they build attacks, while Heidar Ásgeirsson anchors the defence. The main problem, though, is the transition phase - they keep giving opponents room to counter, and it's been costing them.
Match Results: Stjarnan Gardabae
Tampereen Ilves Team Overview
The Finnish club rely on ball control and quick transitions after winning possession. In their last five matches, Ilves have consistently held more than 50% of the ball, and in the second leg against Differdange they managed to turn the game around after conceding. In the final 35 minutes they levelled it up and kept their hopes alive.
Ilves reshaped their squad this summer. Midfield key man Oiva Jukkola left for Kairat, and in came Iandro Raap from the PSV system and striker Stanislav Baranov from HJK - both already contributing. There's also a scheduling issue going into this one: Ilves played an away league match against TPS Turku on July 20, which leaves very little time to recover and travel to Iceland.
Match Results: Tampereen Ilves
🟨 Yellow Cards Prediction
The match will be refereed by Swedish official Oskar Jonsson, who has averaged 2.24 yellow cards per game over his last 20 matches. Stjarnan are regularly on the rough side: in their last match against KR Reykjavik they picked up five bookings, and across their last five games they've accumulated 13 yellows. Ilves aren't much cleaner either - 10 yellows and two red cards over the same stretch. The most appealing option here is total yellow cards over 2.5.
⚽️ Goals Prediction
Both sides prefer attacking football and rarely play it tight. Stjarnan will look to use home support from the off, while Ilves will find space on the break. It's no coincidence that over 2.5 goals landed in 15 of Stjarnan's last 16 home matches and in 7 of Ilves' last 8. The most appealing option is total goals over 2.5 at 1.43*.
🚩 Corners Prediction
Both teams rely heavily on wide play, which shows up in the corner counts. Over their last five matches, Stjarnan have earned 45 corners - nine per game on average. Ilves have delivered 25 corners in the same period and consistently create pressure down the flanks. The most appealing option here is total corners over 9.5.
*Odds are approximate and may vary across bookmakers.
⭐️ Editor's Prediction
Both teams come into this match with a clear attacking identity and regularly create plenty of chances. Stjarnan are prone to defensive errors, and Ilves know how to exploit space on the counter. Recent form also points toward goals, and an open game looks the most likely scenario. The most interesting option here is Both Teams To Score: Yes. A narrow home win, 2-1, is possible.
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Betting Tips: Stjarnan Gardabae - Tampereen Ilves
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in 15 of last 16 Stjarnan Gardabae home games.in 7 of last 8 Tampereen Ilves games.in last 6 Tampereen Ilves games.in 10 of last 12 home games.in 9 of last 10 games.
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