Earthquakes vs Orlando City Prediction 23 July 2026
🔊 San Jose Earthquakes arrive at this MLS match in mixed form - just one win in their last five, despite sitting second in the Western Conference. Orlando City are much further down the table, thirteenth in the East, with a string of underwhelming results in recent weeks. Over the last ten matches both sides have similar win tallies, but San Jose have been noticeably more solid at the back. The key question is whether the hosts' more potent attack can exploit Orlando's defensive problems - or whether the visitors' underdog status won't stop them making this a contest.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 19 May 2024 and ended with a scoreline of 0:1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - San-Jose Earthquakes):
- ball possession percentage: 49% vs 51%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 5;
- fouls: 11 vs 7;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 0;
- shots on target: 3 vs 3.
📊 In official matches between San Jose Earthquakes and Orlando City, the two sides have met 7 times. The hosts have won once, the visitors have taken 3, and 3 games ended in a draw.
Head-to-head statistics Earthquakes - Orlando City
San-Jose Earthquakes Team Overview
San Jose have won just one of their last five matches - two draws, two defeats - which points to some trouble picking up points even from a decent league position. Over the ten matches before that, they went five wins, two draws, three losses.
The franchise's scoring numbers look good overall - 2.27 goals per game across the season, with 2.5 scored and 1.7 conceded over that ten-match stretch. But the recent dip tells a different story: the defense has been leaking more than usual, and consistency has dropped off right before this match. The nearly two-month World Cup break may have given the coaching staff time to iron out the main issues. We'll find out soon enough.
Match Results: San-Jose Earthquakes
Orlando City Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the MLS tournament (home team - Cincinnati, away - Orlando City). The match concluded with a scoreline of 6:2.
Here are the match stats (Orlando City vs Cincinnati):
- ball possession: 45% vs 55%;
- corner kicks: 10 vs 6;
- fouls: 13 vs 17;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 2;
- shots on target: 9 vs 11.
Orlando are having a tough season - sitting thirteenth in the Eastern Conference after fifteen games. Four wins, two draws, nine losses. That record has taken a toll on morale, and the defensive numbers don't help: nearly three goals conceded per game. Still, the playoff picture isn't closed off yet. They're only four points behind eighth place.
The last five matches brought two wins, a draw and two defeats. Over the past ten games, Orlando are averaging 2.5 goals scored per game - same as their upcoming opponents but they're also giving up 2.4 per match, which remains a real problem. One thing worth watching: how the team comes out after a long break. Their last league game was back at the end of May.
Match Results: Orlando City
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 7;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 1; for visitors away - 0; number of draws - 3;
- Average first-half total: 1.14;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.43, while the visitors net 0.71.
First-Half Stats: San-Jose Earthquakes (home) vs Orlando City (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 7 vs 8;
- wins: 4 (57.14%) vs 1 (12.5%);
- losses: 2 (28.57%) vs 6 (75%);
- draws: 1 (14.29%) vs 1 (12.5%);
- Average goals scored: 1.57 vs 2.38;
- Average goals conceded: 0.43 vs 2.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 4 vs 3;
- losses: 2 vs 3;
- draws: 4 vs 4;
- Average first-half total: 1.6 (scored - 0.9, conceded - 0.7) vs 2.1 (scored - 1.2, conceded - 0.9).
- San-Jose Earthquakes scored in the 1st half in 7 of last 8 games.
- San-Jose Earthquakes scored in the 1st half in last 6 games (MLS).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 7;
- home team wins - 1, away team wins - 3, draws - 3.
Statistics: San-Jose Earthquakes vs Orlando City
- matches played in the tournament: 15 vs 15;
- wins: 10 vs 4;
- win percentage: 67% vs 27%;
- losses: 3 vs 9;
- draws: 2 vs 2.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 5 vs 5;
- losses: 3 vs 4;
- draws: 2 vs 1.
- Orlando City won with a +1.5 handicap in 6 of last 7 games against San-Jose Earthquakes (MLS).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.29, the guests - 1.86;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.14;
- both teams scored: overall - 4; at the home team's field - 2.
Statistics: San-Jose Earthquakes vs Orlando City
- average total in the tournament: 3.27 vs 4.47;
- average total goals scored: 2.27 vs 1.53;
- average total in the 1st half: 1.07 vs 0.73;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1.2 vs 0.8;
- San-Jose Earthquakes: average total at home in the tournament - 2.29;
- Orlando City: average total away in the tournament - 1.13;
- last 10 matches (average total): 2.5 (home - 3) vs 2.5 (away - 2.4).
- San-Jose Earthquakes have conceded in last 10 games.
- San-Jose Earthquakes have conceded in last 9 games (MLS).
- Orlando City have scored in 8 of last 9 games.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 7;
- both teams scored all-time - 4 times;
- on the home team’s field - 2 times.
Statistics: San-Jose Earthquakes vs Orlando City
- number of matches played in the tournament: 15 vs 15;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 9 vs 10;
- number of BTTS matches for San-Jose Earthquakes at home - 3 (43%);
- number of BTTS matches for Orlando City away - 4 (50%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 9 vs 8;
- BTTS matches for San-Jose Earthquakes at home - 4 (100%);
- BTTS matches for Orlando City away - 4 (80%).
- San-Jose Earthquakes have scored and conceded in 9 of last 10 games.
- Orlando City have scored and conceded in 8 of last 9 games.
- Orlando City have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 games (MLS).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (20/223, 9%);
- San-Jose Earthquakes at home most often finish matches: 3:0 (2/7, 28.6%);
- Orlando City away most often play: 5:0 (2/8, 25%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
2:1 - 7.91% (odds 8.5)
3:1 - 7.8% (odds 10)
2:2 - 6.6% (odds 12)
⭐ Editor's Prediction
The key factor in this match is the gap between the two teams' attacking reliability and the defensive errors Orlando keep making at the back. They let opponents create chances regularly, but can still convert their own, even against stronger sides, thanks to a high average scoring rate. Neither team has been on a consistent run of good results lately, so the pick here is a City win with a +1.5 handicap - that result came in 6 of their last 7 head-to-head meetings.
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Betting Tips: San-Jose Earthquakes - Orlando City
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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