Charlotte vs Atlanta United Prediction 23 July 2026
🔊 The gap in the standings between Charlotte and Atlanta United is hard to ignore. The hosts are in the playoff spots and want to stay there, while the visitors sit seven points back, closer to the bottom of the table. Atlanta United keep sliding - their form hasn't improved since the MLS resumed, which only makes the contrast between these two sides sharper.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between these two sides took place on 28 April 2026 in the Round of 16 of the U.S. Open Cup - Atlanta won 2:0. Here's how the stats looked in that game (Charlotte were the home side):
- possession: 55% vs 45%;
- corners: 6 vs 2;
- fouls: 10 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 2 vs 4.
📊 In official matches between Charlotte and Atlanta United, the two sides have met nine times. The hosts have won five, Atlanta have won four, and there hasn't been a single draw. Both teams have scored 13 goals each. On average, one goal comes in the first half and 1.89 in the second. The average total per game is 2.89.
Head-to-head statistics Charlotte - Atlanta United
Charlotte Team Overview
Charlotte were the more consistent side before the break. In their last ten matches: four wins, five losses, one draw. They've been averaging 1.7 goals scored per game over that stretch, with 1.6 conceded. The motivation is moderate - they're already in the playoff spots and more focused on holding their position than pushing hard for anything more.
Match Results: Charlotte
Atlanta United Team Overview
Atlanta United's last official match was in the MLS regular season - a 0:1 away loss to Nashville. Here are the stats from that game (Atlanta United vs Nashville):
- possession: 52% vs 48%;
- corners: 2 vs 4;
- fouls: 13 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 5 vs 3.
Atlanta United continue to struggle - just three wins from their last ten games, with six defeats. They're averaging 1.1 goals scored per game in that stretch, and conceding 1.6. The playoff spots are still the target, but the points gap is big enough that motivation looks low. Four straight league games without a win, and whatever hopes came with the break were quickly put to rest in Nashville.
Match Results: Atlanta United
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 9;
- home team wins - 5, away team wins - 4, draws - 0.
Statistics: Charlotte vs Atlanta United
- matches played in the tournament: 15 vs 15;
- wins: 6 vs 3;
- win percentage: 40% vs 20%;
- losses: 6 vs 10;
- draws: 3 vs 2.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 4 vs 3;
- losses: 5 vs 6;
- draws: 1 vs 1.
- Atlanta United have not won in 9 of last 10 away games (MLS).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.44, the guests - 1.44;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.89;
- both teams scored: overall - 4; at the home team's field - 0.
Statistics: Charlotte vs Atlanta United
- average total in the tournament: 3.13 vs 2.53;
- average total goals scored: 1.6 vs 0.93;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.53 vs 0.33;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1.07 vs 0.6;
- Charlotte: average total at home in the tournament - 2;
- Atlanta United: average total away in the tournament - 0.43;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.7 (home - 2) vs 1.1 (away - 1).
- Under 3.5 goals scored in last 5 Charlotte home games against Atlanta United.
- Under 3.5 goals scored in 8 of last 9 Atlanta United games (MLS).
- Under 3.5 goals scored in last 7 Atlanta United away games (MLS).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 9;
- both teams scored all-time - 4 times;
- on the home team’s field - 0 times.
Statistics: Charlotte vs Atlanta United
- number of matches played in the tournament: 15 vs 15;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 10 vs 8;
- number of BTTS matches for Charlotte at home - 6 (67%);
- number of BTTS matches for Atlanta United away - 2 (29%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 6;
- BTTS matches for Charlotte at home - 2 (33%);
- BTTS matches for Atlanta United away - 3 (50%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (20/223, 9%);
- Charlotte at home most often finish matches: 3:1 (2/9, 22.2%);
- Atlanta United away most often play: 2:0 (3/7, 42.9%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 11.55% (odds 7.5)
1:0 - 11.09% (odds 8)
2:0 - 9.36% (odds 9)
⭐ Editor's Prediction
The match shapes up around a contrast in form: Charlotte look the more reliable side, with better scoring numbers, fewer bad results, and a higher position in the table built on finishing their chances. Atlanta United tend to struggle even against similar opposition and rarely show much going forward away from home - the underlying numbers back that up when it comes to their attacking output against teams at Charlotte's level. Given the overall picture, the main prediction is Both Teams To Score: Yes. Scoreline prediction: 2-1 to Charlotte.
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Betting Tips: Charlotte - Atlanta United
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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