Vaasa vs Oulu Prediction 23 June 2026
📣 In Matchday 12 of the Finnish league, VPS host Oulu in a clash between two sides with their own ambitions in the standings. The hosts remain firmly in the European qualification zone and will be fighting for every point, while the visitors sit second and are determined to keep up their momentum. Fans can expect a tactical battle with plenty of action in front of both goals. Check out our prediction for this intriguing matchup below.
Head-to-Head
The most recent official meeting between these sides ended 1-0. Here’s a look at the key stats from that match (Oulu played at home):
- Possession: 50% vs 50%;
- Corners: 6 vs 6;
- Fouls: 10 vs 14;
- Yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- Shots on target: 2 vs 1.
📊A statistical preview of the official head-to-head meetings between VPS and Oulu:
- The sides have faced off 22 times;
- Both teams have claimed 8 wins each, with 6 draws;
- Total goals scored: VPS 32, Oulu 28;
- Average goals in the first half: 1.14; in the second half: 1.59;
- The overall average goals per match stands at 2.73.
Head-to-head statistics Vaasa - Oulu

Vaasa PS Team Overview
The most recent official fixture for both teams took place in the Veikkausliiga, with SJK hosting VPS. The visitors came away with a 2-1 victory.
Here’s a breakdown of the key match statistics (VPS vs SJK):
- Possession: 52% vs 48%;
- Corners: 2 vs 4;
- Fouls committed: 15 vs 10;
- Yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- Shots on target: 5 vs 5.
VPS have shown consistency with three wins, a draw, and just one defeat in their last five outings. Over their past ten fixtures, they've picked up six victories and suffered only a single loss, averaging nearly two goals per game. Defensively, they remain solid-conceding just 0.6 goals per match across that span-yet despite their reliability at the back, VPS are always eager to push forward and create chances. Their balance largely stems from disciplined play across the lines and an ability to shut down key areas of the pitch. With their motivation to remain among the league’s frontrunners, VPS approach every fixture fully focused on getting a result.
Match Results: Vaasa PS

Oulu Team Overview
The visitors’ most recent official fixture came in the Veikkausliiga, where Oulu hosted Mariehamn. The match ended 2-1.
Key match statistics (Oulu vs Mariehamn):
- Possession: 51% vs 49%;
- Corners: 7 vs 5;
- Fouls committed: 6 vs 20;
- Yellow cards: 0 vs 5;
- Shots on target: 8 vs 5.
Oulu continue their impressive march towards the top, having picked up four wins and a draw from their last five outings-a run that speaks to their strong form. Over ten matches, they have claimed six victories and displayed a well-balanced approach, averaging 1.2 goals scored and just 0.8 conceded per game. Sitting second in the table, Oulu are motivated to maintain focus and avoid unnecessary risks. The visitors are comfortable dictating the tempo or playing more cautiously when needed, expertly managing their workload throughout the match. Their main objective is to win key midfield battles while capitalizing on set pieces and counter-attacks.
Match Results: Oulu
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 22;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 4; for visitors away - 2; number of draws - 4;
- Average first-half total: 1.14;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.64, while the visitors net 0.5.
First-Half Stats: Vaasa PS (home) vs Oulu (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 5 vs 7;
- wins: 3 (60%) vs 3 (42.86%);
- losses: 1 (20%) vs 2 (28.57%);
- draws: 1 (20%) vs 2 (28.57%);
- Average goals scored: 1.2 vs 1.43;
- Average goals conceded: 0.2 vs 0.71.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 5 vs 2;
- losses: 2 vs 2;
- draws: 3 vs 6;
- Average first-half total: 1.4 (scored - 1.1, conceded - 0.3) vs 0.7 (scored - 0.3, conceded - 0.4).
- Vaasa PS scored in the 1st half in 8 of last 9 home games against Oulu.
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 22;
- home team wins - 8, away team wins - 8, draws - 6.
Statistics: Vaasa PS vs Oulu
- matches played in the tournament: 11 vs 12;
- wins: 4 vs 8;
- win percentage: 36% vs 67%;
- losses: 2 vs 3;
- draws: 5 vs 1.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 6 vs 6;
- losses: 1 vs 3;
- draws: 3 vs 1.
- Vaasa PS have not lost in 8 of last 9 home games against Oulu.
- Vaasa PS have not lost in 11 of last 12 games.
- Vaasa PS have not lost in 9 of last 10 home games.
- Vaasa PS have not lost in 8 of last 9 home games (Veikkausliiga).
- Vaasa PS have not lost in 7 of last 8 games (Veikkausliiga).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.45, the guests - 1.27;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.73;
- both teams scored: overall - 13; at the home team's field - 8.
Statistics: Vaasa PS vs Oulu
- average total in the tournament: 1.82 vs 2.25;
- average total goals scored: 1 vs 1.5;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.64 vs 0.5;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.36 vs 1;
- Vaasa PS: average total at home in the tournament - 1.4;
- Oulu: average total away in the tournament - 1.43;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.9 (home - 3) vs 1.2 (away - 0.8).
- Vaasa PS have scored in last 11 home games against Oulu.
- Vaasa PS have scored in 12 of last 13 home games.
- Vaasa PS have scored in 11 of last 12 home games (Veikkausliiga).
Prediction on corners
Vaasa PS: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.36; at home field - 5.8;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.4; at home field - 6.
Oulu: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.83, away - 3.57;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.2; away - 3.8.
- Under 10.5 corners in 6 of last 7 Vaasa PS home games against Oulu.
- Under 10.5 corners in last 9 Oulu away games.
- Under 10.5 corners in last 8 Oulu away games (Veikkausliiga).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 22;
- both teams scored all-time - 13 times;
- on the home team’s field - 8 times.
Statistics: Vaasa PS vs Oulu
- number of matches played in the tournament: 11 vs 12;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 6 vs 5;
- number of BTTS matches for Vaasa PS at home - 4 (80%);
- number of BTTS matches for Oulu away - 3 (43%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 4;
- BTTS matches for Vaasa PS at home - 3 (60%);
- BTTS matches for Oulu away - 2 (40%).
- Vaasa PS have scored and conceded in last 5 home games against Oulu.
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (13/70, 18.6%);
- Vaasa PS at home most often finish matches: 1:1 (2/5, 40%);
- Oulu away most often play: 0:1 (2/7, 28.6%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 13.58% (odds 5.2)
1:0 - 10.02% (odds 7.4)
0:1 - 9.65% (odds 8)