KuPS vs Ilves Prediction 23 June 2026
🔥 In the upcoming round of the Finnish Championship, KuPS host Ilves in a clash between two sides with different objectives but the same hunger for points. The hosts remain firmly in the medal zone and are determined to maintain their consistency in the race for the top spots. Ilves, currently eighth, have shown in their recent run that they can make life difficult for any opponent. How will this battle unfold? Find out in our prediction below.
Head-to-Head
The most recent official clash between these sides ended 1-3. Here’s a comparative breakdown from that encounter (Ilves were the home team):
- Possession: 54% vs 46%;
- Corners: 4 vs 3;
- Fouls: 6 vs 5;
- Yellow cards: 1 vs 0;
- Shots on target: 3 vs 7.
📊Analytical review of previous official encounters between KuPS and Ilves:
- The sides have faced off 47 times;
- The hosts have claimed 16 wins, while the visitors have secured 23 victories, with 8 matches ending in a draw;
- Goals scored (home/away): 51 to 60;
- The average total goals per match stands at 2.36.
Head-to-head statistics KuPS - Ilves

Kuopion Palloseura Team Overview
The team's most recent official fixture took place in the Veikkausliiga, with TPS Turku hosting KuPS. The visitors came out on top, sealing a 2-1 victory.
Here’s a breakdown of the match statistics (KuPS vs TPS Turku):
- Possession: 47% vs 53%;
- Corners: 4 vs 4;
- Fouls: 11 vs 10;
- Yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- Shots on target: 5 vs 4.
KuPS are all about defensive solidity right now: over their last ten matches, they have conceded an average of just 0.5 goals per game-a rock-solid foundation for their recent run. Their attack provides consistency as well, averaging around 1.3 goals per match over the same stretch, which has been enough to keep the points tally ticking over. In their last five outings, KuPS have picked up three wins, one draw, and suffered just one defeat. Their pragmatic approach is reflected in their third-place standing: they focus on ball control, avoid unnecessary risks, and look to capitalize on set pieces and counter-attacks to find the net.
Match Results: Kuopion Palloseura

Tampereen Ilves Team Overview
The visitors’ most recent official fixture came in the Veikkausliiga, where Ilves hosted FF Jaro. The match ended in a commanding 5-0 victory for Ilves.
Here’s a breakdown of the key statistics (Ilves vs FF Jaro):
- Possession: 53% vs 47%;
- Corners: 6 vs 3;
- Fouls: 5 vs 9;
- Yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- Shots on target: 12 vs 2.
Ilves have looked sharp going forward, averaging 2.2 goals per game across their last ten matches and showing no hesitation to attack in numbers. However, there are clear vulnerabilities at the back: conceding 1.2 goals per match suggests opponents are regularly finding gaps in their defence. Over the past five rounds, Ilves have claimed four wins and suffered just one defeat-their best run of form since the start of the season. With the gap to the European qualification spots still within reach, motivation remains high, and Ilves are likely to chase results by any means necessary. Their approach is built on pressing, rapid transitions, and a willingness to play open football even against well-organised sides.
Match Results: Tampereen Ilves
Prediction for the 1st half
First Half Statistics: Kuopion Palloseura (Home) vs Tampereen Ilves (Away)
- Number of matches played in the tournament: 7 vs 6;
- Number of wins: 3 (42.86%) vs 2 (33.33%);
- Number of losses: 0 (0%) vs 2 (33.33%);
- Number of draws: 4 (57.14%) vs 2 (33.33%);
- Average total goals scored: 1 vs 2;
- Average total goals conceded: 0.29 vs 1.33.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Number of wins: 3 vs 6;
- Number of losses: 1 vs 2;
- Number of draws: 6 vs 2;
- Average first half total: 0.8 (scored - 0.5, conceded - 0.3) vs 2.2 (scored - 1.4, conceded - 0.8).
- Kuopion Palloseura have lost the 1st half in last 4 home games against Tampereen Ilves.
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 47;
- home team wins - 16, away team wins - 23, draws - 8.
Statistics: Kuopion Palloseura vs Tampereen Ilves
- matches played in the tournament: 13 vs 12;
- wins: 6 vs 4;
- win percentage: 46% vs 33%;
- losses: 1 vs 5;
- draws: 6 vs 3.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 5 vs 7;
- losses: 1 vs 2;
- draws: 4 vs 1.
- Tampereen Ilves won with a +1.5 handicap in last 12 away games against Kuopion Palloseura.
- Tampereen Ilves won with a +1.5 handicap in 12 of last 14 games.
- Tampereen Ilves won with a +1.5 handicap in 8 of last 9 away games.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.09, the guests - 1.28;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.36;
- both teams scored: overall - 21; at the home team's field - 9.
Statistics: Kuopion Palloseura vs Tampereen Ilves
- average total in the tournament: 2.38 vs 3.33;
- average total goals scored: 1.46 vs 1.58;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.69 vs 0.92;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.77 vs 0.67;
- Kuopion Palloseura: average total at home in the tournament - 1.57;
- Tampereen Ilves: average total away in the tournament - 1.33;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.3 (home - 1.2) vs 2.2 (away - 2).
- Kuopion Palloseura have conceded in last 8 games against Tampereen Ilves.
- Tampereen Ilves have scored in 20 of last 21 games.
- Tampereen Ilves have scored in 16 of last 18 away games (Veikkausliiga).
- Tampereen Ilves have scored in 11 of last 12 games (Veikkausliiga).
- Tampereen Ilves have scored in 8 of last 9 away games.
Prediction on corners
Kuopion Palloseura: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 7.31; at home field - 7.71;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.9; at home field - 6.2.
Tampereen Ilves: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.75, away - 4;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4; away - 5.67.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 47;
- both teams scored all-time - 21 times;
- on the home team’s field - 9 times.
Statistics: Kuopion Palloseura vs Tampereen Ilves
- number of matches played in the tournament: 13 vs 12;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 9 vs 7;
- number of BTTS matches for Kuopion Palloseura at home - 4 (57%);
- number of BTTS matches for Tampereen Ilves away - 5 (83%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 3;
- BTTS matches for Kuopion Palloseura at home - 2 (40%);
- BTTS matches for Tampereen Ilves away - 1 (33%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (13/70, 18.6%);
- Kuopion Palloseura at home most often finish matches: 1:1 (2/7, 28.6%);
- Tampereen Ilves away most often play: 2:2 (2/6, 33.3%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 11.01% (odds 6.4)
2:1 - 10.07% (odds 7.2)
1:0 - 9.84% (odds 7.2)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
KuPS have been solid at the back, but Ilves, in their current form, are consistently on the front foot and know how to force mistakes from their opponents. On top of that, when the hosts push forward, they tend to leave space at the back-making a scenario with goals at both ends quite likely. We’re expecting an entertaining contest here. Betting on over 2.5 goals looks like a promising option. A 2-1 scoreline is definitely on the cards.