Sumgayit vs Qarabag Prediction 22 May 2026
🔊How will the weather conditions and the state of the field affect the game? Today, the teams Sumgayit and Qarabag are meeting. The match is scheduled to start at 15:30. The tournament match Premier League will take place in the city of Sumqayit at the Kapital Bank Arena stadium. The odds for the teams' victories have been determined by bookmakers at and , respectively, with the team Qarabag being the favorite of the match.
Head-to-head statistics Sumgayit - Qarabag

Sumgayit Team Overview
The team played their last official match on 17 May 2026 in the Premier League tournament (home side - Zira, away side - Sumgayit). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:1.
Here are the game statistics (Sumgayit vs Zira):
- corner kicks: 2 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2.
- 11 wins,
- 16 losses,
- 5 draws.
📈Currently, Sumgayit stands at a mid-tier position within the Premier League standings, with a win percentage of 34% and a loss percentage of 50%.
⚽️Sumgayit has scored a total of 39 goals. On the defensive end, Sumgayit has allowed 46 goals over the season.
Match Results: Sumgayit

Qarabag Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on 16 May 2026 as part of the Premier League tournament (home team - Qarabag, away - Imisli). The match ended with a score of 3:0.
Here are the game statistics (Qarabag vs Imisli):
- ball possession: 64% vs 36%;
- corner kicks: 10 vs 1;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- shots on target: 6 vs 1.
- 20 wins,
- 6 losses,
- 6 draws.
📈Currently, Qarabag stands at a mid-tier position within the Premier League standings, with a win percentage of 63% and a loss percentage of 19%.
⚽Qarabag has scored a total of 67 goals. On the defensive end has allowed 24 goals over the season.
Match Results: Qarabag
Prediction on the outcome
Statistics: Sumgayit vs Qarabag
- matches played in the tournament: 32 vs 32;
- wins: 11 vs 20;
- win percentage: 34% vs 63%;
- losses: 16 vs 6;
- draws: 5 vs 6.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 3 vs 4;
- losses: 6 vs 3;
- draws: 1 vs 3.
Prediction on the over/under
Statistics: Sumgayit vs Qarabag
- average total in the tournament: 2.66 vs 2.84;
- average total goals scored: 1.22 vs 2.09;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.44 vs 0.84;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.78 vs 1.25;
- Sumgayit: average total at home in the tournament - 1.4;
- Qarabag: average total away in the tournament - 2;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.1 (home - 1) vs 2.2 (away - 1.6).
- Sumgayit have scored in last 8 games (Premier League).
- Qarabag have conceded in 17 of last 19 away games.
Yellow Cards Bet
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 2.58 (1.29 for home team and 1.29 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 2.13 (1.23 for home team and 0.9 for away team).
Sumgayit: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.44; at home - 2.47;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.8; at home - 2.
Qarabag: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.47, away - 1.73;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.8; away - 1.8.
Prediction on BTTS
Statistics: Sumgayit vs Qarabag
- number of matches played in the tournament: 32 vs 32;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 17 vs 14;
- number of BTS matches for Sumgayit at home - 8 (53%);
- number of BTS matches for Qarabag away - 10 (67%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 7 vs 6;
- BTTS matches for Sumgayit at home - 2 (50%);
- BTTS matches for Qarabag away - 4 (80%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:0 (20/190, 10.5%), 1:1 (20/190, 10.5%);
- Sumgayit at home most often finish matches: 1:0 , 1:3 (2/15, 13.3%);
- Qarabag away most often play: 1:2 (3/15, 20%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
0:1 - 11.21% (odds 7.5)
0:2 - 10.44% (odds 7)
1:2 - 10.27% (odds 8)
Editorial Prediction
- Under 3.5 goals scored in last 6 Sumgayit games (Premier League).
- Under 3.5 goals scored in 7 of last 8 Qarabag games.
- Under 3.5 goals scored in 6 of last 7 Qarabag games (Premier League).