Kashiwa Reysol vs Chiba Prediction 23 May 2026

Details
The main thing

    🔊 Kashiwa Reysol and JEF United Chiba go head-to-head in the final round of the regular J1 League season. The hosts have put together an impressive late run, pulling themselves well clear of the bottom of the table. Chiba, meanwhile, are rooted to the foot of the standings and have nothing left to play for, raising serious questions about their motivation. Bookmakers share these concerns, installing Chiba as heavy underdogs for this clash.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official encounter between the teams took place on 07 March 2026 and ended with a scoreline of 2:1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Chiba):

    • ball possession percentage: 33% vs 67%;
    • corner kicks: 3 vs 5;
    • fouls: 10 vs 8;
    • yellow cards: 0 vs 1;
    • shots on target: 5 vs 6.

    📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Kashiwa Reysol and Chiba:

    • played 4 matches;
    • number of wins for the home team - 2, for the away team - 2, draws - 0;
    • number of goals - 17 against 14;
    • average total in the 1st half - 1, in the 2nd half - 6.75;
    • average total goals in the match - 7.75.

    Head-to-head statistics Kashiwa Reysol - Chiba

    60%
    3 Wins
    0%
    0 Draws
    40%
    2 Wins
    Total games
    5
    Total Goals Avg
    7.4
    Both teams scored
    60%
    4.2
    Total average
    3.2
    1
    Yellow cards
    1.6
    Last matches
    01.08.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Chiba
    Chiba
    Kashiwa Reysol
    Kashiwa Reysol
    -
    -
    3
    6
    -
    -
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    3
    6
    -
    -
    0
    2
    23.05.26
    J1 League
    Kashiwa Reysol
    Kashiwa Reysol
    Chiba
    Chiba
    -
    -
    6
    3
    7
    9
    0
    3
    4
    2
    2
    1
    2
    1
    -
    -
    6
    3
    7
    9
    0
    3
    07.03.26
    J1 League
    JEF United Ichihara Chiba
    JEF United Ichihara Chiba
    Kashiwa Reysol
    Kashiwa Reysol
    -
    -
    3
    5
    10
    8
    0
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    2
    1
    -
    -
    3
    5
    10
    8
    0
    1
    31.01.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Kashiwa Reysol
    Kashiwa Reysol
    JEF United Ichihara Chiba
    JEF United Ichihara Chiba
    -
    -
    17
    3
    -
    -
    1
    2
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    17
    3
    -
    -
    1
    2
    09.02.25
    Club Friendly Games
    JEF United Ichihara Chiba
    JEF United Ichihara Chiba
    Kashiwa Reysol
    Kashiwa Reysol
    0
    0
    1
    3
    -
    -
    1
    0
    0
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    0
    1
    3
    -
    -
    1
    0
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    Kashiwa Reysol Team Overview

    The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the J1 League tournament (home team - Yokohama Marinos, away team - Kashiwa Reysol). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:1.

    Here's the game statistics (Kashiwa Reysol vs Yokohama Marinos):

    • ball possession: 45% vs 55%;
    • corner kicks: 3 vs 7;
    • fouls: 6 vs 12;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
    • shots on target: 3 vs 2.

    Kashiwa Reysol have claimed victory in 2 of their last 5 matches. Over a ten-game stretch, the team have picked up four wins while suffering six defeats. Interestingly, none of those contests have gone beyond regular time. The hosts’ scoring record is modest-averaging just 0.9 goals per match, with an identical figure for goals conceded during this period. Each of their last four games has produced exactly one goal, with Kashiwa coming out on top twice. As a result, they are now in contention for seventh place.

    Match Results: Kashiwa Reysol

    Last matches
    02.09.26
    J1 League
    Cerezo Osaka
    Cerezo Osaka
    Kashiwa Reysol
    Kashiwa Reysol
    1.57
    1.07
    7
    9
    4
    3
    1
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1.57
    1.07
    7
    9
    4
    3
    1
    0
    L
    29.08.26
    J1 League
    Shimizu S Pulse
    Shimizu S Pulse
    Kashiwa Reysol
    Kashiwa Reysol
    0.81
    2.13
    3
    6
    9
    9
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0.81
    2.13
    3
    6
    9
    9
    0
    0
    W
    26.08.26
    Emperor Cup
    Kashiwa Reysol
    Kashiwa Reysol
    Senshu University
    Senshu University
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    2
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    W
    21.08.26
    J1 League
    Kashiwa Reysol
    Kashiwa Reysol
    V-Varen Nagasaki
    V-Varen Nagasaki
    1.48
    0.5
    8
    2
    7
    6
    1
    0
    4
    2
    1
    0
    3
    2
    1.48
    0.5
    8
    2
    7
    6
    1
    0
    W
    14.08.26
    J1 League
    Tokyo Verdy
    Tokyo Verdy
    Kashiwa Reysol
    Kashiwa Reysol
    1.04
    1.33
    3
    5
    10
    9
    1
    2
    1
    3
    1
    1
    0
    2
    1.04
    1.33
    3
    5
    10
    9
    1
    2
    W
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    Chiba Team Overview

    The away team played their last official match on as part of the J1 League tournament (home team - Chiba, away - Kashima Antlers). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:2.

    Here are the match stats (Chiba vs Kashima Antlers):

    • ball possession: 39% vs 61%;
    • corner kicks: 9 vs 0;
    • fouls: 14 vs 11;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 0;
    • shots on target: 4 vs 5.

    Chiba are also going through a rough patch: just one win and seven defeats in their last eight matches, with only two victories in their previous ten outings. The team trails almost all of their rivals defensively-conceding an average of 1.7 goals per game over the last ten fixtures (their season average stands at 1.59). Offensively, Chiba have been the league’s weakest side, not just in the East but across the entire championship, scoring less than a goal per match. Their position at the bottom of the table is hardly surprising.

    Match Results: Chiba

    Last matches
    02.09.26
    J1 League
    Chiba
    Chiba
    Fagiano Okayama
    Fagiano Okayama
    0.59
    1.07
    4
    5
    9
    14
    2
    1
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    0.59
    1.07
    4
    5
    9
    14
    2
    1
    L
    29.08.26
    J1 League
    Kawasaki Frontale
    Kawasaki Frontale
    Chiba
    Chiba
    1.49
    1.88
    5
    4
    7
    12
    2
    4
    4
    2
    4
    2
    0
    0
    1.49
    1.88
    5
    4
    7
    12
    2
    4
    L
    26.08.26
    Emperor Cup
    Chiba
    Chiba
    Azul Claro Numazu
    Azul Claro Numazu
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    0
    0
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1
    1
    8
    7
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    0
    0
    W
    21.08.26
    J1 League
    Tokyo
    Tokyo
    Chiba
    Chiba
    2.94
    0.49
    5
    1
    11
    5
    1
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    2.94
    0.49
    5
    1
    11
    5
    1
    0
    L
    15.08.26
    J1 League
    Chiba
    Chiba
    Machida Zelvia
    Machida Zelvia
    0.58
    1.44
    2
    8
    16
    13
    3
    0
    0
    4
    0
    2
    0
    2
    0.58
    1.44
    2
    8
    16
    13
    3
    0
    L
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    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 4;
    • home team wins - 2, away team wins - 2, draws - 0.

    Statistics: Kashiwa Reysol vs Chiba

    • matches played in the tournament: 17 vs 17;
    • wins: 6 vs 3;
    • win percentage: 35% vs 18%;
    • losses: 11 vs 14;
    • draws: 0 vs 0.

    Last 10 matches:

    • wins: 4 vs 2;
    • losses: 6 vs 8;
    • draws: 0 vs 0.
    Trends
    • Chiba won with a +1.5 handicap in 21 of last 23 away games.
    👉Prediction: Kashiwa Reysol Win (odds: 1.55)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 4.25, the guests - 3.5;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 7.75;
    • both teams scored: overall - 2; at the home team's field - 1.

    Statistics: Kashiwa Reysol vs Chiba

    • average total in the tournament: 2.29 vs 2.53;
    • average total goals scored: 1 vs 0.94;
    • average total in the 1st half: 0.35 vs 0.29;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 0.65 vs 0.65;
    • Kashiwa Reysol: average total at home in the tournament -  1.13;
    • Chiba: average total away in the tournament - 0.88;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 0.9 (home - 1.33) vs 1.1 (away - 1).
    Trends
    • Under 3.5 goals scored in 13 of last 14 Kashiwa Reysol home games (J1 League).
    • Under 3.5 goals scored in 10 of last 11 Kashiwa Reysol home games.
    • Under 3.5 goals scored in last 17 Chiba away games.
    • Under 3.5 goals scored in last 8 Chiba away games (J1 League).
    • Under 3.5 goals scored in 7 of last 8 Chiba games (J1 League).
    👉Prediction: Total goals Under (3,5) (odds: 1.35)

    Prediction on corners

    Kashiwa Reysol: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.35; at home field - 5;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.5; at home field - 5.67.

    Chiba: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.82, away - 3.63;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.7; away - 4.2.
    👉Prediction: Corners - Total Over (9,5) (odds: 1.8)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 4;
    • both teams scored all-time - 2 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 1 times.

    Statistics: Kashiwa Reysol vs Chiba

    • number of matches played in the tournament: 17 vs 17;
    • number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 5 vs 9;
    • number of BTTS matches for Kashiwa Reysol at home - 2 (25%);
    • number of BTTS matches for Chiba away - 4 (50%).

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of BTTS matches: 1 vs 5;
    • BTTS matches for Kashiwa Reysol at home - 1 (17%);
    • BTTS matches for Chiba away - 2 (40%).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (No) (odds: 1.8)

    Correct score prediction

    Statistics of frequent results (current season):

    • most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (31/170, 18.2%);
    • Kashiwa Reysol at home most often finish matches: 0:1 (3/8, 37.5%);
    • Chiba away most often play: 2:1 (3/8, 37.5%).

    Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:

    1:0 - 13.24% (odds 5.9)
    2:0 - 10.62% (odds 5.94)
    1:1 - 10.56% (odds 6.65)

    Trends
    • Chiba lost 0:2 in 3 of last 4 games (J1 League).
    👉Prediction: Correct Score (2:0) (odds: 5.94)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Both sides rarely deliver high-scoring matches, with Kashiwa Reysol in particular enduring a lengthy run of low-output games, prioritizing defensive solidity above all else. Given the hosts' consistent trend towards the under, backing under 3 goals seems a well-founded prediction. We’re tipping Kashiwa to secure a 2-0 victory-a result that could see the hosts climb to seventh in the table.

    Total goals Under (3)
    Published: 22/05/2026, 07:14

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    Betting Tips: Kashiwa Reysol - Chiba

    Chiba have lost:
    jef-united-ichihara-chiba-1in 6 of last 7 games (J.League).
    Kashiwa Reysol Win
    Bovada
    -192
    Chiba have not won:
    jef-united-ichihara-chiba-1in 7 of last 8 games (J.League).
    Kashiwa Reysol will not lose
    -769
    Under 3.5 goals scored:
    kashiwa-reysol-1in 13 of last 14 Kashiwa Reysol home games (J.League).
    kashiwa-reysol-1in 10 of last 11 Kashiwa Reysol home games.
    jef-united-ichihara-chiba-1in last 17 Chiba away games.
    jef-united-ichihara-chiba-1in last 8 Chiba away games (J.League).
    jef-united-ichihara-chiba-1in 7 of last 8 Chiba games (J.League).
    Total goals Under (3,5)
    Bovada
    -263
    Chiba have conceded:
    jef-united-ichihara-chiba-1in 14 of last 15 games (J.League).
    Kashiwa Reysol will score goal
    Everygame
    -833
    View more facts

    Kashiwa Reysol - Chiba Table position

    East
    gWDLGDPForm
    6.
    Urawa Red Diamonds
    Urawa Red Diamonds
    1874725-1825
    7.
    Yokohama Marinos
    Yokohama Marinos
    18621028-2920
    8.
    Kashiwa Reysol
    Kashiwa Reysol
    18611121-2420
    9.
    Mito Hollyhock
    Mito Hollyhock
    1828819-3518
    10.
    Chiba
    Chiba
    18331218-3112

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    9 - Wins
    0 - Draws
    1 - Lose
    Win - 1
    Draw - 1
    Loses - 8
    10 matches
    Scored - 24
    Conceded - 10
    +14
    -18
    8 - Scored
    26 - Conceded
    9
    Wins
    1
    0
    Draws
    1
    1
    Loses
    8
    Goal difference
    24
    Scored
    8
    10
    Conceded
    26
    3.4
    Match goals average
    3.4
    2.4
    Goals scored per match on average
    0.8
    1
    Goals conceded per match on average
    2.6
    6
    Both teams scored
    5
    38'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    116'
    View all stats