Breda vs Ajax Prediction 25 April 2026
🔊 Can Ajax reclaim their former glory and climb back into the top three? Currently, the Amsterdam side sit just one win away from the Champions League spots. In the upcoming round, they face an away trip to NAC Breda, who are entrenched in the relegation zone and fighting tooth and nail for survival, making every point crucial for them. Which club is more likely to achieve their objectives? Our editorial team provides an insightful prediction on the odds for each side.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 27 September 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 2:1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Ajax Amsterdam):
- ball possession percentage: 51% vs 49%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 7;
- fouls: 11 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 3;
- shots on target: 6 vs 7.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams NAC Breda and Ajax Amsterdam:
- played 29 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 3, for the away team - 21, draws - 5;
- number of goals - 22 against 81;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.52, in the 2nd half - 2.03;
- average total goals in the match - 3.55.
Head-to-head statistics Breda - Ajax
NAC Breda Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Eredivisie tournament (home team - Fortuna Sittard, away team - NAC Breda). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:1.
Here's the game statistics (NAC Breda vs Fortuna Sittard):
- ball possession: 56% vs 44%;
- corner kicks: 8 vs 5;
- fouls: 12 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 7 vs 2.
NAC Breda are going through tough times: the team sits in 17th place in the standings and desperately needs points. They are three points away from the safe 15th spot or at least the playoff zone. However, they haven't secured the results needed to gain those points for six consecutive matches. The club's attack is also struggling, having scored only twice in their last four games. Their overall season scoring average is equally dismal, with just one goal per match while conceding an average of 1.7 goals per game.
Match Results: NAC Breda
Ajax Amsterdam Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Eredivisie tournament (home team - Heracles Almelo, away - Ajax Amsterdam). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:3.
Here are the match stats (Ajax Amsterdam vs Heracles Almelo):
- ball possession: 60% vs 40%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 7;
- fouls: 4 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 2;
- shots on target: 6 vs 3.
Ajax, while still holding a position near the top of the table, have been plagued by inconsistent performances, dropping them from 3rd to 5th place. However, they are just one win away from a Champions League spot. They snapped their three-match winless streak in official games with an impressive 3-0 victory away at Heracles. Their attacking line remains formidable, averaging nearly two goals per match, but their defense has been shaky, conceding over one goal per game.
Match Results: Ajax Amsterdam
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 29;
- home team wins - 3, away team wins - 21, draws - 5.
Statistics: NAC Breda vs Ajax Amsterdam
- matches played in the tournament: 30 vs 30;
- wins: 5 vs 13;
- win percentage: 17% vs 43%;
- losses: 15 vs 5;
- draws: 10 vs 12.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 2 vs 3;
- losses: 4 vs 2;
- draws: 4 vs 5.
- NAC Breda won with a +1.5 handicap in 15 of last 16 home games (Eredivisie).
- NAC Breda won with a +1.5 handicap in 9 of last 10 home games.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 0.76, the guests - 2.79;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.55;
- both teams scored: overall - 13; at the home team's field - 6.
Statistics: NAC Breda vs Ajax Amsterdam
- average total in the tournament: 2.7 vs 3.13;
- average total goals scored: 1 vs 1.9;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.43 vs 1.1;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.57 vs 0.8;
- NAC Breda: average total at home in the tournament - 1.2;
- Ajax Amsterdam: average total away in the tournament - 1.87;
- last 10 matches (average total): 0.9 (home - 1.2) vs 1.8 (away - 1.33).
- Ajax Amsterdam have scored over 1.5 goals in 6 of last 7 games against NAC Breda (Eredivisie).
Prediction on corners
NAC Breda: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.63; at home field - 5.73;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.6; at home field - 7.4.
Ajax Amsterdam: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.9, away - 4.4;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.9; away - 3.67.
- Ajax Amsterdam have taken over 4.5 corners in 6 of last 7 games against NAC Breda (Eredivisie).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 29;
- both teams scored all-time - 13 times;
- on the home team’s field - 6 times.
Statistics: NAC Breda vs Ajax Amsterdam
- number of matches played in the tournament: 30 vs 30;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 15 vs 21;
- number of BTTS matches for NAC Breda at home - 8 (53%);
- number of BTTS matches for Ajax Amsterdam away - 13 (87%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 4 vs 7;
- BTTS matches for NAC Breda at home - 2 (40%);
- BTTS matches for Ajax Amsterdam away - 4 (67%).
- Ajax Amsterdam have scored and conceded in 14 of last 16 away games (Eredivisie).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (30/271, 11.1%);
- NAC Breda at home most often finish matches: 0:1 (3/15, 20%);
- Ajax Amsterdam away most often play: 2:2 (4/15, 26.7%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 11.45% (odds 7)
0:1 - 9.37% (odds 8.5)
1:2 - 9.25% (odds 8.5)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
The game promises to be intriguing, given Ajax's attacking prowess and NAC Breda's determination to avoid relegation. Historically, Ajax have often found the net against Breda, scoring at least twice in 6 of their last 7 head-to-head encounters. The hosts struggle with scoring, but playing at home and their position in the standings might motivate them to take an aggressive approach in attack. Therefore, we anticipate an open game with goals on both sides. We predict that together the teams can surpass a total of over 2.5 goals.No comments
Betting Tips: NAC Breda - Ajax Amsterdam
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Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
