Smouha vs Al Ahly Prediction 23 February 2026
🔊How will the weather conditions and the state of the field affect the game? Today, the teams Smouha and Ahly are meeting. The match is scheduled to start at 19:30. The tournament match Premier League will take place in the city of Alexandria at the Alexandria Stadium stadium. The odds for the teams' victories have been determined by bookmakers at and , respectively, with the team Ahly being the favorite of the match.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 07 January 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 2:0. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Ahly ):
- ball possession percentage: 51% vs 49%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 9;
- fouls: 17 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 0;
- shots on target: 3 vs 3.
📊 Analytical review of previous official games between the teams Smouha and Ahly :
- played 32 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 4, for the away team - 19, draws - 9;
- number of goals (home/away) - 23 against 53;
- average total goals in the match - 2.38.
Head-to-head statistics Smouha - Al Ahly

Smouha Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on 16 February 2026 as part of the Premier League tournament (home team - Al Ittihad Al Sakandary, away team - Smouha). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:0.
Here's the game statistics (Smouha vs Al Ittihad Al Sakandary):
- ball possession: 46% vs 54%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 5;
- fouls: 15 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 4;
- shots on target: 2 vs 2.
- 6 wins,
- 4 losses,
- 7 draws.
📈Currently, Smouha stands at a mid-tier position within the Premier League standings, with a win percentage of 35% and a loss percentage of 24%.
⚽️Smouha has scored a total of 15 goals. On the defensive end, Smouha has allowed 11 goals over the season.
Match Results: Smouha

Ahly Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on 19 February 2026 as part of the Premier League tournament (home team - Ahly , away - El Gouna). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:0.
Here are the match stats (Ahly vs El Gouna):
- ball possession: 62% vs 38%;
- corner kicks: 8 vs 4;
- fouls: 10 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 5 vs 4.
- 9 wins,
- 1 losses,
- 6 draws.
📈Currently, Ahly stands at a mid-tier position within the Premier League standings, with a win percentage of 56% and a loss percentage of 6%.
⚽Ahly has scored a total of 27 goals. On the defensive end has allowed 15 goals over the season.
Match Results: Ahly
Prediction for the 1st half
First Half Statistics: Smouha (Home) vs Ahly (Away)
- Number of matches played in the tournament: 8 vs 5;
- Number of wins: 3 (37.5%) vs 1 (20%);
- Number of losses: 0 (0%) vs 2 (40%);
- Number of draws: 5 (62.5%) vs 2 (40%);
- Average total goals scored: 0.88 vs 1;
- Average total goals conceded: 0.25 vs 0.6.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Number of wins: 2 vs 6;
- Number of losses: 2 vs 2;
- Number of draws: 6 vs 2;
- Average first half total: 1 (scored - 0.5, conceded - 0.5) vs 1.1 (scored - 0.9, conceded - 0.2).
- Smouha have drawn in the 1st half in 9 of last 10 games (Premier League).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 32;
- home team wins - 4, away team wins - 19, draws - 9.
Statistics: Smouha vs Ahly
- matches played in the tournament: 17 vs 16;
- wins: 6 vs 9;
- win percentage: 35% vs 56%;
- losses: 4 vs 1;
- draws: 7 vs 6.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 5 vs 5;
- losses: 4 vs 1;
- draws: 1 vs 4.
- Smouha won with a +1.5 handicap in 32 of last 33 games.
- Smouha won with a +1.5 handicap in last 24 games (Premier League).
- Smouha won with a +1.5 handicap in last 18 home games.
- Smouha won with a +1.5 handicap in last 12 home games (Premier League).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 0.72, the guests - 1.66;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.38;
- both teams scored: overall - 14; at the home team's field - 5.
Statistics: Smouha vs Ahly
- average total in the tournament: 1.53 vs 2.63;
- average total goals scored: 0.88 vs 1.69;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.47 vs 0.88;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.41 vs 0.81;
- Smouha: average total at home in the tournament - 1.13;
- Ahly : average total away in the tournament - 1.4;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.1 (home - 1.75) vs 1.5 (away - 1.5).
- Ahly have not conceded in last 4 games.
Prediction on corners
Smouha: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.76; at home field - 4.38;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.1; at home field - 4.5.
Ahly : Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 7, away - 9.2;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5; away - 4.25.
- Over 7.5 corners in 7 of last 8 Ahly games (Premier League).
- Over 7.5 corners in 6 of last 7 Ahly games.
- Over 7.5 corners in last 5 Ahly away games (Premier League).
Yellow Cards Bet
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 1.06 (0.53 for home team and 0.53 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 0.85 (0.54 for home team and 0.31 for away team).
Smouha: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.29; at home - 2.38;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.1; at home - 2.25.
Ahly : Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.25, away - 1.8;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.6; away - 1.5.
- Under 4.5 yellow cards in 8 of last 9 Smouha home games (Premier League).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 32;
- both teams scored all-time - 14 times;
- on the home team’s field - 5 times.
Statistics: Smouha vs Ahly
- number of matches played in the tournament: 17 vs 16;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 7 vs 10;
- number of BTTS matches for Smouha at home - 3 (38%);
- number of BTTS matches for Ahly away - 4 (80%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 4 vs 5;
- BTTS matches for Smouha at home - 2 (50%);
- BTTS matches for Ahly away - 3 (75%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (31/175, 17.7%);
- Smouha at home most often finish matches: 1:1 , 2:0 (2/8, 25%);
- Ahly away most often play: 1:1 (2/5, 40%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
0:1 - 14.78% (odds 4.6)
1:1 - 11.29% (odds 7)
0:0 - 10.23% (odds 7)
Editorial Prediction
- Under 2.5 goals scored in 11 of last 12 Smouha home games (Premier League).
- Under 2.5 goals scored in last 6 Ahly games.
