Sampaio Correa vs Nova Iguacu Prediction
📣How will an early goal change the strategy of both teams? If it happens, we will see an interesting development in the confrontation between the teams Sampaio Correa and Nova Iguacu. Recall that the meeting is scheduled for 23:00 23 February. The tournament match will take place at the Estadio Lourival Gomes de Almeida stadium in the city of Saquarema. Note the odds - bookmakers offer to bet on the victory of the side for and , respectively.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 15 January 2026 and ended with a scoreline of 1:3. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Sampaio Correa):
- ball possession percentage: 57% vs 43%;
- corner kicks: 7 vs 5;
- fouls: 18 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 4;
- shots on target: 3 vs 8.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Sampaio Correa and Nova Iguacu:
- played 5 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 0, for the away team - 5, draws - 0;
- number of goals - 3 against 9;
- average total in the 1st half - 0.6, in the 2nd half - 1.8;
- average total goals in the match - 2.4.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

Sampaio Correa Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on 20 February 2026 as part of the Carioca tournament (home team - Sampaio Correa, away team - Portuguesa). The match concluded with a scoreline of 3:2.
Here's the game statistics (Sampaio Correa vs Portuguesa):
- ball possession: 42% vs 58%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 6;
- fouls: 23 vs 20;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 3;
- shots on target: 8 vs 7.
- 2 wins,
- 3 losses,
- 1 draws.
📈Currently, Sampaio Correa stands at a mid-tier position within the Carioca standings, with a win percentage of 50% and a loss percentage of 38%.
⚽️Sampaio Correa has scored a total of 7 goals. On the defensive end, Sampaio Correa has allowed 16 goals over the season.
Match Results: Sampaio Correa

Nova Iguacu Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on 16 February 2026 as part of the Carioca tournament (home team - Nova Iguacu, away - Marica). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:1.
Here are the match stats (Nova Iguacu vs Marica):
- ball possession: 66% vs 34%;
- corner kicks: 7 vs 2;
- fouls: 19 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 4;
- shots on target: 1 vs 2.
- 1 wins,
- 3 losses,
- 2 draws.
📈Currently, Nova Iguacu stands at a mid-tier position within the Carioca standings, with a win percentage of 13% and a loss percentage of 50%.
⚽Nova Iguacu has scored a total of 8 goals. On the defensive end has allowed 11 goals over the season.
Match Results: Nova Iguacu
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 5;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 0; for visitors away - 2; number of draws - 0;
- Average first-half total: 0.6;
- Today's home team scores on average 0, while the visitors net 0.6.
First-Half Stats: Sampaio Correa (home) vs Nova Iguacu (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 4 vs 4;
- wins: 1 (25%) vs 2 (50%);
- losses: 1 (25%) vs 1 (25%);
- draws: 2 (50%) vs 1 (25%);
- Average goals scored: 1.5 vs 0.75;
- Average goals conceded: 0.75 vs 0.25.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 3 vs 4;
- losses: 3 vs 1;
- draws: 4 vs 5;
- Average first-half total: 1.8 (scored - 1, conceded - 0.8) vs 1.3 (scored - 0.8, conceded - 0.5).
- Sampaio Correa scored in the 1st half in last 7 games (Carioca).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 5;
- home team wins - 0, away team wins - 5, draws - 0.
Statistics: Sampaio Correa vs Nova Iguacu
- matches played in the tournament: 6 vs 6;
- wins: 4 vs 1;
- win percentage: 50% vs 13%;
- losses: 3 vs 4;
- draws: 1 vs 3.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 4 vs 1;
- losses: 5 vs 5;
- draws: 1 vs 4.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 0.6, the guests - 1.8;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.4;
- both teams scored: overall - 3; at the home team's field - 2.
Statistics: Sampaio Correa vs Nova Iguacu
- average total in the tournament: 3.75 vs 2.5;
- average total goals scored: 1.75 vs 1.13;
- average total in the 1st half: 1.13 vs 0.75;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.63 vs 0.38;
- Sampaio Correa: average total at home in the tournament - 1.75;
- Nova Iguacu: average total away in the tournament - 1;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.6 (home - 1.5) vs 1.1 (away - 1).
- Sampaio Correa have scored under 1.5 goals in last 5 games against Nova Iguacu (Carioca).
Prediction on corners
H2H
- average Over/Under corners in H2H matches - 9.6 (7.2 - for home team and 2.4 - for away team);
- average Over/Under corners at home team's field - 9.5 (7 - for home team and 2.5 - for away team).
Sampaio Correa: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.88; at home field - 7.5;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.4; at home field - 5.83.
Nova Iguacu: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.25, away - 5.25;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.7; away - 4.8.
- Nova Iguacu have taken under 5.5 corners in last 5 games against Sampaio Correa (Carioca).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 5;
- both teams scored all-time - 3 times;
- on the home team’s field - 2 times.
Statistics: Sampaio Correa vs Nova Iguacu
- number of matches played in the tournament: 6 vs 6;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 6 vs 5;
- number of BTTS matches for Sampaio Correa at home - 4 (100%);
- number of BTTS matches for Nova Iguacu away - 2 (50%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 8 vs 7;
- BTTS matches for Sampaio Correa at home - 6 (100%);
- BTTS matches for Nova Iguacu away - 3 (60%).
- Sampaio Correa have scored and conceded in last 7 home games.
- Sampaio Correa have scored and conceded in last 5 home games (Carioca).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:0 (7/46, 15.2%);
- Sampaio Correa at home most often finish matches: 1:1 , 1:3 , 2:1 , 3:2 (1/4, 25%);
- Nova Iguacu away most often play: 0:0 , 1:0 , 1:1 , 1:3 (1/4, 25%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 13.21% (odds 5.5)
1:0 - 9.25% (odds 7)
0:1 - 8.8% (odds 7)
Editorial Prediction
- Under 2.5 goals scored in 9 of last 10 Nova Iguacu away games (Carioca).
