Sampaio Correa vs Nova Iguacu Prediction

    📣How will an early goal change the strategy of both teams? If it happens, we will see an interesting development in the confrontation between the teams Sampaio Correa and Nova Iguacu. Recall that the meeting is scheduled for 23:00 23 February. The tournament match will take place at the Estadio Lourival Gomes de Almeida stadium in the city of Saquarema. Note the odds - bookmakers offer to bet on the victory of the side for and , respectively.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official encounter between the teams took place on 15 January 2026 and ended with a scoreline of 1:3. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Sampaio Correa):

    • ball possession percentage: 57% vs 43%;
    • corner kicks: 7 vs 5;
    • fouls: 18 vs 14;
    • yellow cards: 3 vs 4;
    • shots on target: 3 vs 8.

    📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Sampaio Correa and Nova Iguacu:

    • played 5 matches;
    • number of wins for the home team - 0, for the away team - 5, draws - 0;
    • number of goals - 3 against 9;
    • average total in the 1st half - 0.6, in the 2nd half - 1.8;
    • average total goals in the match - 2.4.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    11%
    1 Win
    11%
    1 Draw
    78%
    7 Wins
    Total games
    9
    Total Goals Avg
    2.22
    Both teams scored
    56%
    0.67
    Total average
    1.56
    6
    Corner
    3.56
    1.22
    Yellow cards
    1.33
    Last matches
    16.05.26
    Brasileiro Serie D
    Nova Iguacu
    Nova Iguacu
    Sampaio Correa
    Sampaio Correa
    2
    -
    -
    2
    5
    -
    -
    7
    4
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    2
    5
    -
    -
    7
    4
    25.04.26
    Brasileiro Serie D
    Sampaio Correa
    Sampaio Correa
    Nova Iguacu
    Nova Iguacu
    -
    -
    4
    7
    -
    -
    3
    1
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    4
    7
    -
    -
    3
    1
    08.03.26
    Carioca
    Nova Iguacu
    Nova Iguacu
    Sampaio Correa
    Sampaio Correa
    -
    -
    5
    7
    19
    14
    4
    1
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    5
    7
    19
    14
    4
    1
    23.02.26
    Carioca
    Sampaio Correa
    Sampaio Correa
    Nova Iguacu
    Nova Iguacu
    -
    -
    2
    6
    16
    19
    3
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    2
    6
    16
    19
    3
    2
    15.01.26
    Carioca
    Sampaio Correa
    Sampaio Correa
    Nova Iguacu
    Nova Iguacu
    -
    -
    7
    5
    18
    14
    3
    4
    1
    3
    0
    1
    1
    2
    -
    -
    7
    5
    18
    14
    3
    4
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    Sampaio Correa Team Overview

    The team's most recent official match took place on 20 February 2026 as part of the Carioca tournament (home team - Sampaio Correa, away team - Portuguesa). The match concluded with a scoreline of 3:2.

    Here's the game statistics (Sampaio Correa vs Portuguesa):

    • ball possession: 42% vs 58%;
    • corner kicks: 2 vs 6;
    • fouls: 23 vs 20;
    • yellow cards: 4 vs 3;
    • shots on target: 8 vs 7.
    🏆Throughout the Carioca season, the team Sampaio Correa has engaged in 6 fixtures, resulting in:
    • 2 wins,
    • 3 losses,
    • 1 draws.

    📈Currently, Sampaio Correa stands at a mid-tier position within the Carioca standings, with a win percentage of 50% and a loss percentage of 38%.

    ⚽️Sampaio Correa has scored a total of 7 goals. On the defensive end, Sampaio Correa has allowed 16 goals over the season.

    Match Results: Sampaio Correa

    Last matches
    07.06.26
    Brasileiro Serie D
    Noroeste
    Noroeste
    Sampaio Correa
    Sampaio Correa
    -
    -
    6
    0
    19
    11
    4
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    6
    0
    19
    11
    4
    0
    L
    30.05.26
    Brasileiro Serie D
    Sampaio Correa
    Sampaio Correa
    1
    Velo Clube
    Velo Clube
    -
    -
    3
    5
    12
    12
    5
    3
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    3
    5
    12
    12
    5
    3
    W
    23.05.26
    Brasileiro Serie D
    Sampaio Correa
    Sampaio Correa
    1
    Marica
    Marica
    -
    -
    8
    9
    -
    -
    4
    3
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    8
    9
    -
    -
    4
    3
    D
    16.05.26
    Brasileiro Serie D
    Nova Iguacu
    Nova Iguacu
    Sampaio Correa
    Sampaio Correa
    2
    -
    -
    2
    5
    -
    -
    7
    4
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    2
    5
    -
    -
    7
    4
    L
    09.05.26
    Brasileiro Serie D
    Xv de Piracicaba
    Xv de Piracicaba
    1
    Sampaio Correa
    Sampaio Correa
    2
    -
    -
    7
    2
    25
    14
    2
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    7
    2
    25
    14
    2
    2
    L
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    Nova Iguacu Team Overview

    The away team played their last official match on 16 February 2026 as part of the Carioca tournament (home team - Nova Iguacu, away - Marica). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:1.

    Here are the match stats (Nova Iguacu vs Marica):

    • ball possession: 66% vs 34%;
    • corner kicks: 7 vs 2;
    • fouls: 19 vs 11;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 4;
    • shots on target: 1 vs 2.
    🏆Throughout the Carioca season, the team Nova Iguacu has engaged in 6 fixtures, resulting in:
    • 1 wins,
    • 3 losses,
    • 2 draws.

    📈Currently, Nova Iguacu stands at a mid-tier position within the Carioca standings, with a win percentage of 13% and a loss percentage of 50%.

    ⚽Nova Iguacu has scored a total of 8 goals. On the defensive end has allowed 11 goals over the season.

    Match Results: Nova Iguacu

    Last matches
    07.06.26
    Brasileiro Serie D
    Nova Iguacu
    Nova Iguacu
    Xv de Piracicaba
    Xv de Piracicaba
    -
    -
    8
    4
    11
    17
    2
    3
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    8
    4
    11
    17
    2
    3
    W
    30.05.26
    Brasileiro Serie D
    Marica
    Marica
    Nova Iguacu
    Nova Iguacu
    -
    -
    9
    3
    -
    -
    2
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    9
    3
    -
    -
    2
    2
    L
    23.05.26
    Brasileiro Serie D
    Nova Iguacu
    Nova Iguacu
    Noroeste
    Noroeste
    -
    -
    3
    11
    20
    14
    3
    3
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    3
    11
    20
    14
    3
    3
    W
    16.05.26
    Brasileiro Serie D
    Nova Iguacu
    Nova Iguacu
    Sampaio Correa
    Sampaio Correa
    2
    -
    -
    2
    5
    -
    -
    7
    4
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    2
    5
    -
    -
    7
    4
    W
    09.05.26
    Brasileiro Serie D
    Velo Clube
    Velo Clube
    1
    Nova Iguacu
    Nova Iguacu
    -
    -
    7
    3
    19
    16
    2
    6
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    7
    3
    19
    16
    2
    6
    D
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    Prediction for the 1st half

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 5;
    • First-half wins at home for hosts - 0; for visitors away - 2; number of draws - 0;
    • Average first-half total: 0.6;
    • Today's home team scores on average 0, while the visitors net 0.6.

    First-Half Stats: Sampaio Correa (home) vs Nova Iguacu (away)

    • matches played in the tournament: 4 vs 4;
    • wins: 1 (25%) vs 2 (50%);
    • losses: 1 (25%) vs 1 (25%);
    • draws: 2 (50%) vs 1 (25%);
    • Average goals scored: 1.5 vs 0.75;
    • Average goals conceded: 0.75 vs 0.25.

    Last 10 Matches (Overall):

    • wins: 3 vs 4;
    • losses: 3 vs 1;
    • draws: 4 vs 5;
    • Average first-half total: 1.8 (scored - 1, conceded - 0.8) vs 1.3 (scored - 0.8, conceded - 0.5).
    Trends
    • Sampaio Correa scored in the 1st half in last 7 games (Carioca).
    👉Prediction: 1st half, Sampaio Correa to score goal (odds: 2.25)

    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 5;
    • home team wins - 0, away team wins - 5, draws - 0.

    Statistics: Sampaio Correa vs Nova Iguacu

    • matches played in the tournament: 6 vs 6;
    • wins: 4 vs 1;
    • win percentage: 50% vs 13%;
    • losses: 3 vs 4;
    • draws: 1 vs 3.

    Last 10 matches:

    • wins: 4 vs 1;
    • losses: 5 vs 5;
    • draws: 1 vs 4.
    👉Prediction: Nova Iguacu Handicap (+1.5) (odds: 1.13)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 0.6, the guests - 1.8;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.4;
    • both teams scored: overall - 3; at the home team's field - 2.

    Statistics: Sampaio Correa vs Nova Iguacu

    • average total in the tournament: 3.75 vs 2.5;
    • average total goals scored: 1.75 vs 1.13;
    • average total in the 1st half: 1.13 vs 0.75;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 0.63 vs 0.38;
    • Sampaio Correa: average total at home in the tournament -  1.75;
    • Nova Iguacu: average total away in the tournament - 1;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 1.6 (home - 1.5) vs 1.1 (away - 1).
    Trends
    • Sampaio Correa have scored under 1.5 goals in last 5 games against Nova Iguacu (Carioca).
    👉Prediction: Sampaio Correa Total goals Under (1.5) (odds: 1.38)

    Prediction on corners

    H2H

    • average Over/Under corners in H2H matches - 9.6 (7.2 - for home team and 2.4 - for away team);
    • average Over/Under corners at home team's field - 9.5 (7 - for home team and 2.5 - for away team).

    Sampaio Correa: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.88; at home field - 7.5;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.4; at home field - 5.83.

    Nova Iguacu: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.25, away - 5.25;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.7; away - 4.8.
    Trends
    • Nova Iguacu have taken under 5.5 corners in last 5 games against Sampaio Correa (Carioca).
    👉Prediction: Corners - Nova Iguacu Total Under (5.5) (odds: 1.7)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 5;
    • both teams scored all-time - 3 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 2 times.

    Statistics: Sampaio Correa vs Nova Iguacu

    • number of matches played in the tournament: 6 vs 6;
    • number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 6 vs 5;
    • number of BTTS matches for Sampaio Correa at home - 4 (100%);
    • number of BTTS matches for Nova Iguacu away - 2 (50%).

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of BTTS matches: 8 vs 7;
    • BTTS matches for Sampaio Correa at home - 6 (100%);
    • BTTS matches for Nova Iguacu away - 3 (60%).
    Trends
    • Sampaio Correa have scored and conceded in last 7 home games.
    • Sampaio Correa have scored and conceded in last 5 home games (Carioca).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (Yes) (odds: 1.67)

    Correct score prediction

    Statistics of frequent results (current season):

    • most common score in the tournament: 1:0 (7/46, 15.2%);
    • Sampaio Correa at home most often finish matches: 1:1 , 1:3 , 2:1 , 3:2 (1/4, 25%);
    • Nova Iguacu away most often play: 0:0 , 1:0 , 1:1 , 1:3 (1/4, 25%).

    Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:

    1:1 - 13.21% (odds 5.5)
    1:0 - 9.25% (odds 7)
    0:1 - 8.8% (odds 7)

    Editorial Prediction

    Key statistics:
    • Under 2.5 goals scored in 9 of last 10 Nova Iguacu away games (Carioca).

    Our choice
    Total goals Under (2.5) at odds of -175*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (21 February 2026, 23:24)

    Betting Tips: Sampaio Correa - Nova Iguacu

    Sampaio Correa have lost
    sampaio-correa-25nova-iguacu-rj-5in last 5 games against Nova Iguacu (Carioca).
    Nova Iguacu Win
    Bovada
    +155
    Nova Iguacu have not won
    nova-iguacu-rj-5in 8 of last 9 away games.
    nova-iguacu-rj-5in last 7 games (Carioca).
    Sampaio Correa will not lose
    Everygame
    -217
    Sampaio Correa have scored
    sampaio-correa-25in 13 of last 14 home games (Carioca).
    sampaio-correa-25in last 11 games (Carioca).
    sampaio-correa-25in last 10 games.
    Nova Iguacu have conceded
    nova-iguacu-rj-5in 9 of last 10 games.
    nova-iguacu-rj-5in 8 of last 9 games (Carioca).
    Sampaio Correa will score goal
    Everygame
    -278
    Sampaio Correa have scored under 1.5 goals
    sampaio-correa-25nova-iguacu-rj-5in last 5 games against Nova Iguacu (Carioca).
    Sampaio Correa Total goals Under (1.5)
    Everygame
    -278
    View more facts

    Sampaio Correa - Nova Iguacu Table position

    Group stage Group A
    gWDLGDPForm
    1.
    Fluminense
    Fluminense
    65019-515
    2.
    Vasco da Gama
    Vasco da Gama
    63219-311
    3.
    Volta Redonda
    Volta Redonda
    63219-511
    4.
    Bangu
    Bangu
    63127-710
    5.
    Portuguesa
    Portuguesa
    62136-77
    6.
    Sampaio Correa
    Sampaio Correa
    62137-147

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    2 - Wins
    3 - Draws
    5 - Loses
    Wins - 3
    Draws - 3
    Loses - 4
    10 matches
    Scored - 8
    Conceded - 12
    -4
    -3
    7 - Scored
    10 - Conceded
    2
    Wins
    3
    3
    Draws
    3
    5
    Loses
    4
    Goal difference
    8
    Scored
    7
    12
    Conceded
    10
    2
    Match goals average
    1.7
    0.8
    Goals scored per match on average
    0.7
    1.2
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1
    5
    Both teams scored
    4
    113'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    129'
    View all stats