KuPS vs Mariehamn Prediction 23 August 2026
π Mariehamn picked up their first win of the season in round 20, beating SJK 2-0 at home. There was little time to celebrate - they now travel to the league leaders, who have gone 13 home matches in the Veikkausliiga without defeat. The two sides are separated by 35 points in the table, though when they met in Mariehamn back in May, it finished 1-1. The round 21 match takes place on 23 August at VΓ€re Arena in Kuopio.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 16 May 2026 and ended with a scoreline of 1:1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - IFK Mariehamn):
- ball possession percentage: 34% vs 66%;
- corner kicks: 1 vs 9;
- fouls: 14 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 2 vs 9.
π Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Kuopion Palloseura and IFK Mariehamn:
- played 46 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 28, for the away team - 9, draws - 9;
- number of goals - 82 against 46;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.28, in the 2nd half - 1.5;
- average total goals in the match - 2.78.
Head-to-head statistics KuPS - Mariehamn
Kuopion Palloseura Team Overview
KuPS are the reigning Finnish champions, having won back-to-back titles. After 20 rounds, Miika Nuutinen's side have 43 points - five clear of Inter. Their attack is the best in the league with 36 goals, and they have lost just once all season, slipping up in Oulu in early May. In 7 of their last 8 Veikkausliiga matches they have taken all three points. At home, though, they have conceded in six consecutive matches. The schedule is also a factor: on Thursday KuPS drew in Ireland in the first leg of their Conference League play-off, and the return fixture is on 27 August.
Match Results: Kuopion Palloseura
IFK Mariehamn Team Overview
Mariehamn represent the Γ land Islands, and the club's best days are behind them: the 2015 Finnish Cup and the league title the following year remain their only trophies. They currently sit bottom of the table with eight points from 20 matches. Their 11 goals scored is the lowest in the league, while they have conceded 41 - nearly four times as many. Away from home, they are on a run of seven consecutive defeats and have conceded in 16 straight matches on the road.
Match Results: IFK Mariehamn
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 46;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 9; for visitors away - 3; number of draws - 9;
- Average first-half total: 1.28;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.78, while the visitors net 0.5.
First-Half Stats: Kuopion Palloseura (home) vs IFK Mariehamn (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 10 vs 10;
- wins: 6 (60%) vs 0 (0%);
- losses: 0 (0%) vs 7 (70%);
- draws: 4 (40%) vs 3 (30%);
- Average goals scored: 1.6 vs 1.1;
- Average goals conceded: 0.3 vs 1.1.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 5 vs 2;
- losses: 2 vs 7;
- draws: 3 vs 1;
- Average first-half total: 1.4 (scored - 1, conceded - 0.4) vs 1.2 (scored - 0.2, conceded - 1).
- Kuopion Palloseura have won the 1st half in last 8 games (Veikkausliiga).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.78, the guests - 1;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.78;
- both teams scored: overall - 26; at the home team's field - 10.
Statistics: Kuopion Palloseura vs IFK Mariehamn
- average total in the tournament: 2.7 vs 2.6;
- average total goals scored: 1.8 vs 0.55;
- average total in the 1st half: 1.15 vs 0.25;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.65 vs 0.3;
- Kuopion Palloseura: average total at home in the tournament - 1.9;
- IFK Mariehamn: average total away in the tournament - 0.4;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.2 (home - 1.25) vs 0.6 (away - 0.6).
- Under 3.5 goals scored in 12 of last 13 Kuopion Palloseura home games against IFK Mariehamn (Veikkausliiga).
- Under 3.5 goals scored in last 7 Kuopion Palloseura games.
Prediction on corners
Kuopion Palloseura: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 6.2; at home field - 6.1;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.3; at home field - 4.25.
IFK Mariehamn: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.25, away - 4.1;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.7; away - 4.8.
- IFK Mariehamn have taken over 2.5 corners in last 5 games (Veikkausliiga).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 46;
- both teams scored all-time - 26 times;
- on the home teamβs field - 10 times.
Statistics: Kuopion Palloseura vs IFK Mariehamn
- number of matches played in the tournament: 20 vs 20;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 13 vs 7;
- number of BTTS matches for Kuopion Palloseura at home - 7 (70%);
- number of BTTS matches for IFK Mariehamn away - 3 (30%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 6 vs 3;
- BTTS matches for Kuopion Palloseura at home - 3 (75%);
- BTTS matches for IFK Mariehamn away - 2 (40%).
- Kuopion Palloseura have scored and conceded in last 5 home games (Veikkausliiga).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (19/121, 15.7%);
- Kuopion Palloseura at home most often finish matches: 1:1 (3/10, 30%);
- IFK Mariehamn away most often play: 3:0 (3/10, 30%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
2:0 - 13.07% (odds 6)
1:0 - 12.65% (odds 8)
2:1 - 10.24% (odds 7.5)
β Editor's Pick
In 12 of the last 13 head-to-head matches in Kuopio, fewer than four goals have been scored. The champions' recent form points in the same direction: in KuPS's last seven matches, both sides have combined for fewer than four goals. The hosts have also failed to score more than three at home in 21 of their last 22 matches. For the total to go higher, Mariehamn would need to do the heavy lifting, but they have scored more than one goal in just one of their last 11 Veikkausliiga away matches. The bet is Total Goals - Under 3.5. Predicted score: 2-1.
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Betting Tips: Kuopion Palloseura - IFK Mariehamn
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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