Inter Miami vs Toronto FC Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 22 August 2026
🔊 In this MLS regular season match, Inter Miami take on Toronto. Both sides are capable of playing direct, vertical football, so chances at both ends should be plentiful. There's a good chance this one turns into a high-scoring affair.
Head-to-Head
📊 The last meeting between these two sides took place in May, with Inter winning 4-2 away. Over the last five head-to-head matches, though, Miami hold the upper hand - three wins and two draws.
Head-to-head statistics Inter Miami - Toronto FC
Inter Miami CF Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the MLS tournament (home team - Philadelphia Union, away team - Inter Miami). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:2.
Here's the game statistics (Inter Miami vs Philadelphia Union):
- ball possession: 57% vs 43%;
- corner kicks: 1 vs 4;
- fouls: 13 vs 18;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 4;
- shots on target: 3 vs 6.
Inter Miami are in poor form right now - three defeats, one win and one draw from their last five matches. They most recently drew 2-2 with Philadelphia. They will very likely continue playing in an open style, and their attacking output has been decent, with close to 2.5 goals per game on average. Lionel Messi has also started to find his rhythm. The defensive side of things is another matter, though - they are conceding close to two goals per game on average, and given their current form, keeping Toronto out looks unlikely.
Match Results: Inter Miami CF
Toronto Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the MLS tournament (home team - Toronto, away - Charlotte). The match concluded with a scoreline of 3:3.
Here are the match stats (Toronto vs Charlotte):
- ball possession: 46% vs 54%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 5;
- fouls: 10 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 0;
- shots on target: 6 vs 10.
The away side are in much better form right now - one defeat in their last five matches. Last round they drew 3-3 with Charlotte, and before that beat New England Revolution 2-1. Worth noting that in both of those games the Canadians were reduced to ten men. Something similar can't be ruled out against Inter either. That said, credit is due to a side that has noticeably improved going forward recently. Their season average is still around 1.5 goals per game, but in practice they've shown they can easily hit 2+. Defensively, containing Miami will be tough. Their hopes rest on the attack.
Match Results: Toronto
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 14;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 6; for visitors away - 0; number of draws - 1;
- Average first-half total: 1.36;
- Today's home team scores on average 1.07, while the visitors net 0.29.
First-Half Stats: Inter Miami (home) vs Toronto (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 8 vs 9;
- wins: 3 (37.5%) vs 0 (0%);
- losses: 0 (0%) vs 4 (44.44%);
- draws: 5 (62.5%) vs 5 (55.56%);
- Average goals scored: 2.88 vs 1.56;
- Average goals conceded: 1.13 vs 1.11.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 6 vs 2;
- losses: 0 vs 4;
- draws: 4 vs 4;
- Average first-half total: 2.7 (scored - 1.8, conceded - 0.9) vs 1.5 (scored - 0.7, conceded - 0.8).
- Toronto have lost the 1st half in 6 of last 7 away games against Inter Miami.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 2.07, the guests - 1;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.07;
- both teams scored: overall - 8; at the home team's field - 5.
Statistics: Inter Miami vs Toronto
- average total in the tournament: 4.3 vs 3.25;
- average total goals scored: 2.4 vs 1.45;
- average total in the 1st half: 1.2 vs 0.45;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1.2 vs 1;
- Inter Miami: average total at home in the tournament - 2.63;
- Toronto: average total away in the tournament - 0.78;
- last 10 matches (average total): 2.4 (home - 2.86) vs 1.2 (away - 0.67).
- Toronto have scored under 1.5 goals in 6 of last 7 away games against Inter Miami.
- Toronto have scored under 1.5 goals in last 8 away games (Major League Soccer).
Prediction on corners
H2H
- average Over/Under corners in H2H matches - 8.5 (3.93 - for home team and 4.57 - for away team);
- average Over/Under corners at home team's field - 7.86 (3.57 - for home team and 4.29 - for away team).
Inter Miami: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.7; at home field - 7.63;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.4; at home field - 6.14.
Toronto: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.25, away - 4.67;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.9; away - 4.33.
- Toronto have taken over 3.5 corners in 7 of last 8 games against Inter Miami.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 14;
- both teams scored all-time - 8 times;
- on the home team’s field - 5 times.
Statistics: Inter Miami vs Toronto
- number of matches played in the tournament: 20 vs 20;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 15 vs 16;
- number of BTTS matches for Inter Miami at home - 7 (88%);
- number of BTTS matches for Toronto away - 5 (56%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 8 vs 8;
- BTTS matches for Inter Miami at home - 6 (86%);
- BTTS matches for Toronto away - 4 (67%).
- Inter Miami have scored and conceded in 13 of last 14 home games.
- Inter Miami have scored and conceded in 9 of last 10 home games (Major League Soccer).
- Inter Miami have scored and conceded in last 6 games.
- Toronto have scored and conceded in 16 of last 18 games.
- Toronto have scored and conceded in 15 of last 17 games (Major League Soccer).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (30/299, 10%);
- Inter Miami at home most often finish matches: 2:2 (3/8, 37.5%);
- Toronto away most often play: 0:0 , 2:1 (2/9, 22.2%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
2:1 - 9.92% (odds 8.5)
3:1 - 8.08% (odds 9)
2:0 - 7.45% (odds 10)
⭐ Editor's Pick
Given the quality of players involved, Inter are the favourites here. The hosts are long overdue a return to winning ways after a run of genuinely poor performances. Messi and company will probably get there - but Toronto will make them work for it. The visitors are capable on the counter-attack. Our editorial team expects plenty of chances at both ends, with a likely scoreline of 3-2. We'd point to Total Goals - Over 3.5.
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Betting Tips: Inter Miami CF - Toronto
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