Derby vs Cardiff City Prediction 22 August 2026
🔊 Matchday 2 in the English Championship. Derby County and Cardiff City are heading into the new season with contrasting opening results, but both sides remain motivated in their push for promotion. Derby lost in the first round and were knocked out of the League Cup. Cardiff started with a draw in the league and currently sit slightly higher in the table. The key question is whether the hosts can make their home advantage count, or whether the visitors can extend their unbeaten run.
Head-to-Head
📊 In official meetings between Derby County and Cardiff City, the two sides have faced each other 30 times. Derby have won 8, Cardiff 13, with 9 draws. Derby have scored 36 goals in total, Cardiff 49. On average, matches produce 0.93 goals in the first half and 1.9 in the second, giving an overall match average of 2.83 goals.
Head-to-head statistics Derby - Cardiff City

Derby Team Overview
Derby County have been inconsistent of late, winning just 4 of their last 10 matches while losing 6. Their recent run is even more concerning - four defeats in their last five games, with only one win. That said, their home record from last season stands out: six wins in seven home matches, which puts them above the mid-table average.
Scoring-wise, Derby are averaging 1.4 goals per game over their last 10 matches, conceding 1.5 - a fairly even balance between attack and defence, with no obvious weakness in either area. There is something to play for, though: the club are three points off the automatic promotion places and will want to close that gap early in the season.
Match Results: Derby

Cardiff Team Overview
Cardiff have started the season in decent form - an opening draw sits within a strong recent run of five wins, four draws and just one defeat in their last ten matches. Over that period they have been productive going forward, averaging 2.1 goals scored per game, while conceding 1.4 at the other end.
Away from home, Cardiff have scored in 17 consecutive matches and regularly win the corner count, reflecting their activity on the road. Their league objective mirrors their opponents' - a push for automatic promotion means points are needed even against difficult sides.
Match Results: Cardiff
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-head matches (average totals):
- home team - 1.2, away team - 1.63;
- combined in head-to-head matches - 2.83;
- both teams scored: all time - 18 times; at the home team's ground - 10 times.
- Derby County have scored under 1.5 goals in 6 of their last 7 matches.
Corners Prediction
Derby County: Stats
- season: average total in the competition - 4; at home - 0;
- last 10 matches: average total - 4.5; at home - 5.4.
Cardiff: Stats
- season: average total in the competition - 9; away - 0;
- last 10 matches: average total - 8.3; away - 10.
- Derby County have taken more than 4.5 corners at home in five consecutive matches (Championship).
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-head:
- matches played - 30;
- both teams scored (all-time) - 18 times;
- at the home side's ground - 10 times.
Stats: Derby County vs Cardiff
- matches played this season: 1 vs 1;
- season matches with both teams scoring (BTTS): 1 vs 1;
- Derby County: BTTS at home - 0 (0%);
- Cardiff: BTTS away - 0 (0%).
Last 10 matches:
- matches with BTTS: 7 vs 7;
- Derby County: BTTS at home - 2 (40%);
- Cardiff: BTTS away - 4 (100%).
- Derby County have scored and conceded in each of their last 5 matches.
- Cardiff have scored and conceded in 6 of their last 7 matches.
⭐ Editor's Pick
Cardiff City have a strong chance of avoiding defeat in this Championship match, backed by a psychological edge and the better start to the season. In an emotional opening-round fixture, Cardiff snatched a crucial draw thanks to Rubin Colwill's goal in the 98th minute to level at 1-1, showing real character while dominating possession (68%). Derby, meanwhile, began the season with a home defeat to Charlton (1-2). Despite a goal from high-profile signing Sammy Szmodics, Derby threw away their lead and conceded twice late on. The last meeting between these two, in January 2025, ended in a 2-1 win for Cardiff. Our prediction: Double Chance - X2. Score prediction: 1-1.