Philadelphia Union vs New York Red Bulls Prediction 22 July 2026
🔊 The contrast in current form and league standing between Philadelphia Union and New York Red Bulls is hard to miss: the hosts sit bottom of the Eastern Conference in MLS, winless in their last five, while the visitors are comfortably in the playoff spots. The motivation gap is real. New York Red Bulls are pushing to stay among the leaders; Philadelphia Union are well off the pace and, at this point, have little to play for.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between these two sides took place 16 August 2025 last season and ended in a 1-0 win for Red Bulls. Here's the comparative stats from that game (home side - New York Red Bulls):
- possession: 51% vs 49%;
- corners: 1 vs 2;
- fouls: 13 vs 8;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 0;
- shots on target: 2 vs 1.
📊 Philadelphia Union and New York Red Bulls have met 49 times. The hosts have won 21, the visitors 17, with 11 draws. Over the last three seasons, the head-to-head record favours Philadelphia - five wins, against one for the visitors, with two draws in regular time. Union's average goals scored over that stretch is 1.63; Red Bulls' is a more modest 0.63.
Head-to-head statistics Philadelphia Union - New York Red Bulls
Philadelphia Union Team Overview
Philadelphia Union had a rough stretch before the break - one win in their last ten, with four draws and five losses. Over that same run, they were averaging 1.5 goals per game, but conceding 2.1 - one of the worst defensive records in the league at this point in the season. As for the playoff race, they're too far back on points to make it matter.
Match Results: Philadelphia Union
NY Red Bulls Team Overview
New York Red Bulls come into this match in decent shape after May: four wins, two draws and four defeats from ten games - competitive enough. They averaged 1.8 goals scored per match in that stretch, though the defence has been far from solid, conceding around 2.1 per game. They're sitting right inside the playoff spots and have every reason to hold that position through the regular season - motivation isn't an issue, and that tends to show at both ends of the pitch.
Match Results: NY Red Bulls
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 49;
- home team wins - 21, away team wins - 17, draws - 11.
Statistics: Philadelphia Union vs NY Red Bulls
- matches played in the tournament: 15 vs 15;
- wins: 1 vs 6;
- win percentage: 7% vs 40%;
- losses: 10 vs 5;
- draws: 4 vs 4.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 1 vs 4;
- losses: 5 vs 4;
- draws: 4 vs 2.
- NY Red Bulls won with a +1.5 handicap in 12 of last 14 away games against Philadelphia Union.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.39, the guests - 1.18;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.57;
- both teams scored: overall - 24; at the home team's field - 14.
Statistics: Philadelphia Union vs NY Red Bulls
- average total in the tournament: 3.2 vs 3.8;
- average total goals scored: 1.2 vs 1.67;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.47 vs 0.8;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.73 vs 0.87;
- Philadelphia Union: average total at home in the tournament - 0.5;
- NY Red Bulls: average total away in the tournament - 1.5;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.5 (home - 0.33) vs 1.8 (away - 1.5).
- NY Red Bulls have scored under 1.5 goals in 8 of last 9 away games against Philadelphia Union.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 49;
- both teams scored all-time - 24 times;
- on the home team’s field - 14 times.
Statistics: Philadelphia Union vs NY Red Bulls
- number of matches played in the tournament: 15 vs 15;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 10 vs 11;
- number of BTTS matches for Philadelphia Union at home - 3 (50%);
- number of BTTS matches for NY Red Bulls away - 7 (88%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 7 vs 8;
- BTTS matches for Philadelphia Union at home - 1 (33%);
- BTTS matches for NY Red Bulls away - 3 (75%).
- NY Red Bulls have scored and conceded in 12 of last 14 games.
- NY Red Bulls have scored and conceded in 8 of last 9 away games (MLS).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (20/223, 9%);
- Philadelphia Union at home most often finish matches: 0:0 , 1:2 (2/6, 33.3%);
- NY Red Bulls away most often play: 1:2 (2/8, 25%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 10.45% (odds 8)
1:0 - 10.2% (odds 10)
2:1 - 9.54% (odds 8)
⭐ Editor's Prediction
The most consistent trend involving New York Red Bulls is goals at both ends - they score regularly and give up chances to opponents in almost every recent match, regardless of who they're playing or where. With Philadelphia Union's shaky defence in the mix, the case for both teams scoring gets even stronger. The hosts concede at home, the visitors rarely keep clean sheets away or at home given how they've been playing going forward. Main bet: Both Teams To Score - Yes. The bookmakers seem to be overrating the hosts quite a bit, so we'll go with a 1-1 draw.
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Betting Tips: Philadelphia Union - NY Red Bulls
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Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
