Coritiba vs Palmeiras Prediction 22 July 2026
🔊 Matchday 19 of the Brazilian Série A brings Coritiba and Palmeiras together at Couto Pereira. The hosts come in with a six-match unbeaten run at home in the league. Palmeiras, sitting top of the table after 18 rounds, are in the title race and need to stay there. The two sides are moving in different directions right now - Coritiba holding steady in the top seven, Palmeiras trying to protect first place. A confident home side against a team with everything to play for. Palmeiras are the favourites.
Head-to-Head
The last official meeting between these two sides took place on 22 October 2023 and ended 0-2. Here's how the stats looked that day (Coritiba were the home side):
- possession: 45% vs 55%;
- corners: 3 vs 6;
- fouls: 13 vs 18;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 3 vs 6.
📊 Head-to-head stats from official meetings between Coritiba and Palmeiras:
- 29 matches played;
- home wins - 11, away wins - 12, draws - 6;
- goals - 32 vs 32;
- average first-half total - 0.97, second-half - 1.24;
- average total goals per match - 2.21.
Head-to-head statistics Coritiba - Palmeiras
Coritiba FC PR Team Overview
Their last official match was played on in the Série A (Flamengo at home, Coritiba away). The match ended 3-0.
Match stats (Coritiba vs Flamengo):
- possession: 38% vs 62%;
- corners: 4 vs 6;
- fouls: 2 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 3;
- shots on target: 2 vs 9.
Coritiba have been solid at home in Série A - six matches without a defeat on their own ground (three wins, three draws). At Couto Pereira, Fernando Seabra's side have been noticeably stronger after the break: they've scored in the second half in five consecutive home games. Across all competitions over the last ten matches, it's three wins, three draws and four defeats.
They're averaging 1.3 goals scored per game, though the defence has been leaky - 1.6 conceded per match on average. There's plenty at stake in the table too: Coritiba sit seventh, four points off the Copa Libertadores places. One more thing worth keeping in mind - in head-to-head meetings with Palmeiras, Coritiba have scored under 1.5 goals in 7 of the last 8 matches.
Match Results: Coritiba FC PR
Palmeiras Team Overview
Their last official match was played in the Série A (Palmeiras at home, Chapecoense away). The match ended 1-0.
Match stats (Palmeiras vs Chapecoense):
- possession: 48% vs 52%;
- corners: 3 vs 2;
- fouls: 9 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 4 vs 3.
Abel Ferreira's side sit top of the league, seven points clear of Flamengo - who have a game in hand. Going into the World Cup break, Palmeiras had won three straight. Like last season, the São Paulo club are still in the running for three major trophies: Série A, the Copa do Brasil and the Copa Libertadores.
Defensively, Palmeiras are the best team in the division - just 13 goals conceded. They've also scored 30, second only to Flamengo. That said, they haven't always been prolific: in 7 of their last 8 Série A rounds, they scored no more than once. Still, they find a way to get on the scoresheet - they've scored at least once in 13 of their last 14 matches across all competitions.
Match Results: Palmeiras
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-head:
- played - 29;
- home wins - 11, away wins - 12, draws - 6.
Stats: Coritiba vs Palmeiras
- matches in the tournament: 18 vs 18;
- wins: 7 vs 12;
- win rate: 39% vs 67%;
- losses: 6 vs 1;
- draws: 5 vs 5.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 3 vs 5;
- losses: 4 vs 1;
- draws: 3 vs 4.
- Coritiba cover the +1.5 handicap at home in 12 of their last 14 head-to-head meetings.
- Coritiba cover the +1.5 handicap at home in 19 of their last 20 matches.
- Coritiba have covered the +1.5 handicap at home in 8 straight matches (Série A).
Total Prediction
Head-to-head (average total):
- home side - 1.1, away side - 1.1;
- in head-to-head matches - 2.21;
- both teams scored: all time - 10 times; at the home side's ground - 5 times.
Average total stats: Coritiba vs Palmeiras
- in the tournament: 2.67 vs 2.39;
- goals scored: 1.33 vs 1.67;
- 1st half: 0.61 vs 1;
- 2nd half: 0.72 vs 0.67;
- Coritiba: at home in the tournament - 1.25;
- Palmeiras: away in the tournament - 1.56;
- last 10 matches: 1.3 (home - 1.75) vs 1.8 (away - 2.2).
- Palmeiras have scored under 1.5 goals in 7 of their last 8 matches (Série A).
Corners Prediction
Coritiba: Stats
- season: average total in the tournament - 3.22; at home - 2.75;
- last 10 matches: average total - 3.2; at home - 3.
Palmeiras: Stats
- season: average total in the tournament - 6, away - 6;
- last 10 matches: average total - 6.5; away - 8.2.
- Palmeiras have taken over 5.5 corners in 7 straight head-to-head meetings (Série A).
Both Teams To Score Prediction
Head-to-head:
- played - 29;
- both teams scored all time - 10 times;
- at the home side's ground - 5 times.
Stats: Coritiba vs Palmeiras
- played in the tournament: 18 vs 18;
- season matches where both teams scored (BTTS): 8 vs 11;
- Coritiba: BTTS at home - 4 (50%);
- Palmeiras: BTTS away - 5 (56%).
Last 10 matches:
- BTTS matches: 4 vs 6;
- Coritiba: BTTS at home - 2 (50%);
- Palmeiras: BTTS away - 3 (60%).
Correct Score Prediction
Most common scorelines (current season):
- most frequent score in the tournament: 1:1 (27/182, 14.8%);
- Coritiba at home most often finish: 0:1, 1:1 (2/8, 25%);
- Palmeiras away most often play: 0:1 (2/9, 22.2%).
Based on stats and probability distribution, the algorithm's top 3 predicted outcomes:
1:1 - 13.46% (odds 6)
0:1 - 11.35% (odds 6.5)
1:2 - 9.38% (odds 8.5)
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Palmeiras enter the match as the league leaders and clear favorites, but the trip to Curitiba is unlikely to be straightforward. Coritiba are unbeaten at home in their last six league matches. Another important factor is Palmeiras' recent scoring record. Despite sitting at the top of Serie A, Abel Ferreira's side have failed to score more than one goal in seven of their last eight league matches. Considering these factors, the most attractive betting option is Palmeiras team total under 1.5 goals. Predicted score: 0-1.
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Betting Tips: Coritiba FC PR - Palmeiras
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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