England vs Italy Prediction

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The main thing

    🔊 On July 22, the Women's Euro 25 semifinal will feature two contrasting journeys: England, with their winner's mentality and experience in crucial stages, and Italy, who have made a surprising yet well-deserved rise to the top of the continent. Both teams have navigated their own challenging paths, but now the stakes are higher than ever. Italy have stunned many by reaching the last four for the first time in nearly three decades. Their success is built on tactical discipline and swift attacking transitions, which paid off notably in their dramatic quarterfinal victory over Norway. England, on the other hand, showcased their character as true top contenders by clawing back in a tough match against Sweden to secure their semifinal spot. The emotional intensity, class, and squad depth make them a formidable opponent for any team. The semifinal promises to be intense and tactically rich. Who will advance to the final-Italy's calculated precision or England's relentless determination? We delve into this in our insightful prediction.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 The England and Italy women's national teams have faced each other in three official matches. Here's the breakdown:

    • Goals: 8 for the hosts and 3 for the visitors;
    • Average total goals per match: 3.67.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    100%
    4 Wins
    0%
    0 Draws
    0%
    0 Wins
    Total games
    4
    Total Goals Avg
    3.5
    Both teams scored
    75%
    2.5
    Total average
    1
    0.5
    Yellow cards
    1
    Last matches
    22.07.25
    European Ch.ship Women
    England (W)
    England (W)
    Italy (W)
    Italy (W)
    1.81
    1.11
    10
    3
    18
    8
    2
    3
    2
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1.81
    1.11
    10
    3
    18
    8
    2
    3
    27.02.24
    Int. Friendly Games W
    England (W)
    England (W)
    Italy (W)
    Italy (W)
    5
    1
    3
    1
    2
    0
    19.02.23
    Arnold Clark Cup, Women
    England (W)
    England (W)
    Italy (W)
    Italy (W)
    -
    -
    5
    2
    -
    -
    -
    -
    2
    1
    -
    -
    5
    2
    -
    -
    -
    -
    07.04.17
    Int. Friendly Games W
    England (W)
    England (W)
    Italy (W)
    Italy (W)
    1
    1
    05.03.14
    Cyprus Women Cup
    England (W)
    England (W)
    Italy (W)
    Italy (W)
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
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    England (W) Team Overview

    The team's last official match took place on during the quarter-finals of the Women's European Championship, with Sweden (W) as the hosts and England (W) as the visitors. The match ended in a 2-2 draw.

    Here are the game statistics (England (W) vs Sweden (W)):

    • possession: 60% vs 40%;
    • corners: 6 vs 6;
    • fouls: 17 vs 15;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
    • shots on target: 4 vs 7.

    ⚪ England's women's national team clinched a victory over Sweden in the Euro 2025 quarterfinals - via penalties, after a rollercoaster match in Zurich. By halftime, it seemed all was lost for the English side. Just two minutes in, they conceded from a free-kick. Twenty minutes later, they were down 0-2. The defense struggled, the midfield was sluggish, and the attack seemed to be asleep. The Swedes dominated, playing powerfully and confidently, as if they already knew the outcome.

    🔴 But England are not a team that gives up. Sarina Wiegman made perhaps the most crucial substitutions of her coaching career. Chloe Kelly and the young Michelle Agyemang, just 19 years old, took to the field and changed the game. In just a couple of minutes, two goals were scored. Lucy Bronze headed in a cross from Kelly, and Agyemang netted the second herself. Such composure at her age! With the score tied at 2-2, the match turned into a fierce battle for every inch of the pitch. In extra time, it was no longer about technique - it was all about willpower.

    ⭐ The penalty shootout was nerve-wracking to the extreme. Nine(!) misses between the two teams - it was madness. But when a Swedish player missed the final kick and Lucy Bronze calmly converted her decisive penalty, England erupted. On the pitch, in the stands, in front of screens - the victory was hard-fought and all the sweeter for it.

    🔝 Special mention goes to goalkeeper Hannah Hampton. A player who had long been in the shadow of other keepers, she stepped up and saved her team - making at least two crucial saves in the shootout. After the match, Wiegman called it "the toughest game I have ever watched." And it's hard to disagree with her.

    Match Results: England (W)

    Last matches
    05.06.26
    WC Qualification Women
    Spain (W)
    Spain (W)
    England (W)
    England (W)
    -
    -
    3
    3
    9
    4
    0
    0
    4
    0
    2
    0
    2
    0
    -
    -
    3
    3
    9
    4
    0
    0
    L
    18.04.26
    WC Qualification Women
    Iceland (W)
    Iceland (W)
    England (W)
    England (W)
    -
    -
    6
    8
    10
    7
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    6
    8
    10
    7
    0
    0
    W
    14.04.26
    WC Qualification Women
    England (W)
    England (W)
    Spain (W)
    Spain (W)
    -
    -
    2
    8
    6
    5
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    2
    8
    6
    5
    2
    1
    W
    07.03.26
    WC Qualification Women
    England (W)
    England (W)
    Iceland (W)
    Iceland (W)
    -
    -
    7
    1
    4
    10
    0
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    7
    1
    4
    10
    0
    0
    W
    03.03.26
    WC Qualification Women
    Ukraine (W)
    Ukraine (W)
    England (W)
    England (W)
    -
    -
    0
    11
    7
    5
    1
    0
    1
    6
    0
    0
    1
    6
    -
    -
    0
    11
    7
    5
    1
    0
    W
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    Italy (W) Team Overview

    The visitors played their last official match on in the quarterfinals of the Women's European Championship, where Norway (W) hosted Italy (W). The match concluded with a 1-2 scoreline.

    Here are the match statistics (Italy (W) vs Norway (W)):

    • possession: 50% vs 50%;
    • corners: 7 vs 7;
    • fouls: 2 vs 10;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
    • shots on target: 6 vs 1.

    🔵 In the quarterfinal clash against Norway, Italy delivered arguably their most mature and emotionally charged performance of the tournament. This was a game not about pressure, but about resilience-and in this aspect, the Azzurri proved themselves as a team capable of withstanding adversity. The goalkeeper, defense, and midfield operated in harmony-no panic, just full concentration.

    ⚪ The match began nervously: the Norwegians applied intense pressure on the flanks, pushing the Italian defense to its limits. Yet, it is in such situations that Soncini's team's mentality shines through. Italy did not falter-they endured, searched for their moment, and seized it when it came.

    ⭐ The star of the evening was the seasoned forward Cristiana Girelli, who netted a brace. Girelli once again reminded everyone why she is the captain and backbone of this team in crucial moments. Even amidst chaos, they maintained their structure and composure.

    🔝 A 2-1 victory is more than just a scoreline. It's a statement: Italy can win not only with flair but also with tactical acumen. In this match, they transitioned from being delightful surprises to serious contenders.

    Match Results: Italy (W)

    Last matches
    05.06.26
    WC Qualification Women
    Italy (W)
    Italy (W)
    Serbia (W)
    Serbia (W)
    -
    -
    7
    2
    5
    11
    1
    1
    3
    0
    0
    0
    3
    0
    -
    -
    7
    2
    5
    11
    1
    1
    W
    18.04.26
    WC Qualification Women
    Denmark (W)
    Denmark (W)
    Italy (W)
    Italy (W)
    -
    -
    5
    12
    8
    8
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    5
    12
    8
    8
    0
    1
    D
    14.04.26
    WC Qualification Women
    Serbia (W)
    Serbia (W)
    Italy (W)
    Italy (W)
    -
    -
    1
    10
    -
    -
    0
    0
    0
    6
    0
    3
    0
    3
    -
    -
    1
    10
    -
    -
    0
    0
    W
    07.03.26
    WC Qualification Women
    Italy (W)
    Italy (W)
    Denmark (W)
    Denmark (W)
    -
    -
    4
    4
    13
    14
    3
    0
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    4
    4
    13
    14
    3
    0
    D
    03.03.26
    WC Qualification Women
    Italy (W)
    Italy (W)
    Sweden (W)
    Sweden (W)
    -
    -
    5
    1
    14
    18
    5
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    5
    1
    14
    18
    5
    1
    L
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    Latest news

    England (W)

    🎙 England head coach Sarina Wiegman: "It was an emotional, dramatic evening. A real rollercoaster. We were down 2-0 but fought our way back. The team showed tremendous fighting spirit. It was incredible! Tonight, we want to enjoy this victory. We'll start thinking about the semifinals tomorrow."

    Italy (W)

    🎙 Head coach Andrea Soncin: "We are truly proud. Credit must go to those who have worked towards this over the past years. We are reaping the rewards of their efforts. What the girls have achieved is extraordinary. We'll savor this moment and in just a few minutes, we'll start thinking about the semifinals. I told the girls to soak it all in-everything has been amazing from the very first minute. We need to keep living this dream."

    Outcome Prediction

    Head-to-Head:

    • Number of encounters - 3;
    • Home wins - 3, Away wins - 0, Draws - 0.

    Statistics: England (W) vs Italy (W)

    • Matches played in the tournament: 3 vs 3;
    • Wins: 3 vs 2;
    • Win percentage: 75% vs 50%;
    • Losses: 1 vs 1;
    • Draws: 0 vs 1.

    Last 10 Matches:

    • Wins: 5 vs 5;
    • Losses: 5 vs 2;
    • Draws: 0 vs 3.
    Trends
    • Italy (W) win with a +1.5 handicap in 20 of their last 21 matches.
    👉 Prediction: Italy (W) Handicap (+1.5)(odds: 1.64)

    Total Goals Prediction

    Head-to-Head:

    • Today's home team average goals - 2.67, away team - 1;
    • Average total goals in head-to-head - 3.67;
    • Both teams scored: overall - 2 times; at home team's ground - once.

    Statistics: England (W) vs Italy (W)

    • Average total in the tournament: 4.5 vs 2.5;
    • Average goals scored: 3.25 vs 1.25;
    • Average total in the first half: 1.5 vs 0.5;
    • Average total in the second half: 1.75 vs 0.75;
    • England (W): average total at home in the tournament - 0;
    • Italy (W): average total away in the tournament - 1;
    • Last 10 matches (average total): 3.1 (home - 4.8) vs 1.8 (away - 1.86).
    Trends
    • England (W) score more than 1.5 goals in 8 of their last 9 matches (Women's European Championship).
    👉 Prediction: England (W) Total goals Over (1.5)(odds: 1.53)

    Cards Prediction

    England (W): Statistics

    • Season: average total in the tournament - 0.75; at home - 0;
    • Last 10 matches: average total - 1; at home - 0.4.

    Italy (W): Statistics

    • Season: average total in the tournament - 1.5, away - 2;
    • Last 10 matches: average total - 1.1; away - 1.43.
    👉 Prediction: Yellow Cards - Total Under (2.5)

    Both Teams to Score Prediction

    Head-to-Head:

    • Number of encounters - 3;
    • Both teams scored overall - twice;
    • At home team's ground - once.

    Statistics: England (W) vs Italy (W)

    • Matches played in the tournament: 3 vs 3;
    • Matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 3 vs 3;
    • BTTS for England (W) at home - 0 (0%);
    • BTTS for Italy (W) away - 1 (50%).

    Last 10 Matches:

    • Matches with BTTS: 7 vs 5;
    • BTTS for England (W) at home - 2 (40%);
    • BTTS for Italy (W) away - 4 (57%).
    👉 Prediction: Both Teams To Score (Yes)(odds: 1.8)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    For the English team, the match against Italy presents a different challenge. The Italians are less aggressive than the Swedes but play with great structure and maintain their focus. They excel at wing play and possess dangerous long-range shots, so England will need to strategically organize their midfield and tightly cover the center. If England aims to reach the final, they must start strong-there's no room for taking 45 minutes to "settle in." This means the starting lineup must be precise, with no room for experimentation. Our prediction: over 2.5 goals in the match. England are the favorites based on squad strength, but Italy will defend resolutely until the end. We predict a 2-1 victory for England in regular time, provided they play at least one half at the level we saw in the second half against Sweden.

    Our choice
    Total goals Over (2.5) at odds of -161*
    Everygame
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (20 July 2025, 14:32)

    Betting Tips: England (W) - Italy (W)

    England (W) have won the 2nd half
    england-5in 8 of last 9 games.
    2nd Half England (W) Win
    Everygame
    -111
    England (W) have not lost
    england-5in 9 of last 10 games (European Championship Women).
    England (W) will not lose
    Everygame
    -769
    England (W) have scored
    england-5in 24 of last 25 games.
    england-5in last 10 games (European Championship Women).
    England (W) will score goal
    Everygame
    -833
    Over 1.5 goals scored
    in 14 of last 16 Ivana Martincic games.
    Total goals Over (1.5)
    Everygame
    -357
    View more facts

    England - Italy Table position

    Group stage Group B
    gWDLGDPForm
    1.
    Spain (W)
    Spain (W)
    330014-39
    2.
    Italy (W)
    Italy (W)
    31113-44
    3.
    Belgium (W)
    Belgium (W)
    31024-83
    4.
    Portugal (W)
    Portugal (W)
    30122-81

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    9 - Wins
    0 - Draws
    1 - Lose
    Wins - 4
    Draws - 3
    Loses - 3
    10 matches
    Scored - 25
    Conceded - 10
    +15
    +7
    16 - Scored
    9 - Conceded
    9
    Wins
    4
    0
    Draws
    3
    1
    Loses
    3
    Goal difference
    25
    Scored
    16
    10
    Conceded
    9
    3.5
    Match goals average
    2.5
    2.5
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.6
    1
    Goals conceded per match on average
    0.9
    5
    Both teams scored
    5
    40'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    58'
    View all stats