New-York City vs Сincinnati Prediction 22 April 2026
🔊 The upcoming match promises to be a goal-fest. Both teams showcase an attacking style but struggle defensively. Tournament motivation also plays a significant role-New York City are fighting to improve their standing on the table, while Cincinnati aim to climb out of the lower ranks.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 23 August 2025 and ended with a score of 0-1. Here's a comparative breakdown of the stats from that encounter (Cincinnati were the home side):
- possession: 46% vs 54%;
- corners: 4 vs 4;
- fouls: 8 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 3;
- shots on target: 5 vs 4.
📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between New York City and Cincinnati:
- 19 matches played;
- home team victories - 11, away team wins - 6, draws - 2;
- goals scored - 38 to 26;
- average first-half total - 1.53, second-half - 1.84;
- average total goals per match - 3.37.
Head-to-head statistics New-York City - Сincinnati

New-York City Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in the MLS, with New York City hosting Charlotte. The game ended with a 1-2 scoreline.
Here are the match statistics (New York City vs Charlotte):
- possession: 64% vs 36%;
- corners: 6 vs 1;
- fouls: 7 vs 7;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 4;
- shots on target: 8 vs 5.
New York City have been delivering consistent performances this season. The team boasts a formidable attacking line, evidenced by their average of 1.88 goals per game. In their last nine matches, they have secured four victories and suffered three defeats, highlighting the need to bolster their defense for more assured displays. Their playing style focuses on attacking dominance, but they require greater concentration when it comes to defending their own goal.
Match Results: New-York City

Cincinnati Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on in the MLS, with Cincinnati hosting Chicago Fire. The thrilling encounter ended in a 3-3 draw.
Here's a breakdown of the match statistics (Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire):
- possession: 55% vs 45%;
- corners: 9 vs 1;
- fouls: 11 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 3;
- shots on target: 9 vs 6.
Cincinnati are facing challenges this season but maintain a fighting spirit. The team averages 1.63 goals per match, yet they concede significantly more at 2.38, highlighting defensive issues. In their last ten games, Cincinnati have secured three wins and suffered five losses, reflecting inconsistent results. However, they actively capitalize on attacking opportunities, as evidenced by an average of 2.4 goals scored over the past ten matches. The current task for Cincinnati is to bolster their defense while maintaining their aggressive attacking style.
Match Results: Cincinnati
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 19;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 6; for visitors away - 1; number of draws - 1;
- Average first-half total: 1.53;
- Today's home team scores on average 1.05, while the visitors net 0.47.
First-Half Stats: New-York City (home) vs Cincinnati (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 5 vs 4;
- wins: 2 (40%) vs 0 (0%);
- losses: 0 (0%) vs 1 (25%);
- draws: 3 (60%) vs 3 (75%);
- Average goals scored: 1.6 vs 1.5;
- Average goals conceded: 0.4 vs 1.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 4 vs 2;
- losses: 3 vs 4;
- draws: 3 vs 4;
- Average first-half total: 1.9 (scored - 1.2, conceded - 0.7) vs 1.9 (scored - 0.9, conceded - 1).
- New-York City scored in the 1st half in 8 of last 9 home games against Cincinnati (MLS).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 19;
- home team wins - 11, away team wins - 6, draws - 2.
Statistics: New-York City vs Cincinnati
- matches played in the tournament: 8 vs 8;
- wins: 3 vs 2;
- win percentage: 38% vs 25%;
- losses: 3 vs 4;
- draws: 2 vs 2.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 4 vs 3;
- losses: 4 vs 5;
- draws: 2 vs 2.
- New-York City have not lost in 8 of last 9 home games against Cincinnati (MLS).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 2, the guests - 1.37;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.37;
- both teams scored: overall - 10; at the home team's field - 5.
Statistics: New-York City vs Cincinnati
- average total in the tournament: 3.25 vs 4;
- average total goals scored: 1.88 vs 1.63;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.88 vs 0.5;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1 vs 1.13;
- New-York City: average total at home in the tournament - 2.4;
- Cincinnati: average total away in the tournament - 1;
- last 10 matches (average total): 2.1 (home - 2.4) vs 2.4 (away - 1).
- Cincinnati have scored under 1.5 goals in last 5 games against New-York City (MLS).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 19;
- both teams scored all-time - 10 times;
- on the home team’s field - 5 times.
Statistics: New-York City vs Cincinnati
- number of matches played in the tournament: 8 vs 8;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 6 vs 5;
- number of BTTS matches for New-York City at home - 4 (80%);
- number of BTTS matches for Cincinnati away - 3 (75%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 8 vs 6;
- BTTS matches for New-York City at home - 4 (80%);
- BTTS matches for Cincinnati away - 4 (80%).
- Cincinnati have scored and conceded in last 6 games.
- Cincinnati have scored and conceded in last 5 games (MLS).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:2 (12/118, 10.2%);
- New-York City at home most often finish matches: 1:1 , 1:2 , 2:3 , 3:1 , 5:0 (1/5, 20%);
- Cincinnati away most often play: 1:0 , 1:1 , 4:2 , 6:1 (1/4, 25%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 8.49% (odds 7)
2:1 - 7.96% (odds 8)
2:2 - 7% (odds 12)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Analyzing the current trends, a high-scoring encounter seems likely. The trend for over 2.5 goals is supported by Cincinnati's frequent matches ending with this outcome (6 of the last 7), as well as defensive issues plaguing both teams. Additionally, both sides consistently find the net against their opponents, with Cincinnati on a streak of six consecutive matches doing so. Therefore, betting on over 2.5 goals appears to be the most logical choice.