Velez Sarsfield vs Lanus Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 21 March 2026
📢 What can we expect from the clash between Velez Sarsfield and Lanus in the 12th round of the Primera Division? Velez Sarsfield sit atop the league table, showcasing stability in both defense and attack. Meanwhile, Lanus aim to solidify their position as they currently sit fifth. Both clubs have been delivering high-scoring performances in their recent matches.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 31 August 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 3:0. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Velez Sarsfield):
- ball possession percentage: 51% vs 49%;
- corner kicks: 8 vs 4;
- fouls: 11 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 6 vs 1.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Velez Sarsfield and Atletico Lanus:
- played 41 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 17, for the away team - 13, draws - 11;
- number of goals - 51 against 43;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.07, in the 2nd half - 1.22;
- average total goals in the match - 2.29.
Head-to-head statistics Velez Sarsfield - Lanus

Velez Sarsfield Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Primera Division tournament (home team - Platense, away team - Velez Sarsfield). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:2.
Here's the game statistics (Velez Sarsfield vs Platense):
- ball possession: 49% vs 51%;
- corner kicks: 7 vs 5;
- fouls: 8 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 1;
- shots on target: 6 vs 4.
Vélez Sarsfield are leading the table thanks to their impressive form, boasting six wins and four draws in their last ten matches. The team stands out with a solid defense, conceding just 0.5 goals per game. Their attack is equally effective, averaging 1.2 goals per match, showcasing their ability to dominate on the field. In their last head-to-head encounter, they confidently defeated Lanús with a 3-0 victory.
Match Results: Velez Sarsfield

Atletico Lanus Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Primera Division tournament (home team - Atletico Lanus, away - Newell´s Old Boys). The match concluded with a scoreline of 5:0.
Here are the match stats (Atletico Lanus vs Newell´s Old Boys):
- ball possession: 64% vs 36%;
- corner kicks: 7 vs 0;
- fouls: 14 vs 6;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 0;
- shots on target: 8 vs 2.
Lanús have been performing well on the road, avoiding defeat in six of their last seven away matches and scoring in nearly all of their away games (9 out of 10). This indicates their ability to adapt to opponents' conditions and create chances in the attacking third. However, their defense has room for improvement, as they concede more than one goal per game.
Match Results: Atletico Lanus
Latest news
Velez Sarsfield
Imanol Machuca will miss the match due to suspension. Joaquin Garcia is sidelined until early April with a hamstring injury. Hano Gordon is out for an extended period; he is recovering from an ACL tear and is expected to return by late October.
Atletico Lanus
Felipe Peña Biafore will miss the match due to a hamstring injury. Marcelino Moreno is sidelined until the end of March with a foot injury. Matías Sepúlveda's participation is doubtful because of a muscle injury.
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 41;
- home team wins - 17, away team wins - 13, draws - 11.
Statistics: Velez Sarsfield vs Atletico Lanus
- matches played in the tournament: 10 vs 9;
- wins: 6 vs 4;
- win percentage: 60% vs 44%;
- losses: 0 vs 2;
- draws: 4 vs 3.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 6 vs 5;
- losses: 0 vs 2;
- draws: 4 vs 3.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.24, the guests - 1.05;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.29;
- both teams scored: overall - 17; at the home team's field - 5.
Statistics: Velez Sarsfield vs Atletico Lanus
- average total in the tournament: 1.7 vs 3;
- average total goals scored: 1.2 vs 1.67;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.3 vs 0.78;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.9 vs 0.89;
- Velez Sarsfield: average total at home in the tournament - 1.25;
- Atletico Lanus: average total away in the tournament - 1.4;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.2 (home - 1.25) vs 1.6 (away - 1.4).
- Under 2.5 goals scored in last 6 Velez Sarsfield games (Primera Division).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 41;
- both teams scored all-time - 17 times;
- on the home team’s field - 5 times.
Statistics: Velez Sarsfield vs Atletico Lanus
- number of matches played in the tournament: 10 vs 9;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 5 vs 5;
- number of BTTS matches for Velez Sarsfield at home - 2 (50%);
- number of BTTS matches for Atletico Lanus away - 3 (60%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 5;
- BTTS matches for Velez Sarsfield at home - 2 (50%);
- BTTS matches for Atletico Lanus away - 3 (60%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (26/148, 17.6%);
- Velez Sarsfield at home most often finish matches: 2:1 (2/4, 50%);
- Atletico Lanus away most often play: 0:1 , 1:1 , 2:0 , 2:2 , 2:3 (1/5, 20%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 14.32% (odds 6)
1:0 - 13.19% (odds 5.5)
0:0 - 11.03% (odds 5.95)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Vélez Sarsfield enter the match as favorites, which is quite reasonable given their current standing in the table. Lanús recognize the strength of their opponents and are likely to adopt a more cautious game plan, aiming to minimize risks. Additionally, recent matches involving Vélez have not been high-scoring affairs, with no more than two goals scored in each of their last six games. Against this backdrop, betting on under 2.5 goals seems like a well-founded choice.