Moreirense vs Arouca Prediction 21 March 2026
🔊 The upcoming clash between Moreirense and Arouca promises to be an intriguing contest between two teams in contrasting form phases. Moreirense currently sit in 8th place, aiming to solidify their mid-table position, while Arouca are in 12th, looking to boost their performance. The teams show varying levels of scoring prowess: Moreirense struggle in attack, whereas Arouca often find themselves in high-scoring encounters.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 02 November 2025 and ended with a 0-2 scoreline. Here's a comparative look at the stats from that encounter (Arouca were the home side):
- possession percentage: 59% vs 41%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 2;
- fouls: 11 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 2;
- shots on target: 2 vs 5.
📊 Statistical preview of the official encounters between Moreirense and Arouca:
- 14 matches played;
- home wins - 8, away wins - 4, draws - 2;
- goals scored - 19 against 16;
- average goals in the 1st half - 1.36, in the 2nd half - 1.14;
- average goals per match - 2.5.
Head-to-head statistics Moreirense - Arouca
Moreirense Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in the Primeira Liga, with Porto playing at home against Moreirense. The match ended with a 3-0 victory for Porto.
Here are the match statistics (Moreirense vs Porto):
- possession: 42% vs 58%;
- corners: 1 vs 4;
- fouls: 13 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 2 vs 9.
Moreirense aim to solidify their position in the middle of the table. However, their current form is far from ideal: the club has managed just one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five matches. Offensively, they struggle, averaging only 0.8 goals per game over the past ten fixtures. On the defensive end, they are equally shaky, conceding around 1.4 goals per match. Moreirense's motivation in the league is to maintain a spot above the mid-table, but to achieve this, they need to improve their results.
Match Results: Moreirense
Arouca Team Overview
The visitors played their last official match on in the Primeira Liga, where Arouca hosted Benfica. The match ended with a 1-2 scoreline.
Here are the game stats (Arouca vs Benfica):
- possession: 39% vs 61%;
- corners: 2 vs 15;
- fouls: 18 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 5 vs 5;
- shots on target: 6 vs 5.
Arouca have been inconsistent in their performances, often involved in high-scoring affairs. Over their last five matches, they secured just one win and suffered four losses, highlighting their current struggles. Despite these challenges, Arouca frequently engage in goal-laden encounters, averaging 1.6 goals scored per game over their last ten outings. Defensively, they remain vulnerable, conceding approximately 2.12 goals per match-far above the acceptable threshold for a team aiming to climb higher up the standings. From a league perspective, the squad is eager to improve their position and escape the danger zone.
Match Results: Arouca
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 14;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 5; for visitors away - 1; number of draws - 1;
- Average first-half total: 1.36;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.93, while the visitors net 0.43.
First-Half Stats: Moreirense (home) vs Arouca (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 12 vs 13;
- wins: 1 (8.33%) vs 2 (15.38%);
- losses: 3 (25%) vs 6 (46.15%);
- draws: 8 (66.67%) vs 5 (38.46%);
- Average goals scored: 0.83 vs 1.92;
- Average goals conceded: 0.5 vs 1.31.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 1 vs 3;
- losses: 3 vs 5;
- draws: 6 vs 2;
- Average first-half total: 0.7 (scored - 0.2, conceded - 0.5) vs 1.6 (scored - 0.7, conceded - 0.9).
- Moreirense scored in the 1st half in 7 of last 8 games against Arouca.
- Moreirense scored in the 1st half in 6 of last 7 games against Arouca (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 14;
- home team wins - 8, away team wins - 4, draws - 2.
Statistics: Moreirense vs Arouca
- matches played in the tournament: 26 vs 26;
- wins: 10 vs 7;
- win percentage: 38% vs 27%;
- losses: 11 vs 14;
- draws: 5 vs 5.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 3 vs 4;
- losses: 5 vs 6;
- draws: 2 vs 0.
- Moreirense have not lost in 7 of last 8 games against Arouca (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.36, the guests - 1.14;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.5;
- both teams scored: overall - 8; at the home team's field - 4.
Statistics: Moreirense vs Arouca
- average total in the tournament: 2.65 vs 3.38;
- average total goals scored: 1.19 vs 1.27;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.42 vs 0.54;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.77 vs 0.73;
- Moreirense: average total at home in the tournament - 1.33;
- Arouca: average total away in the tournament - 1.15;
- last 10 matches (average total): 0.8 (home - 0.8) vs 1.6 (away - 1.33).
- Arouca have scored under 1.5 goals in last 5 games against Moreirense.
Prediction on corners
Moreirense: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.73; at home field - 4.17;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.1; at home field - 3.4.
Arouca: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.54, away - 3.08;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.3; away - 3.67.
- Arouca have taken over 4.5 corners in 7 of last 8 games against Moreirense (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 14;
- both teams scored all-time - 8 times;
- on the home team’s field - 4 times.
Statistics: Moreirense vs Arouca
- number of matches played in the tournament: 26 vs 26;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 13 vs 14;
- number of BTTS matches for Moreirense at home - 7 (58%);
- number of BTTS matches for Arouca away - 7 (54%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 6;
- BTTS matches for Moreirense at home - 2 (40%);
- BTTS matches for Arouca away - 3 (50%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (24/232, 10.3%);
- Moreirense at home most often finish matches: 1:0 , 1:2 , 2:1 (2/12, 16.7%);
- Arouca away most often play: 3:1 (3/13, 23.1%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 12.97% (odds 6)
1:0 - 9.08% (odds 7.5)
2:1 - 8.34% (odds 9)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Considering the trend of over 2.5 goals in Arouca's matches and their high scoring rate, betting on this outcome seems justified. Arouca frequently features in high-scoring games, as evidenced by their average of 1.6 goals per game over the last ten matches. Meanwhile, their defense remains a weak link, increasing opponents' chances of success. Moreirense also struggles defensively, conceding around 1.4 goals per match. An open game with plenty of chances at both ends is expected.
No comments
Betting Tips: Moreirense - Arouca
in 7 of last 8 games against Arouca..svg)
in 7 of last 8 games against Arouca (Primeira Liga).
in 14 of last 16 Moreirense home games (Primeira Liga).in last 6 Moreirense games (Primeira Liga).in 7 of last 8 Moreirense games against Arouca.in 6 of last 7 Moreirense games against Arouca (Primeira Liga).in last 12 Moreirense games (Primeira Liga).in last 5 Moreirense home games (Primeira Liga).
Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
