Auxerre vs Brest Prediction 21 March 2026
🔊 Can Auxerre make a push to escape the relegation zone? On Saturday, in the 27th round of Ligue 1, Brest visit Auxerre. The hosts are currently in a more precarious position in the standings, and they're reaching a point where losing is not an option if they hope to remain in the top flight next season. But what does the visiting team think about this? Read on for a prediction on this match.
Head-to-Head
📊 Auxerre and Brest have had mixed results in their head-to-head encounters, but there's a notable trend - often one team leaves the pitch without scoring. This has been the case in 3 of their last 4 meetings.
Head-to-head statistics Auxerre - Brest
Auxerre Team Overview
🔵 Auxerre are currently in a tough spot, languishing in the relegation zone, and climbing out seems a daunting task. They trail the safety spot by eight points, a gap that appears insurmountable given Christophe Pélissier's side's current form. However, even within the relegation zone, there is a 16th spot that leads to a playoff rather than direct relegation, so they must fight until the end.
⚪ Auxerre have not won in the league for four matches, managing only two points during this stretch. Their lack of scoring is particularly concerning-just 2 goals in 4 games, and only 19 goals all season, the worst tally in Ligue 1. In their latest outing, Christophe Pélissier's men suffered a narrow defeat to Marseille (0-1).
Match Results: Auxerre
Stade Brest Team Overview
🔴 Brest recently saw their six-match unbeaten streak come to an end, falling to Monaco (0-2) in their last outing. Despite the loss to the Monégasques, the match was fairly competitive. Eric Roy's side frequently attacked down the flanks, delivering eight corners and attempting 13 shots, with one on target. Given Monaco's current form, the result was hardly a surprise.
⚪ Prior to this defeat, Brest secured three consecutive clean sheet victories against Le Havre (2-0), Metz (1-0), and Marseille (2-0). Throughout the season, Eric Roy's team has been delivering steady, measured performances that consistently earn points. While their style may not be the most entertaining, it's certainly pragmatic, allowing Brest to maintain a comfortable mid-table position.
Match Results: Stade Brest
Latest news
Auxerre
❌ Auxerre are facing some squad issues, though they aren't deemed critical. The main potential absence is defender Lamine Sy, who fell ill ahead of the match against Brest. It's uncertain if the medical staff can get him fit in time. Additionally, Lasso Coulibaly, Oussama El Azzouzi, and Nathan Buayi-Kiala are confirmed to miss out, as they have been in recovery for some time and the coaching staff hasn't been counting on their return.
Stade Brest
❌ Brest's major setback ahead of the match against Auxerre is the suspension of their key forward Ludovic Ajorque due to an accumulation of yellow cards. Ajorque has netted five goals in the last six rounds. Similarly, defender Brendan Chardonnet, who has played every minute of the last 10 matches, will also be absent for the same reason. Additionally, injuries will sideline Bradley Locko and Mama Baldé.
🟨 Yellow Card Prediction
The upcoming match will be officiated by Hakim Ben El Salem Hadj. Over the course of 100 games, he averages 3.64 yellow cards per match with 25 fouls. In the French Championship, Auxerre averages 2.2 yellow cards per game, while Brest averages 1.7 over 26 matches. Both teams have shown discipline this season, and Hakim Ben El Salem Hadj isn't quick to brandish cards. Therefore, we suggest betting on total yellow cards under 4.5.
⚽️ Goal Prediction
Auxerre's average individual total in the French Championship is 0.7 goals per match, while Brest's is higher at 1.3. The overall scoring in their matches is low: 2.1 for the home side and 2.7 for the visitors. Considering this data and their head-to-head results, we recommend betting on total match goals under 3.
🚩 Corner Prediction
In Ligue 1, Auxerre averages 4.8 corners per game over 26 matches, while Brest's average is slightly lower at 4.2. Both teams don't frequently earn corner kicks and have statistics slightly below the league average. Thus, we suggest betting on total corners under 9.5.
Editorial Prediction
This season, Auxerre have struggled to adapt to the demands of the French championship. The team lacked the resources to bring in new players, and with their current squad, escaping the relegation zone seems impossible. Their low scoring rate is particularly concerning. Brest, on the other hand, have been inconsistent in their performances, as evidenced by their recent goalless defeat. We anticipate a match with few highlights, so we're betting on both teams to score (no). Our predicted scoreline is a 1-0 victory for Brest.
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Betting Tips: Auxerre - Stade Brest
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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