Porto vs Rio Ave Prediction 22 February 2026
🔊 The upcoming clash between Porto and Rio Ave promises to be intriguing, given the current form of both sides. Porto are confidently leading the league, showcasing impressive performances both offensively and defensively. In their last ten matches, the club have secured seven victories with only one defeat. On the other hand, Rio Ave are going through a tough spell, having lost their last five encounters. Their motivation will be driven by the need to climb up the standings.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 19 September 2025 and ended with a 0-3 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of that encounter (Rio Ave were the home side):
- possession: 48% vs 52%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 10;
- fouls: 11 vs 18;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- shots on target: 2 vs 7.
📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Porto and Rio Ave:
- 41 matches played;
- home victories - 32, away victories - 1, draws - 8;
- total goals - 93 for Porto, 26 for Rio Ave;
- average goals in the first half - 1.22, in the second half - 1.68;
- average total goals per match - 2.9.
Head-to-head statistics Porto - Rio Ave
Porto Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in the Primeira Liga, with Nacional de Madeira hosting Porto. The game concluded with a scoreline of 0-1.
Here's a breakdown of the match statistics (Porto vs Nacional de Madeira):
- possession percentage: 53% vs 47%;
- corner kicks: 8 vs 5;
- fouls: 11 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 4;
- shots on target: 5 vs 2.
Porto, sitting atop the league standings, are showcasing impressive form and remarkable consistency. The Dragons have secured 19 wins in 22 matches this season. Their average scoring rate is nearly 2 goals per game, while their defense is exceptional, conceding less than one goal per match. In their last five outings, Porto have claimed victory in three, underscoring their confidence and strength. The team is also adept at controlling the pace of play and executing successful attacking maneuvers, thanks to a formidable forward line.
Match Results: Porto
Rio Ave Team Overview
The visitors played their last official match on in the Primeira Liga, with Rio Ave hosting Moreirense. The game concluded with a 1-2 scoreline.
Here are the match statistics (Rio Ave vs Moreirense):
- possession: 60% vs 40%;
- corners: 7 vs 1;
- fouls: 16 vs 24;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
- shots on target: 6 vs 3.
Rio Ave are languishing at the bottom of the table, a testament to their current struggles. The team is in poor form, having suffered five consecutive defeats. This season, the club has managed just four wins and frequently struggles with scoring, averaging only 1.05 goals per game. Defensively, the situation is even more concerning, as they concede nearly two goals per match. However, trends suggest that Rio Ave have the ability to avoid heavy losses against stronger opponents, particularly when playing away.
Match Results: Rio Ave
Latest news
Porto
🎙 Porto secured a 1-0 victory over Nacional in the 22nd round of the league, and Francesco Farioli expressed his delight as his team honored the memory of Jorge Nuno Pinto da Costa by dedicating the win to him on a special day for the fans: "We had some good moments in the first half. The opening minutes were tough against a very strong team that poses many challenges for opponents at home. We played well, deserved the win on this special day, and we want to dedicate this victory to President Jorge Nuno Pinto da Costa. We are pleased to have honored his memory."
🔴 Samu has successfully undergone surgery. The Spanish forward had an operation on the anterior cruciate ligament of his right knee, which was performed in Madrid by Dr. Manuel Leyes in direct coordination and under constant supervision of Porto's medical team. The surgery went smoothly without any complications. The player now faces a standard recovery process under the club's medical department's watchful eye.
❌ The "Dragons" are dealing with a lengthy injury list. Out of action are defenders Jakub Kiwior, Nehuén Pérez, and Martim Fernandes. In attack, Samu will miss out, along with Luuk de Jong, who has been recovering from injury for some time now.
Rio Ave
❌ Rio Ave will be without Brandon Aguilera. It's their only absence, but a crucial one.
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 41;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 10; for visitors away - 0; number of draws - 11;
- Average first-half total: 1.22;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.85, while the visitors net 0.37.
First-Half Stats: Porto (home) vs Rio Ave (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 10 vs 11;
- wins: 7 (70%) vs 2 (18.18%);
- losses: 0 (0%) vs 5 (45.45%);
- draws: 3 (30%) vs 4 (36.36%);
- Average goals scored: 1 vs 0.82;
- Average goals conceded: 0 vs 0.55.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 3 vs 1;
- losses: 2 vs 6;
- draws: 5 vs 3;
- Average first-half total: 0.9 (scored - 0.5, conceded - 0.4) vs 1.2 (scored - 0.3, conceded - 0.9).
- Porto scored in the 1st half in 8 of last 9 home games against Rio Ave (Primeira Liga).
- Rio Ave conceded in the 1st half in 8 of last 9 games (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 41;
- home team wins - 32, away team wins - 1, draws - 8.
Statistics: Porto vs Rio Ave
- matches played in the tournament: 22 vs 22;
- wins: 19 vs 4;
- win percentage: 86% vs 18%;
- losses: 1 vs 10;
- draws: 2 vs 8.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 7 vs 2;
- losses: 1 vs 7;
- draws: 2 vs 1.
- Rio Ave won with a +2.5 handicap in last 7 away games against Porto.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 2.27, the guests - 0.63;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.9;
- both teams scored: overall - 19; at the home team's field - 7.
Statistics: Porto vs Rio Ave
- average total in the tournament: 2.27 vs 3;
- average total goals scored: 1.95 vs 1.05;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.77 vs 0.45;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1.18 vs 0.59;
- Porto: average total at home in the tournament - 2;
- Rio Ave: average total away in the tournament - 1.09;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.5 (home - 2) vs 0.8 (away - 0.8).
- Porto have not conceded in last 5 home games against Rio Ave.
- Porto have not conceded in last 4 home games against Rio Ave (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on corners
Porto: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.5; at home field - 5.3;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.3; at home field - 6.
Rio Ave: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.91, away - 3.64;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.9; away - 3.8.
- Rio Ave have taken over 1.5 corners in 7 of last 8 away games against Porto.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 41;
- both teams scored all-time - 19 times;
- on the home team’s field - 7 times.
Statistics: Porto vs Rio Ave
- number of matches played in the tournament: 22 vs 22;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 6 vs 12;
- number of BTTS matches for Porto at home - 3 (30%);
- number of BTTS matches for Rio Ave away - 7 (64%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 4 vs 4;
- BTTS matches for Porto at home - 2 (40%);
- BTTS matches for Rio Ave away - 2 (40%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (20/198, 10.1%);
- Porto at home most often finish matches: 1:0 , 3:0 (2/10, 20%);
- Rio Ave away most often play: 1:1 , 1:2 , 4:0 (2/11, 18.2%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
2:0 - 14.62% (odds 6)
1:0 - 12.78% (odds 8.5)
3:0 - 12.26% (odds 6)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Team form and recent match statistics suggest that Porto remain the clear favorites in this matchup. The "Dragons" are showcasing high-scoring performances and a solid defense, particularly at home. On the other hand, Rio Ave are in a tough spot, with a string of defeats dragging on. However, historically, the club has shown an ability to avoid heavy losses against strong opponents away from home. Considering the trend of Rio Ave winning with a handicap (+2.5) in head-to-head encounters, it's reasonable to predict that the visitors might avoid a major defeat and capitalize on their chances through counterattacks.No comments
Betting Tips: Porto - Rio Ave
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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