Mainz vs St. Pauli Prediction 22 February 2025
🔊 In the upcoming Bundesliga match, Mainz hosts St. Pauli, and it promises to be an interesting encounter. Mainz, who are unbeaten at home in seven consecutive matches, will be looking to solidify their position at the top of the table. St. Pauli, on the other hand, is at the lower end of the standings and needs points to maintain its place in the elite. The odds for a Mainz victory are 1.88, making them the favorite. However, St. Pauli is known for its resilience and is capable of surprising. It is expected that both teams will play cautiously but with an emphasis on attack to secure the much-needed points.
Head-to-Head
📊Officially, the teams Mainz and St. Pauli have played only one match. The meeting took place on 05 October 2024 at the home ground of St. Pauli and ended with a score of 0:3.
Head-to-head statistics Mainz - St. Pauli

FSV Mainz Team Overview
Mainz is demonstrating confident play on their home field, remaining unbeaten in seven consecutive matches. The team is in the European competition zone and is striving to consolidate their position. Mainz's average scoring rate is 1.5 goals per match, indicating a strong attacking game. However, their defense is also solid, conceding only 1 goal per game on average. In the last ten matches, the "Carnival Club" has secured five victories, highlighting their stability. It's also worth noting that Mainz rarely scores more than 2.5 goals at home, which may indicate a balanced approach to the game. Bo Henriksen's squad relies on ball control and gradual development of attacks.
Match Results: FSV Mainz

FC St. Pauli Team Overview
St. Pauli are facing difficulties this season, occupying a position at the lower end of the table, which is not surprising for a Bundesliga newcomer. The team's form leaves much to be desired, with only three victories in the last ten matches. In the October head-to-head against Mainz, the "League Pirates" suffered a defeat (0:3), highlighting their vulnerability. The team's average scoring rate is just 0.8 goals per game, indicating problems in attack. Despite this, Alexander Blessin's squad often wins with a +1.5 handicap, which could be a key factor in their match strategy. The team will aim to utilize counterattacks and set pieces to create threats on the opponent's goal.
Match Results: FC St. Pauli
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 1;
- home team wins - 1, away team wins - 0, draws - 0.
- FC St. Pauli wins with a handicap of +1.5 in 7 of the last 8 Bundesliga games.
Prediction on the over/under
Statistics: Mainz vs St. Pauli
- average total in the tournament: 2.68 vs 1.95;
- average total goals scored: 1.59 vs 0.82;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.95 vs 0.36;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.64 vs 0.45;
- Mainz: average total at home in the tournament - 1.27;
- St. Pauli: average total away in the tournament - 1;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.5 (home - 1.5) vs 0.8 (away - 0.8).
- There have been over 1.5 goals scored in 16 of the last 17 FSV Mainz home games in the Bundesliga.
- There have been over 1.5 goals scored in 17 of the last 18 FSV Mainz home games.
Prediction on corners
Mainz: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.82; at home field - 6;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.3; at home field - 4.5.
St. Pauli: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.73, away - 3.64;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.7; away - 4.
- FC St. Pauli has taken over 2.5 corners in 6 of the last 7 Bundesliga games.
Prediction on cards
Mainz: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.14; at home - 2.27;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.2; at home - 2.5.
St. Pauli: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.32, away - 1.45;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.2; away - 1.4.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 1;
- both teams scored all-time - 0 times;
- on the home team’s field - 0 times.
Editorial Prediction
In the upcoming match between Mainz and St. Pauli, a tense battle is expected. Mainz, with its stable home performance and good form, is the favorite for the match. St. Pauli, despite its issues, should not be underestimated: its ability to play with a +1.5 handicap could be decisive. Considering the trends and team statistics, the most likely outcome seems to be a Mainz win or draw (double chance 1X).