Internacional vs Gremio Prediction
🔊 On Sunday, September 21, Porto Alegre will host one of the most intense derbies in Brazilian football - the "Grenal." At the Beira-Rio Stadium, Internacional and Grêmio will clash in a match always brimming with emotion, passion, and unpredictable twists. Internacional currently sit 12th in the Serie A standings, while Grêmio are in 14th place, making a victory crucial for both sides. A tense tactical battle is expected, much like their first-round encounter which ended in a hard-fought draw at Arena Grêmio. Internacional are considered the favorites, but in the Grenal, predictions mean little - it's all about character, experience, and readiness to fight. Fans are sure to witness a true football spectacle filled with brilliant moments and emotions that make this derby special.
Head-to-Head
The last official clash between the teams took place on 20 April 2025 and ended in a 1-1 draw. Here's a comparative breakdown of that encounter (Grêmio were the home side):
- possession: 40% vs 60%;
- corners: 3 vs 7;
- fouls: 14 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 6 vs 3;
- shots on target: 2 vs 5.
📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Internacional and Grêmio:
- 68 matches played;
- home victories - 22, away victories - 23, draws - 23;
- goals scored - 63 for Internacional, 70 for Grêmio;
- average first-half total - 0.82, second-half - 1.13;
- average total goals per match - 1.96.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Internacional Team Overview
The last official match took place on as part of the Serie A tournament (hosts - Palmeiras, visitors - Internacional). The match concluded with a 4-1 scoreline.
Here are the match statistics (Internacional vs Palmeiras):
- possession percentage: 39% vs 61%;
- corners: 1 vs 7;
- fouls: 16 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- shots on target: 3 vs 8.
🔴 In the last round of Serie A, Internacional suffered a heavy away defeat to Palmeiras, losing 4-1. The hosts netted four goals in the first half, with Vitor Roque scoring a hat-trick and Lucas Evangelista adding a fourth. In the second half, Joan Carbonero managed to slightly reduce the deficit, but couldn't change the course of the match.
⚪ Following this setback, the "Reds" remain in 12th place in the standings with 27 points. Over the last four rounds, the team has secured just one victory while suffering three defeats, highlighting their inconsistency and defensive issues. Ahead of the derby against Gremio, Internacional need to regain their confidence and demonstrate their readiness to compete for higher positions.
Match Results: Internacional
Gremio Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on in the Serie A tournament, facing Gremio away from home. The match concluded with a 0-1 scoreline.
Here are the match stats (Gremio vs Mirasol):
- possession: 56% vs 44%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 3;
- fouls: 13 vs 15;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 5 vs 6.
🔵 In the previous Serie A round, Gremio fell to Mirassol at home, losing 0-1. The only goal of the match was scored in the 45th minute of the first half. Despite dominating possession and launching several attacks, the hosts couldn't find a way past the opposing goalkeeper.
⚫ Following this defeat, Gremio remain in 14th place in the standings with 25 points. Over their last four matches, they've managed just one win, alongside two draws and one loss. Their away form is even more concerning: in 11 matches, Gremio have secured only two victories, drawn three times, and suffered six defeats, with a goal difference of 11:18. Ahead of their derby against Internacional, Gremio need to step up their game to try and surpass their fierce rivals in the league table.
Match Results: Gremio
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-head Matches:
- Total encounters - 68;
- First-half wins at home - 11; away - 5; draws - 17;
- Average first-half total: 0.82;
- Today's home team averages 0.38 goals, while the visitors average 0.44.
First-half Stats: Internacional (home) vs Grêmio (away)
- Matches played in the tournament: 11 vs 11;
- Wins: 3 (27.27%) vs 3 (27.27%);
- Losses: 5 (45.45%) vs 5 (45.45%);
- Draws: 3 (27.27%) vs 3 (27.27%);
- Average goals scored: 1.27 vs 1.18;
- Average goals conceded: 0.73 vs 0.73.
Last 10 Matches (overall):
- Wins: 1 vs 1;
- Losses: 6 vs 3;
- Draws: 3 vs 6;
- Average first-half total: 1.8 (scored - 0.5, conceded - 1.3) vs 0.8 (scored - 0.3, conceded - 0.5).
- Internacional have lost the first half at home in 5 of their last 6 matches.
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head:
- Total encounters - 68;
- Home wins - 22, Away wins - 23, Draws - 23.
Statistics: Internacional vs Gremio
- Matches played in the tournament: 22 vs 22;
- Wins: 7 vs 6;
- Win percentage: 32% vs 27%;
- Losses: 9 vs 9;
- Draws: 6 vs 7.
Last 10 Matches:
- Wins: 2 vs 2;
- Losses: 7 vs 4;
- Draws: 1 vs 4.
- Gremio have won with a +1.5 handicap in 17 of their last 18 matches (Serie A).
- Gremio have won with a +1.5 handicap in 10 consecutive matches.
- Gremio have won with a +1.5 handicap away in 8 of their last 9 matches (Serie A).
- Gremio have won with a +1.5 handicap away in 5 consecutive matches.
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head:
- Today's home team average goals scored - 0.93, away team - 1.03;
- Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 1.96;
- Both teams scored: all-time - 29 times; at the home team's ground - 13 times.
Statistics: Internacional vs Gremio
- Average total in the tournament: 2.68 vs 2.14;
- Average goals scored: 1.18 vs 0.91;
- Average first-half total: 0.59 vs 0.5;
- Average second-half total: 0.59 vs 0.41;
- Internacional: average home total in the tournament - 1.27;
- Gremio: average away total in the tournament - 1;
- Last 10 matches (average total): 1.1 (home - 1) vs 0.8 (away - 1).
- Internacional have scored under 1.5 goals at home in 8 of their last 9 matches.
- Internacional have scored under 1.5 goals at home in 7 of their last 8 matches (Serie A).
Corners Prediction
Internacional: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 5.36; at home - 6.45;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 4.1; at home - 4.6.
Gremio: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 3.82, away - 4.09;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 3.8; away - 2.6.
- Internacional have taken fewer than 6.5 corners in 9 of their last 10 matches.
Cards Prediction
Head-to-Head
- Average total yellow cards in head-to-head matches - 4.56 (2.28 for home team and 2.28 for away team);
- Average total yellow cards at the home ground - 4.81 (2.39 for home team and 2.42 for away team).
Internacional: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 1.91; at home - 1.27;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 2.7; at home - 2.4.
Gremio: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 2.86, away - 2.82;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 2.6; away - 2.6.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head:
- Total encounters - 68;
- Both teams scored all-time - 29 times;
- At the home team's ground - 13 times.
Statistics: Internacional vs Gremio
- Total matches played in the tournament: 22 vs 22;
- Total matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 14 vs 12;
- BTTS for Internacional at home - 6 (55%);
- BTTS for Gremio away - 7 (64%).
Last 10 Matches:
- Total BTTS matches: 8 vs 5;
- BTTS for Internacional at home - 4 (80%);
- BTTS for Gremio away - 3 (60%).
- Internacional have both scored and conceded in their last eight matches (Serie A).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Internacional, looking to bounce back after a heavy defeat to Palmeiras, are expected to play aggressively on their home turf. Grêmio, with just one win in their last four matches and significant struggles on the road, are unlikely to showcase high scoring. The head-to-head history of the "Grenal" rivalry shows that the "Reds" often come out on top at Beira-Rio: Internacional have won four of the last five encounters, with one match ending in a draw. Considering the average total goals in their clashes (1.96), a total under 2.5 goals seems a reasonable bet, having been successful in the last five head-to-head meetings.
Betting Tips: Internacional - Gremio
in 5 of last 6 home games..svg)
in 11 of last 12 Internacional home games.in 7 of last 8 Internacional home games (Serie A).in 10 of last 11 Gremio games.in 8 of last 9 Gremio games (Serie A).in last 10 games (Serie A).in 8 of last 9 home games (Serie A).in 11 of last 12 games.in 10 of last 11 games (Serie A).in last 7 away games.in last 6 Internacional games (Serie A).
Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
