Botafogo vs Atl. Mineiro Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 20 September 2025
🔊 Saturday brings an exciting Serie A showdown as Botafogo host Atletico Mineiro in the 24th round. The home side are eager to regain stability and reaffirm their ambitions, while the visitors from Belo Horizonte aim to secure points and distance themselves from the relegation zone. Two teams with contrasting styles but a shared hunger for victory will clash at "Olimpico Nilton Santos." It promises to be a match full of character, where every detail could prove decisive.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 20 April 2025 and ended with a 1-0 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of that encounter (home team - Atlético Mineiro):
- possession: 55% vs 45%;
- corners: 8 vs 4;
- fouls: 13 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 2;
- shots on target: 6 vs 2.
📊 Statistical preview of the official encounters between Botafogo and Atlético Mineiro:
- 50 matches played;
- wins for the home side - 25, for the visitors - 16, draws - 9;
- goals scored - 78 against 56;
- average total in the first half - 1.06, in the second half - 1.62;
- average total goals per match - 2.68.
Head-to-head statistics Botafogo - Atl. Mineiro
Botafogo FR Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on as part of the Serie A, a rescheduled 12th round fixture (Botafogo hosted Mirassol). The game ended in a 3-3 draw.
Here are the match statistics (Botafogo vs Mirassol):
- possession: 51% vs 49%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 5;
- fouls: 18 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 1;
- shots on target: 4 vs 6.
⚫ In a rescheduled Serie A match from the 12th round, Botafogo and Mirassol played out an electrifying 3-3 draw. The hosts built a comfortable 3-0 lead in the first half with goals from Jefferson Savarino, Chris Ramos, and Álvaro Montoro. However, Mirassol showcased their resilience in the second half, netting three quick goals to claw back and secure a point.
⭐ For Botafogo, this marks their third consecutive match without a victory, two of which are in Serie A. They remain in 5th place on the table with 36 points, still in contention for a Copa Libertadores spot. Up next is a clash against Atletico Mineiro, where the hosts will aim to break their winless streak and get back on track.
Match Results: Botafogo FR
Atletico Mineiro Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on in the South American Cup quarter-finals - first leg (home team: Club Bolívar, away team: Atlético Mineiro). The game ended in a 2-2 draw.
Here's the match statistics (Atlético Mineiro vs Club Bolívar):
- possession percentage: 26% vs 74%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 7;
- fouls: 16 vs 8;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 0;
- shots on target: 4 vs 7.
⚫ Atlético Mineiro continue to struggle, as they haven't tasted victory in six consecutive matches across all competitions: four losses and two draws. On September 14th, in Serie A, the Brazilian side drew 1-1 with Santos at the Arena MRV. After a goalless first half, Santos were reduced to ten men in the 55th minute, and Igor Gomes put Atlético ahead. However, late in the game, Tiquinho Soares converted a penalty to deny the hosts a win.
🏆 A few days later, the team traveled to Bolivia for the first leg of the Copa Sudamericana quarterfinal against Bolívar (2-2). Atlético took the lead twice but allowed Bolívar to equalize, even though the Bolivian side played with ten men from the 57th minute and missed a penalty in the 70th. The match ended in yet another draw. In Serie A, Atlético sit in 13th place with 25 points from 21 matches. Their next challenge is a tough away game against Botafogo, where they will aim to break their disappointing streak and get back to winning ways.
Match Results: Atletico Mineiro
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 50;
- Home wins - 25, Away wins - 16, Draws - 9.
Statistics: Botafogo vs Atlético Mineiro
- Matches played in the tournament: 22 vs 21;
- Wins: 10 vs 6;
- Win percentage: 45% vs 29%;
- Losses: 6 vs 8;
- Draws: 6 vs 7.
Last 10 Matches:
- Wins: 4 vs 2;
- Losses: 4 vs 5;
- Draws: 2 vs 3.
- Atlético Mineiro cover a +1.5 handicap away in 16 of their last 18 matches.
- Atlético Mineiro cover a +1.5 handicap in 15 of their last 17 matches (Serie A).
- Atlético Mineiro cover a +1.5 handicap away in 9 of their last 10 matches (Serie A).
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Today's home team average goals - 1.56, away team - 1.12;
- Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 2.68;
- Both teams scored: overall - 23 times; at home team's ground - 12 times.
Statistics: Botafogo vs Atlético Mineiro
- Average total in the tournament: 2.27 vs 2.19;
- Average goals scored: 1.5 vs 1;
- Average first-half total: 0.73 vs 0.29;
- Average second-half total: 0.77 vs 0.71;
- Botafogo: average home total in the tournament - 1.91;
- Atlético Mineiro: average away total in the tournament - 0.75;
- Last 10 games (average total): 1.8 (home - 1.8) vs 0.8 (away - 0.67).
- Total over 1.5 goals has hit in 7 of the last 8 head-to-head matches at the home ground (Serie A).
- Total over 1.5 goals has hit in 6 of Botafogo's last 7 matches.
Corners Prediction
Botafogo: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 4.82; at home - 5.45;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 4.9; at home - 5.8.
Atlético Mineiro: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 6.71, away - 5.67;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 4.6; away - 4.83.
- Total under 10.5 corners has hit in 8 of Atlético Mineiro's last 9 matches.
Cards Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches
- Average total yellow cards in head-to-head matches - 3.16 (1.58 for the home team and 1.58 for the away team);
- Average total yellow cards at the home ground - 2.83 (1.5 for the home team and 1.33 for the away team).
Botafogo: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 2; at home - 1.73;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 1.6; at home - 1.2.
Atlético Mineiro: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 2.48, away - 2.58;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 2.9; away - 2.83.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 50;
- Both teams have scored overall - 23 times;
- At the home team's ground - 12 times.
Statistics: Botafogo vs Atlético Mineiro
- Total matches played in the tournament: 22 vs 21;
- Total matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): Botafogo - 6, Atlético Mineiro - 10;
- BTTS for Botafogo at home - 5 (45%);
- BTTS for Atlético Mineiro away - 5 (42%).
Last 10 Matches:
- Total BTTS matches: Botafogo - 5, Atlético Mineiro - 5;
- BTTS for Botafogo at home - 3 (60%);
- BTTS for Atlético Mineiro away - 2 (33%).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Both teams enter the match with attacking issues and a string of poor results: Botafogo haven't won in three consecutive games, while Atletico Mineiro are winless in their last six across all competitions. In the standings, the hosts sit in 5th place, with the visitors at 13th, giving Botafogo a slight edge in terms of motivation and home advantage.
The head-to-head record generally favors Botafogo, but recent encounters have been evenly matched, with both sides exchanging victories and drawing frequently. Given their current form, the intense midfield competition, and defensive instability on both ends, we expect a low-scoring affair with cautious tactical play. Prediction: under 2.5 goals - a bet that has hit in 6 of the last 8 head-to-head meetings between these teams.
No comments
Betting Tips: Botafogo FR - Atletico Mineiro
in 17 of last 19 home games.in 8 of last 9 games (Serie A).in last 6 games.
in 6 of last 7 Botafogo FR games against Atletico Mineiro (Serie A).in 7 of last 8 Atletico Mineiro away games.in 6 of last 7 Atletico Mineiro games.in 7 of last 8 Botafogo FR home games against Atletico Mineiro (Serie A).in 6 of last 7 Botafogo FR games.in 11 of last 12 games.in last 9 games (Serie A).Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
