Auxerre vs Toulouse Prediction 21 September 2025
🔊 Can Toulouse secure an away victory against Auxerre? This Sunday, these teams will face off in the fifth round of the French Championship. Both clubs have been on a losing streak recently, making it crucial for them to break their unfortunate series of defeats. Bookmakers suggest that both sides have equal chances of winning, but is that really the case? Let's delve into the details of this matchup and make a well-founded prediction on its outcome.
Head-to-Head
📊 Recently, Toulouse have been performing exceptionally well against Auxerre, remaining unbeaten since 2021. In their last six encounters, the "Violets" have either drawn or won.
Head-to-head statistics Auxerre - Toulouse

Auxerre Team Overview
🔵 This season, Auxerre have only managed to secure points in one match, defeating Lorient 1-0 in the opening round of Ligue 1. Since then, Christophe Pélissier's side have struggled to find their form, suffering defeat after defeat, which has seen them slip to 15th place in the standings, perilously close to the relegation zone.
⚪ In their most recent outing, Auxerre hosted Monaco and had a chance for a remarkable comeback despite being a man down. However, a late goal dashed their hopes, resulting in a 2-1 loss. Statistically, Pélissier's men were outplayed: possession (33% to 67%), shots on target (2 to 3), corners (5 to 8), and xG (0.69 to 1.46). It's worth noting that Auxerre have scored just three goals this season, one of which was an own goal by their opponents.
Match Results: Auxerre

Toulouse Team Overview
🟣 Toulouse have kicked off the current season in style, securing back-to-back victories over Nice (1-0) and Nantes (2-0). Every line of the team excelled during these matches: a potent attack with numerous shots on goal and a solid defense that opponents struggled to break. However, the fixture list soon presented tougher challenges!
🔴 In their last two outings, Carles Martinez's squad faced off against league heavyweights PSG and Lille. Despite putting up a valiant fight, they fell 3-6 and 1-2, respectively. In the clash with Les Dogues, Toulouse could have picked up points; they held the lead until Alexis Vossa's red card left them vulnerable, allowing two goals past the Violets. Overall, Toulouse's performance in these recent rounds was impressive, even if it didn't translate into points on the table.
Match Results: Toulouse
Latest news
Auxerre
🟥 Forward Josué Casimir will miss the upcoming game against Toulouse due to suspension. In the last match against Monaco, he received two yellow cards and was sent off in the 68th minute.
❌ Defender Clément Akpa's participation in the upcoming fixture is doubtful due to a groin injury. He played in the first three rounds of Ligue 1 but missed the recent match against Monaco as he was already troubled by this issue.
Toulouse
🟥 Midfielder Alexis Vossa will miss the upcoming match against Auxerre due to suspension. In the clash with Lille (Matchday 4), he received a straight red card in the 80th minute and was sent off.
❌ Algerian midfielder Rafik Messali will be unavailable to assist his teammates in the upcoming game due to injury. In the last match against Lille (Matchday 4), he came on as a substitute in the second half but left the field after 18 minutes due to an injury.
🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards
The upcoming match will be officiated by Marc Bollengier. On average, over his 68-game career, he hands out 3.26 yellow cards per match, with 27 fouls per game. In the last five matches, the yellow card stats for the teams are as follows: Auxerre averages 2.4 per game, while Metz averages 2. Both teams tend to receive a fair number of cautions, making a bet on total yellow cards over 4 a reasonable choice.
⚽️ Goal Prediction
In the current French championship, Auxerre scores an average of 0.75 goals per game. The team has actually netted only two goals, with one being credited as an own goal. Christophe Pelissier's squad struggles in attack, so an abundance of precise strikes is unlikely. We suggest considering a bet on Auxerre's individual total under 1.5.
🚩 Corner Prediction
This season, Auxerre has delivered 22 corners, averaging 5.5 per game. Toulouse's numbers are slightly lower, with 18 corners earned (4.5 on average per match), but it's important to note that "Les Violets" recently faced PSG and Lille. Both teams frequently take corners, so we're placing a bet on total corners over 8.5.
Editorial Prediction
Auxerre are currently on a three-game losing streak with an almost non-existent attack-goals are rare and hard-fought when they do come by. Toulouse have secured two victories this season and put in two commendable performances against top-table teams. Overall, Carles Martinez's squad leaves a very positive impression, and we predict the visitors will clinch a 2-1 win in the upcoming match. For betting purposes, we've opted for a safer choice than just a win-Toulouse to avoid defeat.
