Liverpool vs Cerro Prediction 21 August 2026
🔊 Liverpool Montevideo and Cerro are closing out the season in a match with little at stake: the hosts are settled in mid-table, while the visitors sit bottom with nothing meaningful to play for. Liverpool have shown some consistency in their last five matches but have rarely been prolific. Cerro are finishing the campaign with mixed results and have shown no real improvement in attack. With both sides averaging few goals and no tournament pressure to speak of, this looks like a pragmatic affair - how it unfolds will largely depend on the current form of both attacking lines.
Head-to-Head
The last official meeting between the sides took place on 12 July 2026 and ended 1-2. Here are the key stats from that match (Liverpool Montevideo were the home side):
- Possession: 63% vs 37%;
- Corners: 4 vs 2;
- Yellow cards: 3 vs 3.
📊 Liverpool Montevideo and Cerro have met 40 times in official competition. The hosts have won 13 of those matches, while Cerro have come out on top in 19, with 8 ending in draws. Cerro also hold the edge in goals scored - 52 to Liverpool's 44. On average, the two sides produce 0.85 goals in the first half and 1.55 in the second, giving an overall match average of 2.4 goals.
Head-to-head statistics Liverpool - Cerro
Liverpool Montevideo Team Overview
Their most recent competitive match was played on in the Primera División, with Defensor Sporting as the home side and Liverpool Montevideo as the visitors. The match ended 0-4.
Match statistics (Liverpool Montevideo vs Defensor Sporting):
- Possession: 49% vs 51%;
- Corners: 4 vs 8;
- Yellow cards: 5 vs 4;
- Shots on target: 8 vs 4.
Liverpool Montevideo are finishing the season without anything to play for and sit comfortably in mid-table. In their last five matches they have won three, drawn one and lost one - a decent run, but not a particularly prolific one. Their home scoring average is modest: 1.32 goals per game across the season, and that figure drops to just one goal per game over their last ten matches. The key trend is a consistent pattern of low scoring at home - they have scored fewer than 1.5 goals in six of their last seven home league matches. That reflects both a lack of motivation to push for the top and a pragmatic wind-down to the season.
Match Results: Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro Team Overview
The visiting side's most recent competitive match took place on in the Primera, with Cerro at home and Albion as the visitors. The match ended 2-1.
Match stats (Cerro vs Albion):
- Possession: 34% vs 66%;
- Corners: 1 vs 4;
- Yellow cards: 0 vs 0;
- Shots on target: 5 vs 4.
Cerro are finishing the season in last place with nothing left to play for. Their recent form looks surprisingly good for a bottom-side - four wins from their last five matches, with just one defeat - but over the ten games before that they won five and lost five, so the inconsistency is still there. Their attacking output remains one of the lowest in the league: 0.68 goals per game across the season and 0.9 over their last ten matches. Defensively they continue to leak goals regularly, conceding an average of 1.41 per game in the league and 1.5 over their last ten. Even with the recent run of results, there is little to suggest the attack has become genuinely effective.
Match Results: Cerro
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-head:
- matches played - 40;
- first-half wins for the home side - 3; for the away side - 3; draws - 13;
- average first-half total: 0.85;
- today's hosts average 0.4 goals in the first half, the away side 0.45.
First-half stats: Liverpool Montevideo (home) vs Cerro (away)
- matches played in the competition: 10 vs 11;
- wins: 1 (10%) vs 1 (9.09%);
- losses: 1 (10%) vs 6 (54.55%);
- draws: 8 (80%) vs 4 (36.36%);
- average goals scored: 1 vs 1.45;
- average goals conceded: 0.5 vs 1.
Last 10 matches (overall):
- wins: 3 vs 3;
- losses: 2 vs 2;
- draws: 5 vs 5;
- average first-half total: 1.1 (scored - 0.6, conceded - 0.5) vs 1.4 (scored - 0.7, conceded - 0.7).
- Liverpool Montevideo have drawn the first half in 10 consecutive head-to-head matches against this opponent (Primera).
- Liverpool Montevideo have drawn the first half at home in 5 consecutive head-to-head matches against this opponent (Primera).
- Liverpool Montevideo have drawn the first half at home in 6 consecutive matches (Primera).
⚽️ Goals Prediction
Head-to-head (average totals):
- home team - 1.1, away team - 1.3;
- in head-to-head matches - 2.4;
- both teams scored: all time - 21 times; at the home team's ground - 9 times.
Average total stats: Liverpool Montevideo vs Cerro
- in the league: 2.27 vs 2.09;
- goals scored: 1.32 vs 0.68;
- first half: 0.82 vs 0.41;
- second half: 0.5 vs 0.27;
- Liverpool Montevideo at home in the league - 1.1;
- Cerro away in the league - 0.64;
- last 10 matches: 1 (home - 0.5) vs 0.9 (away - 0.83).
- Liverpool Montevideo have scored under 1.5 goals at home in 6 of their last 7 league matches (Primera).
🚩 Corners Prediction
Liverpool Montevideo: Statistics
- season: average tournament total - 4.55; at home - 4.4;
- last 10 matches: average total - 5; at home - 4.75.
Cerro: Statistics
- season: average tournament total - 2.91; away - 2.82;
- last 10 matches: average total - 2.4; away - 1.67.
- Cerro have taken fewer than 3.5 corners in five consecutive head-to-head matches against this opponent (Primera).
- Cerro have taken fewer than 3.5 corners in seven consecutive away matches (Primera).
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-head:
- matches played - 40;
- both teams scored (all-time) - 21 times;
- at the home side's ground - 9 times.
Stats: Liverpool Montevideo vs Cerro
- matches played this season: 15 vs 15;
- matches with both teams scoring (BTTS): 9 vs 8;
- Liverpool Montevideo: BTTS at home - 3 (30%);
- Cerro: BTTS away - 5 (45%).
Last 10 matches:
- BTTS matches: 3 vs 4;
- Liverpool Montevideo: BTTS at home - 1 (25%);
- Cerro: BTTS away - 3 (50%).
Correct Score Prediction
Most frequent scorelines this season:
- most common scoreline in the competition: 0-1 (27/185, 14.6%);
- Liverpool Montevideo at home most often finish matches: 0-0 (3/10, 30%);
- Cerro away most often play out: 3-0 (2/11, 18.2%).
Based on statistical data and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1-0 - 15.47% (odds 5.5)
2-0 - 12.03% (odds 6.5)
1-1 - 10.98% (odds 7.5)
⭐ Editor's Pick
The overall picture here points towards a cautious match from both sides. Liverpool Montevideo are finishing the season without any pressure, and their home scoring record is modest - they consistently stay within 1.5 goals in the majority of their home matches. That trend is backed up by their broader numbers: their goals-per-game average across the season is low, particularly over recent fixtures. Cerro have one of the least effective attacks in the league and equally have no competitive reason to take risks. Given the consistent pattern of low scoring from the hosts at home and the absence of any sporting stakes, the editor's main pick is Liverpool Montevideo Team Total - Under 1.5. We're predicting a final score of 1-0.
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Betting Tips: Liverpool Montevideo - Cerro
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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