Dundalk vs Galway Prediction 21 August 2026
🔊 Dundalk will host Galway United in round 28 of the League of Ireland. The hosts, after returning to the Premier Division, are holding on in the upper half of the table, while Galway are right alongside them and still have a chance to move higher. The two teams come into this match with very different recent form: Dundalk have not won in their last six league matches, while Galway have gone six games in a row without a defeat.
Head-to-Head
📊 In three head-to-head league matches this season, Dundalk are yet to lose to Galway: in March the teams drew 2:2, in April Dundalk won 2:1 at home, and in June they won away 1:0. Galway have just one win in their last five official meetings with this opponent.
Head-to-head statistics Dundalk - Galway
Dundalk Team Overview
Dundalk are going through a difficult spell right now. After draws with St Patrick's and Sligo Rovers, the team lost to Shamrock Rovers 2:3, having also previously lost to Drogheda, Shelbourne and Waterford. That said, in terms of playing quality Dundalk don't look like a team that's easy to beat: they have scored in 16 consecutive matches across all competitions. The problem at the moment is more about consistency.
Dundalk regularly create chances but concede too many dangerous situations around their own goal. At home this matters especially: the hosts will have to take the game to the opposition, while Galway prefer to use space for quick attacks. Going into the round 28 match, Kieran Kilduff's team are in confident mood: in the Irish Cup round of 16, Dundalk demolished Castlebar Celtic 8:0.
Match Results: Dundalk
Galway United Team Overview
Galway come into this match in a more settled state. The team have gone four rounds without a defeat: a 3-2 win over Sligo Rovers was followed by three draws - 0-0 with Waterford, 1-1 with Bohemians and 0-0 with Drogheda. As you can see, the defining feature of their recent matches has been a sharp drop in scoring. In the last three rounds Galway have scored just one goal and finished goalless twice. The defence has been working reliably enough, while the attack has lacked efficiency.
Galway therefore look much more like a team that relies on compact play and patience than one ready to get involved in an open shootout. The Tribesmen's last match is proof of that: last week in the national Cup, John Caulfield's side only managed to get past First Division side Bray Wanderers on penalties (1-1 after 120 minutes, 5-3 on penalties).
Match Results: Galway United
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-head:
- played - 8;
- first-half wins for the home side (at home) - 0; for the away side (away) - 1; draws - 2;
- average first-half total: 1.13;
- today's home side average 0.13 goals scored, the away side - 1.
First-half stats: Dundalk (home) vs Galway United (away)
- played in the tournament: 13 vs 13;
- wins: 6 (46.15%) vs 3 (23.08%);
- losses: 2 (15.38%) vs 4 (30.77%);
- draws: 5 (38.46%) vs 6 (46.15%);
- average goals scored total: 1.08 vs 1.23;
- average goals conceded total: 0.31 vs 0.77.
Last 10 matches (overall):
- wins: 5 vs 3;
- losses: 2 vs 2;
- draws: 3 vs 5;
- average first-half total: 2 (scored - 1.3, conceded - 0.7) vs 1.2 (scored - 0.6, conceded - 0.6).
- Dundalk have scored in the first half in 8 of their last 9 matches.
- Dundalk have scored in the first half in 6 of their last 7 matches (Premier Division).
Total Prediction
Head-to-head matches (average total):
- home side - 0.75, away side - 1.75;
- in head-to-head matches - 2.5;
- both teams scored: all time - 3 times; at the home team's ground - 1 time.
Average total statistics: Dundalk vs Galway United
- in the tournament: 3.07 vs 2.81;
- goals scored: 1.56 vs 1.27;
- 1st half: 0.81 vs 0.46;
- 2nd half: 0.74 vs 0.81;
- Dundalk: at home in the tournament - 1.69;
- Galway United: away in the tournament - 1.08;
- last 10 matches: 2.2 (home - 3) vs 1.2 (away - 0.67).
- Under 3.5 goals landed in 6 of the last 7 head-to-head matches between these sides (Premier Division).
Corners Prediction
Head-to-head matches
- average total corners in head-to-head matches - 11.76 (6.13 for the home side and 5.63 for the away side);
- average total corners at the home ground - 12.33 (6 for the home side and 6.33 for the away side).
Dundalk: Statistics
- season: average total in the league - 6.22; at home - 6;
- last 10 matches: average total - 8.1; at home - 10.75.
Galway United: Statistics
- season: average total in the league - 4.58, away - 4.69;
- last 10 matches: average total - 4.8; away - 3.67.
- Galway United have taken more than 3.5 corners in 7 of the last 8 head-to-head meetings between these sides.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-head matches:
- played - 8;
- both teams scored across all meetings - 3 times;
- at the home team's ground - 1 time.
Stats: Dundalk vs Galway United
- matches played in the tournament: 27 vs 26;
- season matches in which both teams scored (hereinafter - BTTS): 20 vs 17;
- Dundalk: BTTS at home - 9 (69%);
- Galway United: BTTS away - 9 (69%).
Last 10 matches:
- matches with BTTS: 8 vs 5;
- Dundalk: BTTS at home - 3 (75%);
- Galway United: BTTS away - 2 (67%).
- Dundalk have scored and conceded at home in 8 of their last 9 matches (Premier Division).
- Dundalk have scored and conceded in 7 matches in a row (Premier Division).
- Galway United have scored and conceded away in 8 of their last 9 matches (Premier Division).
Correct Score Prediction
Most frequent results statistics (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (19/134, 14.2%);
- Dundalk at home most often finish matches: 1:0 , 1:1 , 1:2 , 2:1 (2/13, 15.4%);
- Galway United away most often play: 1:1 (5/13, 38.5%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 10.26% (odds 7.5)
2:1 - 9.42% (odds 8)
1:0 - 8.4% (odds 8.5)
⭐ Editor's Pick
Current form nudges me slightly towards Galway, but recent head-to-head matches show that Dundalk are a difficult opponent for them. The hosts have not won in six consecutive rounds, but they have scored in each of their last 16 matches across all competitions. The Lilywhites, for their part, have been involved in low-scoring matches recently, but have gone six games without a defeat.
So there is little reason to expect an open, high-scoring game. Galway have barely been scoring lately, though they have been defending well, and Dundalk, after a few setbacks, are unlikely to throw caution to the wind either. The most probable outcome is a tight match where a single moment decides the result.
Final bet: total under 3.5 goals. It has landed in 6 of the last 7 head-to-head meetings in the Premier Division. Prediction on the result: a 1:1 draw.
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Betting Tips: Dundalk - Galway United
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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