Bohemians vs Derry City Prediction 21 August 2026
🔊 Bohemians will host Derry City in round 28 of the League of Ireland Premier Division. The hosts sit higher in the table and have had a more consistent season, while Derry are going through a serious crisis: following the departure of Tiernan Lynch, the club still has no permanent head coach. At the same time, the visitors have just beaten University College Dublin in the FAI Cup, while Bohemians come into this match after a busy run of European fixtures.
Head-to-Head
📊 In three league matches in 2026, the sides exchanged wins and drew once. Bohemians won in Derry 1-0, then the teams drew in Dublin 1-1, and in June Derry took convincing revenge at home - 4-1.
Head-to-head statistics Bohemians - Derry City
Bohemians Dublin Team Overview
Bohemians have not looked entirely convincing since returning to the domestic league. On 2 August they drew 1-1 with Galway United, and a week later they unexpectedly lost 1-3 to Waterford. Before that, the Dublin side had been involved in the Conference League, where they played several tough matches, including a penalty shootout with Balkani, but ultimately went out to Danish side Midtjylland.
The main advantage for the hosts is their league position and home ground. Bohemians have accumulated significantly more points than Derry, and in February they already managed to beat this opponent away. Alan Reynolds's side generally score more and create more pressure, so at home they have reason to play as the dominant team.
However, after the 1-3 loss to Waterford, I would not overestimate Bohemians' advantage. The defence has looked unstable in recent matches, and Derry are capable of exploiting space. That said, ahead of this match the Dublin side managed to restore their confidence by thrashing Longford Town 4-0 in the last 16 of the FAI Cup.
Match Results: Bohemians Dublin
Derry City Team Overview
Derry currently have far more questions to answer. The club parted ways with Tiernan Lynch on 5 August, after which the team played several matches in a transitional period. In the league, Derry beat Sligo Rovers 2-0 at home. In the national Cup, they beat University College Dublin 2-1.
The cup win was an important one psychologically for the Northern Irish side. Michael Duffy scored the first goal, and new signing Tyler Smith won it in the second half. But the game itself was a difficult one, and Derry did not look like a team fully in control of the situation.
The managerial situation also deserves separate consideration. As recently as 19 August, Irish media reported that Derry are still searching for a new head coach, with former Republic of Ireland defender Richard Dunne not ruling out the possibility of taking the vacant position. At this point, the team are heading into an important away match without a fully established coaching structure in place.
Match Results: Derry City
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-head:
- played - 59;
- first-half wins for the home side - 8; for the away side - 13; draws - 8;
- average first-half total: 1.15;
- today's home side average 0.49 goals scored, the away side - 0.66.
First-half stats: Bohemian Dublin (home) vs Derry City (away)
- played in the tournament: 13 vs 13;
- wins: 4 (30.77%) vs 5 (38.46%);
- losses: 2 (15.38%) vs 4 (30.77%);
- draws: 7 (53.85%) vs 4 (30.77%);
- average goals scored total: 1.08 vs 0.85;
- average goals conceded total: 0.46 vs 0.38.
Last 10 matches (overall):
- wins: 1 vs 2;
- losses: 4 vs 4;
- draws: 5 vs 4;
- average first-half total: 1.2 (scored - 0.4, conceded - 0.8) vs 1 (scored - 0.4, conceded - 0.6).
- Bohemian Dublin have scored in the first half in 9 of their last 10 matches (Premier Division).
Total Prediction
Head-to-head matches (average total):
- home side - 0.97, away side - 1.51;
- in head-to-head matches - 2.47;
- both teams scored: all time - 30 times; at the home team's ground - 17 times.
Average total statistics: Bohemian Dublin vs Derry City
- in the league: 2.7 vs 2.48;
- goals scored: 1.56 vs 1.3;
- 1st half: 0.67 vs 0.41;
- 2nd half: 0.89 vs 0.89;
- Bohemian Dublin: at home in the league - 1.31;
- Derry City: away in the league - 0.92;
- last 10 matches: 1.7 (home - 1.8) vs 1.5 (away - 1.25).
- Bohemian Dublin have conceded at home in 9 of their last 10 matches (Premier Division).
- Derry City have scored in 8 matches in a row (Premier Division).
- Derry City have scored away in 7 of their last 8 matches.
Corner Kick Prediction
Trends- Total under 11.5 corners has landed in 6 of the last 7 matches of Bohemians Dublin.
- Total under 11.5 corners has landed in 8 of the last 9 away matches of Derry City (Premier Division).
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-head matches:
- played - 59;
- both teams scored all time - 30 times;
- at the home team's ground - 17 times.
Stats: Bohemian Dublin vs Derry City
- matches played in the tournament: 27 vs 27;
- season matches in which both teams scored (hereinafter - BTTS): 17 vs 17;
- Bohemian Dublin: BTTS at home - 10 (77%);
- Derry City: BTTS away - 9 (69%).
Last 10 matches:
- matches with BTTS: 5 vs 5;
- Bohemian Dublin: BTTS at home - 2 (40%);
- Derry City: BTTS away - 3 (75%).
- Bohemian Dublin have scored and conceded at home in 9 of their last 10 matches (Premier Division).
- Derry City have scored and conceded away in 8 of their last 9 matches (Premier Division).
- Derry City have scored and conceded away in 7 of their last 8 matches.
Correct Score Prediction
Most frequent results statistics (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (19/134, 14.2%);
- Bohemians Dublin at home most often finish matches: 1:1 (4/13, 30.8%);
- Derry City away most often play: 1:1 , 2:1 (3/13, 23.1%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 12.56% (odds 6.5)
1:0 - 11% (odds 7.5)
2:1 - 8.86% (odds 9)
⭐ Editor's Pick
Bohemians look like the more cohesive side right now, despite a number of poor results in recent matches. The hosts have a better league position, home advantage and a more stable structure, while Derry continue to rebuild following Lynch's dismissal, though they have won their last two games.
That said, I'm not expecting an easy win for Bohemians. Recent head-to-head meetings show that Derry are capable of causing them serious problems, and their recent results should have given the visitors added confidence. The most logical scenario, therefore, is one where the hosts take the initiative but the match remains competitive.
Final bet: both teams to score (yes). Bohemians have scored and conceded in 9 of their last 10 home Premier Division matches. This market has also landed in 8 of Derry's last 9 away league games. Prediction on the result: Bohemians win 2-1.
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Betting Tips: Bohemians Dublin - Derry City
in 12 of last 13 away games (Premier Division).in 9 of last 10 away games.
in 25 of last 26 Bohemians Dublin games.in last 18 Bohemians Dublin games (Premier Division).in last 14 Bohemians Dublin home games.in last 10 Bohemians Dublin home games (Premier Division).in 12 of last 14 Derry City games.in last 8 Derry City games (Premier Division).in 7 of last 8 Derry City away games.in 24 of last 26 games.in last 18 games (Premier Division).in 15 of last 16 home games.in last 12 home games (Premier Division).in last 12 away games.in last 9 away games (Premier Division).in 10 of last 11 Bohemians Dublin home games (Premier Division).in 8 of last 9 Bohemians Dublin home games.in last 7 Derry City games.in 6 of last 7 Derry City away games.
Comparison of Teams Stats
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