Vila Nova vs Fortaleza Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 22 July 2026
📢 Vila Nova and Fortaleza go into matchday 19 of the Brazilian Série B level on points, both sitting near the top of the table. The motivation is clear enough - dropping points here makes the fight for the top two harder, even if there's still plenty of season left. The two sides have had similar campaigns overall, but their current form and attacking output tell different stories.
Head-to-Head
📊 Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Vila Nova and Fortaleza:
- played 8 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 3, for the away team - 2, draws - 3;
- number of goals - 9 against 9;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.13, in the 2nd half - 1.13;
- average total goals in the match - 2.25.
Head-to-head statistics Vila Nova - Fortaleza
Vila Nova GO Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Serie B tournament (home team - Criciuma, away team - Vila Nova). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:0.
Here's the game statistics (Vila Nova vs Criciuma):
- ball possession: 63% vs 37%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 5;
- fouls: 20 vs 19;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 5;
- shots on target: 2 vs 4.
Vila Nova have picked up some good form - six wins from their last ten, four defeats, no draws. That pattern says something about how they play: open, direct, no sitting on results. On average this season they score 1.39 goals per game and concede 1.17. Decent enough in attack, but the defence isn't exactly watertight.
Match Results: Vila Nova GO
Fortaleza Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Serie B tournament (home team - Fortaleza EC CE, away - Novorizontino). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:0.
Here are the match stats (Fortaleza vs Novorizontino):
- ball possession: 38% vs 62%;
- corner kicks: 10 vs 6;
- fouls: 17 vs 6;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 1;
- shots on target: 4 vs 4.
Fortaleza have been inconsistent, but results have generally gone their way lately. Three wins, a draw and a defeat in their last five matches. They average 1.17 goals scored per game this season and 0.94 conceded - numbers that explain a lot about how they play. Cautious, defensively solid, not the type to take unnecessary risks.
Match Results: Fortaleza
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 8;
- home team wins - 3, away team wins - 2, draws - 3.
Statistics: Vila Nova vs Fortaleza
- matches played in the tournament: 18 vs 18;
- wins: 9 vs 9;
- win percentage: 50% vs 50%;
- losses: 5 vs 5;
- draws: 4 vs 4.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 6 vs 4;
- losses: 4 vs 5;
- draws: 0 vs 1.
- Vila Nova have not lost in 24 of last 25 home games.
- Vila Nova have not lost in last 14 home games (Serie B).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.13, the guests - 1.13;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.25;
- both teams scored: overall - 4; at the home team's field - 1.
Statistics: Vila Nova vs Fortaleza
- average total in the tournament: 2.56 vs 2.11;
- average total goals scored: 1.39 vs 1.17;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.67 vs 0.5;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.72 vs 0.67;
- Vila Nova: average total at home in the tournament - 2;
- Fortaleza: average total away in the tournament - 0.44;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.3 (home - 2.25) vs 0.9 (away - 0.6).
- Fortaleza have scored under 1.5 goals in last 9 away games (Serie B).
- Fortaleza have scored under 1.5 goals in 8 of last 9 away games.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 8;
- both teams scored all-time - 4 times;
- on the home team’s field - 1 times.
Statistics: Vila Nova vs Fortaleza
- number of matches played in the tournament: 18 vs 18;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 10 vs 6;
- number of BTTS matches for Vila Nova at home - 6 (75%);
- number of BTTS matches for Fortaleza away - 2 (22%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 4 vs 4;
- BTTS matches for Vila Nova at home - 2 (50%);
- BTTS matches for Fortaleza away - 2 (40%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:0 (26/180, 14.4%);
- Vila Nova at home most often finish matches: 2:1 (3/8, 37.5%);
- Fortaleza away most often play: 0:0 , 0:1 , 1:0 (2/9, 22.2%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 13.16% (odds 6)
1:0 - 11.28% (odds 6.5)
0:0 - 10.25% (odds 7.5)
⭐ Editor's Prediction
The bookmakers make Vila Nova slight favourites here. Both sides are level on points and pushing for the top spots, but home advantage could be the deciding factor - especially given Vila Nova have won 6 of their last 7 home matches in Série B. A bet on Vila Nova to win with handicap (0) makes sense in this context. We're backing a 1-0 scoreline.
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Betting Tips: Vila Nova GO - Fortaleza
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