Athletic Club vs Sao Bernardo Prediction 23 July 2026
📢 Both sides are pushing for promotion, but their situations at this stage of the season look quite different. Atletico Club sit mid-table in the Brazilian Série B, eight points off the automatic promotion spots - far enough back that the urgency isn't quite there. Sao Bernardo are closer to the picture, just five points off the pace, and still have a realistic shot at breaking into the top group. What sets this match apart, though, is the scoring record of Atletico Club's games - low-scoring affairs, consistently.
Head-to-Head
📊 These two sides have never met before.
Head-to-head statistics Athletic Club - Sao Bernardo
Athletic Club MG Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Serie B tournament (home team - Goianiense, away team - Athletic Club MG). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:0.
Here's the game statistics (Athletic Club MG vs Goianiense):
- ball possession: 47% vs 53%;
- corner kicks: 1 vs 8;
- fouls: 11 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 3;
- shots on target: 2 vs 4.
Athletic Club remain one of the tightest defensive units in the division. Over their last ten matches, they've won three, drawn five and lost just two - but averaged only 0.7 goals scored per game. That lack of attacking output shows up in the scorelines too: no more than two goals in 12 of their previous 13 Serie B matches. Solid without the ball, but the blunt attack keeps costing them when games are there to be won.
Match Results: Athletic Club MG
Sao Bernardo Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Serie B tournament (home team - Sao Bernardo, away - Avai). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:1.
Here are the match stats (Sao Bernardo vs Avai):
- ball possession: 57% vs 43%;
- corner kicks: 9 vs 2;
- fouls: 16 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 2;
- shots on target: 3 vs 2.
Sao Bernardo haven't won in six straight matches, picking up just three points in that run. Zoom out a bit and the picture is steadier - two wins, five draws and three defeats across their last ten. They average 1.33 goals scored per game this season and concede 0.94. One thing worth flagging: Sao Bernardo have scored in seven of their last eight away league matches.
Match Results: Sao Bernardo
Prediction for the 1st half
First Half Statistics: Athletic Club MG (Home) vs Sao Bernardo (Away)
- Number of matches played in the tournament: 9 vs 8;
- Number of wins: 3 (33.33%) vs 1 (12.5%);
- Number of losses: 1 (11.11%) vs 4 (50%);
- Number of draws: 5 (55.56%) vs 3 (37.5%);
- Average total goals scored: 0.67 vs 1;
- Average total goals conceded: 0.22 vs 0.63.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Number of wins: 2 vs 1;
- Number of losses: 1 vs 3;
- Number of draws: 7 vs 6;
- Average first half total: 0.3 (scored - 0.2, conceded - 0.1) vs 1.2 (scored - 0.5, conceded - 0.7).
- Athletic Club MG have drawn in the 1st half in last 5 games (Serie B).
Outcome Prediction
Stats: Athletic Club vs Sao Bernardo
- matches in the tournament: 18 vs 18;
- wins: 5 vs 7;
- win rate: 28% vs 39%;
- losses: 4 vs 5;
- draws: 9 vs 6.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 3 vs 2;
- losses: 2 vs 3;
- draws: 5 vs 5.
- Sao Bernardo have gone 6 matches without a win (Série B).
Total Prediction
Average total stats: Athletic Club vs Sao Bernardo
- in the tournament: 1.78 vs 2.28;
- goals scored: 0.89 vs 1.33;
- 1st half: 0.39 vs 0.5;
- 2nd half: 0.5 vs 0.83;
- Athletic Club: at home in the tournament - 0.78;
- Sao Bernardo: away in the tournament - 1.75;
- last 10 matches: 0.7 (home - 0.8) vs 1 (away - 1.25).
- Sao Bernardo have scored away in 7 of their last 8 matches (Série B).
Correct Score Prediction
Most common scorelines (current season):
- most frequent result in the tournament: 1:0 (26/182, 14.3%);
- Athletic Club at home most often finish: 1:1 (3/9, 33.3%);
- Sao Bernardo away most often play: 0:1, 0:3, 1:0, 1:1, 1:2, 1:3, 2:1, 2:3 (1/8, 12.5%).
Based on stats and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:0 - 13.97% (odds 5.5)
1:1 - 12.42% (odds 6.5)
0:0 - 12.28% (odds 6.5)
⭐ Editor's Prediction
The bookmakers have Athletic Club as favourites here, backed by home advantage. That said, both sides are out of form and wins have been hard to come by lately; don't expect an open game. In 12 of Athletic Club's last 13 Serie B matches, no more than two goals were scored. Given that, total goals under 2.5 looks like the right call. We're going with 1-1.
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Betting Tips: Athletic Club MG - Sao Bernardo
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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