Norwich vs Derby Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 21 April 2026
🔊 The clash between Norwich and Derby County promises to be an intriguing encounter. Both teams are in good form, each winning six out of their last ten matches. Although there are no clear trends, their attacking stats remain consistent, averaging over 1.3 goals per game. With both sides positioned closely in the league table, the motivation to push for the playoffs is heightened.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 21 October 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 1:0. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Derby ):
- ball possession percentage: 34% vs 66%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 13;
- fouls: 13 vs 7;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- shots on target: 3 vs 3.
📊Analytical review of previous official games between the teams Norwich City and Derby :
- played 27 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 10, for the away team - 11, draws - 6;
- number of goals (home/away) - 37 against 34;
- average total goals in the match - 2.63.
Head-to-head statistics Norwich - Derby
Norwich City Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Championship tournament (home team - Bristol City, away team - Norwich City). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:4.
Here's the game statistics (Norwich City vs Bristol City):
- ball possession: 55% vs 45%;
- corner kicks: 10 vs 2;
- fouls: 12 vs 8;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 0;
- shots on target: 9 vs 6.
Norwich have shown inconsistent yet fairly productive form in recent weeks. Over their last five matches, the team has secured three victories and suffered one defeat, averaging 1.6 goals per game. Their position in the standings demands near-flawless performances from the Canaries, as they trail the playoff zone by 8 points with just three games remaining in the season.
Match Results: Norwich City
Derby Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Championship tournament (home team - Derby , away - Oxford ). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:0.
Here are the match stats (Derby vs Oxford ):
- ball possession: 67% vs 33%;
- corner kicks: 7 vs 3;
- fouls: 14 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 1;
- shots on target: 2 vs 0.
Derby County are also delivering commendable performances with three victories in their last five matches. The visitors average 1.5 goals per game, conceding just slightly over one goal per match. The Rams are eager to secure a playoff spot, and their chances appear more promising than Norwich's, as they trail by just three points.
Match Results: Derby
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 27;
- home team wins - 10, away team wins - 11, draws - 6.
Statistics: Norwich City vs Derby
- matches played in the tournament: 43 vs 43;
- wins: 18 vs 19;
- win percentage: 42% vs 44%;
- losses: 18 vs 15;
- draws: 7 vs 9.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 6 vs 6;
- losses: 3 vs 4;
- draws: 1 vs 0.
- Derby won with a +1.5 handicap in 8 of last 9 away games against Norwich City (Championship).
- Derby won with a +1.5 handicap in 20 of last 22 away games.
- Derby won with a +1.5 handicap in 18 of last 20 away games (Championship).
- Derby won with a +1.5 handicap in last 9 games (Championship).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.37, the guests - 1.26;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.63;
- both teams scored: overall - 16; at the home team's field - 8.
Statistics: Norwich City vs Derby
- average total in the tournament: 2.58 vs 2.67;
- average total goals scored: 1.37 vs 1.44;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.58 vs 0.7;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.79 vs 0.74;
- Norwich City: average total at home in the tournament - 1.14;
- Derby : average total away in the tournament - 1.52;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.4 (home - 1.25) vs 1.5 (away - 1.2).
- Under 3.5 goals scored in 14 of last 15 Norwich City games (Championship).
- Under 3.5 goals scored in last 12 Norwich City home games (Championship).
- Under 3.5 goals scored in 11 of last 12 Norwich City games.
- Under 3.5 goals scored in last 6 Norwich City home games.
- Under 3.5 goals scored in 7 of last 8 Derby games (Championship).
Prediction on corners
Norwich City: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.37; at home field - 5.86;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.9; at home field - 8.5.
Derby : Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.51, away - 3.48;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.8; away - 2.4.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 27;
- both teams scored all-time - 16 times;
- on the home team’s field - 8 times.
Statistics: Norwich City vs Derby
- number of matches played in the tournament: 43 vs 43;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 25 vs 27;
- number of BTTS matches for Norwich City at home - 11 (52%);
- number of BTTS matches for Derby away - 13 (62%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 4 vs 5;
- BTTS matches for Norwich City at home - 2 (50%);
- BTTS matches for Derby away - 3 (60%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (80/516, 15.5%);
- Norwich City at home most often finish matches: 1:2 (4/21, 19%);
- Derby away most often play: 0:1 , 1:2 , 2:1 (3/21, 14.3%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 12.36% (odds 6.5)
1:0 - 10.77% (odds 8)
2:1 - 9.49% (odds 8)
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Considering the current form of the opponents and their competitive motivation, we suggest betting on under 2.5 goals. While Norwich and Derby are known for their attacking play, 4 out of their last 5 head-to-head encounters have ended with fewer goals. It seems likely that both the hosts and the visitors will opt for a cautious approach once again.
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Betting Tips: Norwich City - Derby
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