Genoa vs Lazio Prediction 23 April 2025
🎈Will the clash between Genoa and Lazio in Serie A's 33rd round be another high-scoring affair as is often the case with this matchup? Both teams are mid-table, and the battle for points is intensifying. Genoa, playing at home, are eager to improve their form after a series of inconsistent results. Lazio, on the other hand, are aiming to fight for a spot in European competitions. A thrilling game is expected with both teams actively involved in attack and defense.
Head-to-Head
📊Statistical preview of the official encounters between Genoa and Lazio:
- 35 matches played;
- home victories - 12, away wins - 18, draws - 5;
- goals scored - 42 for Genoa, 61 for Lazio;
- average first-half total - 1.11, second-half total - 1.83;
- average total goals per match - 2.94.
The last game took place on 27 October 2024 at Lazio's home ground and ended with a 3-0 scoreline.
Head-to-head statistics Genoa - Lazio

Genoa Team Overview
🎉Genoa, a team with a rich history and aspirations to reclaim their place at the pinnacle of Italian football, have faced some inconsistency lately: their 12th place in the standings indicates there's room for improvement. The "Grifoni" often show resilience at home, remaining unbeaten in 9 of their last 10 Serie A matches on their turf. They average just under one goal per game, but this is offset by a solid defense, conceding only 0.8 goals over the last ten games.
On April 13, Genoa played out a goalless draw away at Verona (0-0). Despite being dominated by their opponents (xG 0.11 against 1.00), the team displayed a very reliable defensive performance. This marked their second consecutive match without defeat, allowing them to maintain a gap from the relegation zone.
Looking ahead to their upcoming clash, Genoa face significant challenges in squad rotation with several players sidelined. Alan Matturro, Onest Anor, Hugo Cuenca, and Ruslan Malinovskyi are all out until the end of April due to various injuries (muscle strains, meniscus issues, leg injury). Additionally, Mario Balotelli will be unavailable due to a broken wrist. Mattia Bani and Maxwel Cornet are doubtful with muscle injuries. These absences affect multiple positions and impact both defense and attack significantly.
Match Results: Genoa

Lazio Rome Team Overview
🎁Lazio are one of Italy's most renowned teams, known for their aggressive playstyle and pursuit of top results. Currently, the "Eagles" sit sixth in the standings, thanks to their impressive attacks and solid defense. However, their last ten games have yielded mixed outcomes: three wins, three losses, and four draws, highlighting the need for better form to compete for European spots. Their last encounter with this club ended in a convincing 3-0 victory for the Romans.
On April 13, Lazio drew 1-1 with Roma in the derby, extending their unbeaten run in Serie A to three matches. Alessio Romagnoli found the net, but the team couldn't hold onto their lead. On April 17, the "Eagles" were knocked out of the Europa League by Norwegian side Bodø/Glimt in a penalty shootout after a 3-3 aggregate score. Despite a 3-1 win in the second leg, they failed to progress due to a 2-0 defeat in the first leg. Norwegian goalkeeper Nikita Haikin emerged as the hero by saving the decisive penalty. This defeat was a blow to the team, who will now focus on securing European spots in Serie A.
Lazio are also facing squad issues. Gustav Isaksen will miss the match due to suspension. Nuno Tavares remains sidelined with a muscle injury (expected to return in early May), and Patric is out with an ankle injury until mid-June. These absences are particularly felt in their defensive line.
Match Results: Lazio Rome
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 35;
- home team wins - 12, away team wins - 18, draws - 5.
Statistics: Genoa vs Lazio Rome
- number of matches played in the tournament: 32 vs 32;
- number of wins: 9 vs 16;
- win percentage: 28% vs 50%;
- number of losses: 11 vs 8;
- number of draws: 12 vs 8.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 3 vs 3;
- number of losses: 3 vs 3;
- number of draws: 4 vs 4.
- Genoa won with a +1.5 handicap in 14 of last 15 home games against Lazio Rome (Serie A).
- Genoa won with a +1.5 handicap in 22 of last 23 games (Serie A).
- Genoa won with a +1.5 handicap in their last 12 home games (Serie A).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.2, the guests - 1.74;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.94;
- both teams scored: overall - 19; at the home team's field - 9.
Statistics: Genoa vs Lazio Rome
- average total in the tournament: 2.09 vs 3;
- average total goals scored: 0.91 vs 1.66;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.22 vs 0.69;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.69 vs 0.97;
- Genoa: average total at home in the tournament - 1.13;
- Lazio Rome: average total away in the tournament - 1.44;
- last 10 matches (average total): 0.9 (home - 1.5) vs 0.9 (away - 0.83).
- Genoa have scored in their last 7 home games (Serie A).
- Lazio Rome have conceded in 10 of last 11 games.
Prediction on corners
Genoa: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.06; at home field - 4.19;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.8; at home field - 2.75.
Lazio Rome: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.91, away - 5.81;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.5; away - 4.
- Lazio Rome have taken over 4.5 corners in their last 8 games against Genoa.
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 4.06 (2.03 for home team and 2.03 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 4.38 (2 for home team and 2.38 for away team).
Genoa: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.72; at home - 1.81;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.5; at home - 1.75.
Lazio Rome: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.13, away - 2.19;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.7; away - 2.67.
- Under 5.5 yellow cards in last 20 Genoa games (Serie A).
- Under 5.5 yellow cards in last 9 Genoa home games (Serie A).
- Under 5.5 yellow cards in last 5 Lazio Rome away games.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 35;
- both teams scored all-time - 19 times;
- on the home team’s field - 9 times.
Statistics: Genoa vs Lazio Rome
- number of matches played in the tournament: 32 vs 32;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 14 vs 21;
- number of BTTS matches for Genoa at home - 8 (50%);
- number of BTTS matches for Lazio Rome away - 8 (50%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 6;
- BTTS matches for Genoa at home - 2 (50%);
- BTTS matches for Lazio Rome away - 2 (33%).
- Genoa have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 home games against Lazio Rome (Serie A).
Editor's Prediction
The clash between Genoa and Lazio is likely to unfold at the pace typical of their head-to-heads - plenty of chances and at least two goals scored. In Serie A, over 1.5 goals have been recorded in 13 of the last 15 meetings between these teams. Lazio have also maintained a high-scoring trend in recent rounds, with the same total hitting in 15 of their last 17 matches. Against this backdrop, a bet on over 1.5 goals appears well-founded, especially since the first-round game ended with a scoreline of 3-0 in favor of the "Eagles".