Nijmegen vs Heerenveen Prediction 22 March 2026
🔊 One of the most intriguing matches of the 28th round of the Eredivisie takes place in Nijmegen, where local side NEC host Heerenveen. Both teams are positioned in the upper half of the table and are riding a three-match winning streak in the league. NEC showcase a confident attacking front, especially on their home turf, while Heerenveen are known for their organized defensive style on the road. Which club will extend their successful run? Our editorial team provides an insightful prediction to assess each team's odds.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 21 September 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 3:2. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Heerenveen):
- ball possession percentage: 39% vs 61%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 6;
- fouls: 10 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 9 vs 6.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams NEC Nijmegen and Heerenveen:
- played 16 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 7, for the away team - 4, draws - 5;
- number of goals - 24 against 17;
- average total in the 1st half - 0.94, in the 2nd half - 1.63;
- average total goals in the match - 2.56.
Head-to-head statistics Nijmegen - Heerenveen

NEC Nijmegen Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Eredivisie tournament (home team - PSV, away team - NEC Nijmegen). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:3.
Here's the game statistics (NEC Nijmegen vs PSV):
- ball possession: 30% vs 70%;
- corner kicks: 7 vs 7;
- fouls: 12 vs 8;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 0;
- shots on target: 6 vs 6.
NEC Nijmegen currently hold the 3rd spot in the table, thanks to their potent attacking lineup, which ranks as the second most effective in the Eredivisie. Over their last five matches, they have secured three victories, putting together an impressive streak after failing to win in their previous four games. On home turf, the Nijmegen side traditionally play with aggression, frequently scoring more than 1.5 goals per game. Their average home performance reinforces their status as one of the league's top home teams.
Match Results: NEC Nijmegen

Heerenveen Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Eredivisie tournament (home team - Heerenveen, away - Telstar). The match concluded with a scoreline of 3:0.
Here are the match stats (Heerenveen vs Telstar):
- ball possession: 44% vs 56%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 4;
- fouls: 12 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 1;
- shots on target: 9 vs 6.
Heerenveen sit in seventh place and are battling to maintain their spot in the Conference League zone. The team performs well on the road, though they occasionally lack defensive stability, as evidenced by conceding an average of two goals per match. Nevertheless, their attacking prowess enables them to secure positive results in 50% of their last 10 away games. However, in a shorter timeframe, Heerenveen's form is less impressive, with three losses and two wins.
Match Results: Heerenveen
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 16;
- home team wins - 7, away team wins - 4, draws - 5.
Statistics: NEC Nijmegen vs Heerenveen
- matches played in the tournament: 27 vs 27;
- wins: 14 vs 11;
- win percentage: 52% vs 41%;
- losses: 6 vs 9;
- draws: 7 vs 7.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 6 vs 5;
- losses: 2 vs 4;
- draws: 2 vs 1.
- NEC Nijmegen have not lost in 18 of last 20 games.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.5, the guests - 1.06;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.56;
- both teams scored: overall - 9; at the home team's field - 5.
Statistics: NEC Nijmegen vs Heerenveen
- average total in the tournament: 4.15 vs 3.37;
- average total goals scored: 2.48 vs 1.74;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.93 vs 0.7;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1.56 vs 1.04;
- NEC Nijmegen: average total at home in the tournament - 2.69;
- Heerenveen: average total away in the tournament - 1.54;
- last 10 matches (average total): 2.2 (home - 2.33) vs 1.7 (away - 1.4).
- Under 3.5 goals scored in 6 of last 7 NEC Nijmegen home games against Heerenveen (Eredivisie).
Prediction on corners
NEC Nijmegen: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.78; at home field - 6.38;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.1; at home field - 6.5.
Heerenveen: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.56, away - 5.54;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.7; away - 3.2.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 16;
- both teams scored all-time - 9 times;
- on the home team’s field - 5 times.
Statistics: NEC Nijmegen vs Heerenveen
- number of matches played in the tournament: 27 vs 27;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 22 vs 19;
- number of BTTS matches for NEC Nijmegen at home - 9 (69%);
- number of BTTS matches for Heerenveen away - 8 (62%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 8 vs 7;
- BTTS matches for NEC Nijmegen at home - 4 (67%);
- BTTS matches for Heerenveen away - 4 (80%).
- NEC Nijmegen have scored and conceded in 14 of last 15 games (Eredivisie).
- NEC Nijmegen have scored and conceded in 7 of last 8 games.
- NEC Nijmegen have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 home games (Eredivisie).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (27/244, 11.1%);
- NEC Nijmegen at home most often finish matches: 2:1 , 3:0 (2/13, 15.4%);
- Heerenveen away most often play: 0:3 , 2:1 (2/13, 15.4%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
2:1 - 9.39% (odds 8)
1:1 - 8.2% (odds 9)
2:2 - 7.29% (odds 11)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
The statistics reveal Nijmegen's high attacking prowess, while both teams are on par defensively: Heerenveen, typically reliable at the back, have conceded just one fewer goal this season (44 compared to 45). NEC Nijmegen, sitting third in the standings, boasts a formidable offense, especially at home where they show impressive scoring ability. Heerenveen, currently seventh, aim to solidify their spot in the European competition zone and have only recently stabilized their form. However, the visitors' away form is not particularly impressive, including in Nijmegen, where they have won just 2 out of 8 matches played. Given these circumstances, we expect NEC Nijmegen to secure the victory.