Nijmegen vs Heerenveen Prediction 22 March 2026

    🔊 One of the most intriguing matches of the 28th round of the Eredivisie takes place in Nijmegen, where local side NEC host Heerenveen. Both teams are positioned in the upper half of the table and are riding a three-match winning streak in the league. NEC showcase a confident attacking front, especially on their home turf, while Heerenveen are known for their organized defensive style on the road. Which club will extend their successful run? Our editorial team provides an insightful prediction to assess each team's odds.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official encounter between the teams took place on 21 September 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 3:2. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Heerenveen):

    • ball possession percentage: 39% vs 61%;
    • corner kicks: 6 vs 6;
    • fouls: 10 vs 14;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
    • shots on target: 9 vs 6.

    📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams NEC Nijmegen and Heerenveen:

    • played 16 matches;
    • number of wins for the home team - 7, for the away team - 4, draws - 5;
    • number of goals - 24 against 17;
    • average total in the 1st half - 0.94, in the 2nd half - 1.63;
    • average total goals in the match - 2.56.

    Head-to-head statistics Nijmegen - Heerenveen

    41%
    7 Wins
    35%
    6 Draws
    24%
    4 Wins
    Total games
    17
    Total Goals Avg
    2.65
    Both teams scored
    59%
    1.53
    Total average
    1.12
    1.18
    Yellow cards
    1.29
    Last matches
    22.03.26
    Eredivisie
    NEC Nijmegen
    NEC Nijmegen
    Heerenveen
    Heerenveen
    2.07
    1.67
    6
    2
    6
    11
    0
    0
    2
    2
    1
    2
    1
    0
    2.07
    1.67
    6
    2
    6
    11
    0
    0
    21.09.25
    Eredivisie
    Heerenveen
    Heerenveen
    NEC Nijmegen
    NEC Nijmegen
    1
    3.1
    0.97
    6
    6
    10
    14
    1
    1
    3
    2
    1
    0
    2
    2
    3.1
    0.97
    6
    6
    10
    14
    1
    1
    27.04.25
    Eredivisie
    Heerenveen
    Heerenveen
    NEC Nijmegen
    NEC Nijmegen
    1.66
    0.47
    7
    5
    13
    11
    1
    4
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1.66
    0.47
    7
    5
    13
    11
    1
    4
    19.10.24
    Eredivisie
    NEC Nijmegen
    NEC Nijmegen
    Heerenveen
    Heerenveen
    -
    -
    4
    4
    16
    19
    0
    3
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0
    -
    -
    4
    4
    16
    19
    0
    3
    10.03.24
    Eredivisie
    NEC Nijmegen
    NEC Nijmegen
    Heerenveen
    Heerenveen
    -
    -
    8
    6
    7
    8
    0
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    -
    -
    8
    6
    7
    8
    0
    0
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    NEC Nijmegen Team Overview

    The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Eredivisie tournament (home team - PSV, away team - NEC Nijmegen). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:3.

    Here's the game statistics (NEC Nijmegen vs PSV):

    • ball possession: 30% vs 70%;
    • corner kicks: 7 vs 7;
    • fouls: 12 vs 8;
    • yellow cards: 3 vs 0;
    • shots on target: 6 vs 6.

    NEC Nijmegen currently hold the 3rd spot in the table, thanks to their potent attacking lineup, which ranks as the second most effective in the Eredivisie. Over their last five matches, they have secured three victories, putting together an impressive streak after failing to win in their previous four games. On home turf, the Nijmegen side traditionally play with aggression, frequently scoring more than 1.5 goals per game. Their average home performance reinforces their status as one of the league's top home teams.

    Match Results: NEC Nijmegen

    Last matches
    29.08.26
    eredivisie
    PEC Zwolle
    PEC Zwolle
    NEC Nijmegen
    NEC Nijmegen
    2.04
    2.09
    6
    7
    17
    12
    1
    3
    1
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    2.04
    2.09
    6
    7
    17
    12
    1
    3
    W
    25.08.26
    UCL
    Bodo/Glimt
    Bodo/Glimt
    NEC Nijmegen
    NEC Nijmegen
    1
    2.48
    0.2
    4
    2
    10
    8
    0
    2
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    2.48
    0.2
    4
    2
    10
    8
    0
    2
    L
    19.08.26
    UCL
    NEC Nijmegen
    NEC Nijmegen
    Bodo/Glimt
    Bodo/Glimt
    2.26
    1.65
    7
    2
    9
    12
    2
    1
    1
    3
    0
    2
    1
    1
    2.26
    1.65
    7
    2
    9
    12
    2
    1
    L
    15.08.26
    eredivisie
    Willem 2 Tilburg
    Willem 2 Tilburg
    NEC Nijmegen
    NEC Nijmegen
    1.42
    2.78
    1
    2
    10
    14
    1
    0
    1
    4
    0
    1
    1
    3
    1.42
    2.78
    1
    2
    10
    14
    1
    0
    W
    11.08.26
    UCL
    NEC Nijmegen
    NEC Nijmegen
    Olympiacos
    Olympiacos
    1
    2.06
    0.94
    3
    4
    17
    19
    2
    4
    2
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    1
    0
    2.06
    0.94
    3
    4
    17
    19
    2
    4
    W
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    Heerenveen Team Overview

    The away team played their last official match on as part of the Eredivisie tournament (home team - Heerenveen, away - Telstar). The match concluded with a scoreline of 3:0.

    Here are the match stats (Heerenveen vs Telstar):

    • ball possession: 44% vs 56%;
    • corner kicks: 5 vs 4;
    • fouls: 12 vs 9;
    • yellow cards: 4 vs 1;
    • shots on target: 9 vs 6.

    Heerenveen sit in seventh place and are battling to maintain their spot in the Conference League zone. The team performs well on the road, though they occasionally lack defensive stability, as evidenced by conceding an average of two goals per match. Nevertheless, their attacking prowess enables them to secure positive results in 50% of their last 10 away games. However, in a shorter timeframe, Heerenveen's form is less impressive, with three losses and two wins.

    Match Results: Heerenveen

    Last matches
    22.08.26
    eredivisie
    Heerenveen
    Heerenveen
    PEC Zwolle
    PEC Zwolle
    1.06
    1.62
    5
    3
    6
    13
    1
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    1.06
    1.62
    5
    3
    6
    13
    1
    2
    L
    16.08.26
    eredivisie
    Ajax Amsterdam
    Ajax Amsterdam
    Heerenveen
    Heerenveen
    2.11
    1.45
    7
    2
    8
    10
    3
    1
    2
    2
    2
    1
    0
    1
    2.11
    1.45
    7
    2
    8
    10
    3
    1
    D
    09.08.26
    eredivisie
    Heerenveen
    Heerenveen
    Twente
    Twente
    0.58
    2.05
    4
    8
    7
    7
    2
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0.58
    2.05
    4
    8
    7
    7
    2
    1
    W
    01.08.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Heerenveen
    Heerenveen
    Volos Nps
    Volos Nps
    -
    -
    3
    9
    -
    -
    1
    1
    3
    2
    2
    0
    1
    2
    -
    -
    3
    9
    -
    -
    1
    1
    W
    25.07.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Heerenveen
    Heerenveen
    Oud Heverlee
    Oud Heverlee
    4
    4
    2
    2
    2
    2
    D
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    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 16;
    • home team wins - 7, away team wins - 4, draws - 5.

    Statistics: NEC Nijmegen vs Heerenveen

    • matches played in the tournament: 27 vs 27;
    • wins: 14 vs 11;
    • win percentage: 52% vs 41%;
    • losses: 6 vs 9;
    • draws: 7 vs 7.

    Last 10 matches:

    • wins: 6 vs 5;
    • losses: 2 vs 4;
    • draws: 2 vs 1.
    Trends
    • NEC Nijmegen have not lost in 18 of last 20 games.
    👉Prediction: NEC Nijmegen will not lose(odds: 1.22)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 1.5, the guests - 1.06;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.56;
    • both teams scored: overall - 9; at the home team's field - 5.

    Statistics: NEC Nijmegen vs Heerenveen

    • average total in the tournament: 4.15 vs 3.37;
    • average total goals scored: 2.48 vs 1.74;
    • average total in the 1st half: 0.93 vs 0.7;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 1.56 vs 1.04;
    • NEC Nijmegen: average total at home in the tournament -  2.69;
    • Heerenveen: average total away in the tournament - 1.54;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 2.2 (home - 2.33) vs 1.7 (away - 1.4).
    Trends
    • Under 3.5 goals scored in 6 of last 7 NEC Nijmegen home games against Heerenveen (Eredivisie).
    👉Prediction: Heerenveen Total goals Under (1,5)(odds: 1.84)

    Prediction on corners

    NEC Nijmegen: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.78; at home field - 6.38;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.1; at home field - 6.5.

    Heerenveen: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.56, away - 5.54;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.7; away - 3.2.
    👉Prediction: Corners - Total Over (10,5)(odds: 1.93)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 16;
    • both teams scored all-time - 9 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 5 times.

    Statistics: NEC Nijmegen vs Heerenveen

    • number of matches played in the tournament: 27 vs 27;
    • number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 22 vs 19;
    • number of BTTS matches for NEC Nijmegen at home - 9 (69%);
    • number of BTTS matches for Heerenveen away - 8 (62%).

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of BTTS matches: 8 vs 7;
    • BTTS matches for NEC Nijmegen at home - 4 (67%);
    • BTTS matches for Heerenveen away - 4 (80%).
    Trends
    • NEC Nijmegen have scored and conceded in 14 of last 15 games (Eredivisie).
    • NEC Nijmegen have scored and conceded in 7 of last 8 games.
    • NEC Nijmegen have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 home games (Eredivisie).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (Yes)(odds: 1.41)

    Correct score prediction

    Statistics of frequent results (current season):

    • most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (27/244, 11.1%);
    • NEC Nijmegen at home most often finish matches: 2:1 , 3:0 (2/13, 15.4%);
    • Heerenveen away most often play: 0:3 , 2:1 (2/13, 15.4%).

    Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:

    2:1 - 9.39% (odds 8)
    1:1 - 8.2% (odds 9)
    2:2 - 7.29% (odds 11)

    👉Prediction: Correct Score (2:1)(odds: 8)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    The statistics reveal Nijmegen's high attacking prowess, while both teams are on par defensively: Heerenveen, typically reliable at the back, have conceded just one fewer goal this season (44 compared to 45). NEC Nijmegen, sitting third in the standings, boasts a formidable offense, especially at home where they show impressive scoring ability. Heerenveen, currently seventh, aim to solidify their spot in the European competition zone and have only recently stabilized their form. However, the visitors' away form is not particularly impressive, including in Nijmegen, where they have won just 2 out of 8 matches played. Given these circumstances, we expect NEC Nijmegen to secure the victory

    NEC Nijmegen Win
    Bovada
    Place a bet-145
    Published: 21/03/2026, 08:37

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    Betting Tips: NEC Nijmegen - Heerenveen

    NEC Nijmegen have not lost:
    nec-nijmegen-1in 18 of last 20 games.
    NEC Nijmegen will not lose
    Everygame
    -476
    NEC Nijmegen have scored:
    nec-nijmegen-1sc-heerenveen-2in last 8 home games against Heerenveen (Eredivisie).
    nec-nijmegen-1in 36 of last 37 games.
    nec-nijmegen-1in 31 of last 32 games (Eredivisie).
    nec-nijmegen-1in last 23 home games.
    nec-nijmegen-1in last 21 home games (Eredivisie).
    Heerenveen have conceded:
    sc-heerenveen-2in 20 of last 22 away games (Eredivisie).
    sc-heerenveen-2in 11 of last 12 games.
    sc-heerenveen-2in 9 of last 10 games (Eredivisie).
    NEC Nijmegen will score goal
    -1667
    NEC Nijmegen scored in the 2nd half:
    nec-nijmegen-1sc-heerenveen-2in last 8 home games against Heerenveen (Eredivisie).
    nec-nijmegen-1in last 23 home games.
    nec-nijmegen-1in last 21 home games (Eredivisie).
    nec-nijmegen-1in last 20 games.
    nec-nijmegen-1in last 16 games (Eredivisie).
    Heerenveen conceded in the 2nd half:
    sc-heerenveen-2in last 5 away games.
    2nd half, NEC Nijmegen will score goal
    -323
    NEC Nijmegen have conceded:
    nec-nijmegen-1in 17 of last 19 games.
    nec-nijmegen-1in 14 of last 15 games (Eredivisie).
    Heerenveen have scored:
    sc-heerenveen-2in 8 of last 9 games.
    Heerenveen will score goal
    Everygame
    -357
    View more facts

    Nijmegen - Heerenveen Table position

    Eredivisie 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    2.
    Feyenoord Rotterdam
    Feyenoord Rotterdam
    34198770-4465
    3.
    NEC Nijmegen
    NEC Nijmegen
    341611777-5359
    4.
    Twente
    Twente
    341513659-4058
    7.
    AZ Alkmaar
    AZ Alkmaar
    3414101058-5152
    8.
    Heerenveen
    Heerenveen
    341491157-5351
    9.
    Groningen
    Groningen
    341461449-4548

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    4 - Wins
    2 - Draws
    4 - Loses
    Wins - 4
    Draws - 2
    Loses - 4
    10 matches
    Scored - 15
    Conceded - 15
    0
    -1
    13 - Scored
    14 - Conceded
    4
    Wins
    4
    2
    Draws
    2
    4
    Loses
    4
    Goal difference
    15
    Scored
    13
    15
    Conceded
    14
    3
    Match goals average
    2.7
    1.5
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.3
    1.5
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.4
    8
    Both teams scored
    4
    62'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    69'
    View all stats