Melbourne Victory vs Mariners Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 21 March 2026
🔊 The upcoming Round 22 clash in the Australian A-League between Melbourne Victory and Central Coast promises to be a spectacle. Both teams are in fine form: the hosts sit fourth in the standings, while the visitors are in sixth place. Interestingly, both teams are known for their attacking style of play, frequently finding the back of the net in their matches.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 01 February 2026 and ended with a scoreline of 1:0. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Central Coast Mariners):
- ball possession percentage: 33% vs 67%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 15;
- fouls: 7 vs 6;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- shots on target: 1 vs 9.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Melbourne Victory and Central Coast Mariners:
- played 43 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 20, for the away team - 9, draws - 14;
- number of goals - 76 against 53;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.23, in the 2nd half - 1.77;
- average total goals in the match - 3.
Head-to-head statistics Melbourne Victory - Mariners

Melbourne Victory Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the A-League tournament (home team - Melbourne Victory, away team - Macarthur). The match concluded with a scoreline of 4:1.
Here's the game statistics (Melbourne Victory vs Macarthur):
- ball possession: 50% vs 50%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 3;
- fouls: 6 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 3;
- shots on target: 8 vs 2.
Melbourne Victory exhibit consistent form on their home turf and aim to solidify their position at the top of the table. Although they have scored fewer than 2.5 goals in 16 of their last 17 head-to-head encounters with this opponent, their attacking line remains quite effective, averaging 1.62 goals per match. In their last five games, they have secured two wins and three draws.
Match Results: Melbourne Victory

Central Coast Mariners Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the A-League tournament (home team - Central Coast Mariners, away - Adelaide United). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:1.
Here are the match stats (Central Coast Mariners vs Adelaide United):
- ball possession: 47% vs 53%;
- corner kicks: 0 vs 7;
- fouls: 6 vs 7;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 2 vs 9.
Central Coast have been impressive with their away form, consistently delivering results on the road. Their last seven away matches have all ended with over 2.5 goals. They currently sit in sixth place, thanks to a solid balance of defense and attack-averaging 1.4 goals scored per game while conceding the same amount.
Match Results: Central Coast Mariners
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 43;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 9; for visitors away - 2; number of draws - 8;
- Average first-half total: 1.23;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.72, while the visitors net 0.51.
First-Half Stats: Melbourne Victory (home) vs Central Coast Mariners (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 10 vs 9;
- wins: 4 (40%) vs 2 (22.22%);
- losses: 2 (20%) vs 2 (22.22%);
- draws: 4 (40%) vs 5 (55.56%);
- Average goals scored: 1.4 vs 1.89;
- Average goals conceded: 0.6 vs 0.89.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 4 vs 3;
- losses: 3 vs 2;
- draws: 3 vs 5;
- Average first-half total: 1.5 (scored - 0.8, conceded - 0.7) vs 1.2 (scored - 0.7, conceded - 0.5).
- Melbourne Victory scored in the 1st half in last 6 games (A-League).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 43;
- home team wins - 20, away team wins - 9, draws - 14.
Statistics: Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners
- matches played in the tournament: 21 vs 20;
- wins: 9 vs 7;
- win percentage: 43% vs 35%;
- losses: 7 vs 7;
- draws: 5 vs 6.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 4 vs 5;
- losses: 3 vs 1;
- draws: 3 vs 4.
- Central Coast Mariners won with a +1.5 handicap in 6 of last 7 games against Melbourne Victory (A-League).
- Central Coast Mariners won with a +1.5 handicap in last 8 games (A-League).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.77, the guests - 1.23;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3;
- both teams scored: overall - 29; at the home team's field - 14.
Statistics: Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners
- average total in the tournament: 2.9 vs 2.8;
- average total goals scored: 1.62 vs 1.4;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.67 vs 0.75;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.95 vs 0.65;
- Melbourne Victory: average total at home in the tournament - 2;
- Central Coast Mariners: average total away in the tournament - 1.67;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.9 (home - 2) vs 1.7 (away - 2.2).
- Under 3.5 goals scored in last 6 Melbourne Victory home games against Central Coast Mariners.
- Under 3.5 goals scored in last 5 Melbourne Victory home games against Central Coast Mariners (A-League).
Prediction on corners
Melbourne Victory: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 6.1; at home field - 5.6;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.8; at home field - 6.6.
Central Coast Mariners: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.8, away - 3.78;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.3; away - 3.8.
- Central Coast Mariners have taken over 2.5 corners in 15 of last 17 games against Melbourne Victory (A-League).
- Central Coast Mariners have taken over 2.5 corners in 8 of last 9 away games (A-League).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 43;
- both teams scored all-time - 29 times;
- on the home team’s field - 14 times.
Statistics: Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners
- number of matches played in the tournament: 21 vs 20;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 11 vs 13;
- number of BTTS matches for Melbourne Victory at home - 6 (60%);
- number of BTTS matches for Central Coast Mariners away - 5 (56%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 7 vs 6;
- BTTS matches for Melbourne Victory at home - 3 (60%);
- BTTS matches for Central Coast Mariners away - 3 (60%).
- Melbourne Victory have scored and conceded in last 6 games (A-League).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (15/125, 12%);
- Melbourne Victory at home most often finish matches: 1:1 (2/10, 20%);
- Central Coast Mariners away most often play: 0:1 , 0:4 , 1:2 , 1:3 , 2:0 , 2:2 , 3:0 , 3:1 , 3:2 (1/9, 11.1%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
2:1 - 10.28% (odds 7.5)
1:1 - 9.04% (odds 9)
1:0 - 8.79% (odds 9)